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The number of calories in a l-ounce serving of a certain breakfast cereal is a random variable with mean 110 and standard deviation 10\. The number of calories in a cup of whole milk is a random variable with mean 140 and standard deviation 12 . For breakfast, you eat 1 ounce of the cereal with \(1 / 2\) cup of whole milk. Let T be the random variable that represents the total number of calories in this breakfast. The mean of \(T\) is (a) 110 . (b) 140 . (c) 180 . (d) 195 (e) 250 .

Short Answer

Expert verified
The mean of T is 180, corresponding to option (c).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

To find the mean of the total calories, we need to calculate the sum of the means of the cereal and the milk. This involves adding the means of two independent random variables: the cereal and half a cup of milk.
02

Determine Mean of Cereal

The mean number of calories in a 1-ounce serving of cereal is given as 110.
03

Determine Mean of Milk

The mean number of calories in a cup of whole milk is given as 140. Since only half a cup of milk is used, divide the mean by 2:\[\text{Mean of Half Cup of Milk} = \frac{140}{2} = 70\]
04

Calculate Total Mean

The total mean, denoted as \(T\), combines the calories from the cereal and the half cup of milk:\[T = \text{Mean of Cereal} + \text{Mean of Half Cup of Milk} = 110 + 70 = 180\]
05

Select the Correct Answer

Based on the calculations, the mean of the total calories (\(T\)) is 180. Therefore, the correct choice is (c) 180.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mean of Random Variables
When talking about the mean of random variables, we're discussing an average value that we expect a variable to have. Random variables are numbers that come from random experiments or observations, like rolling a die or measuring weather conditions.

Each possible outcome has its own probability, and the mean, or expected value, gives us a central value summarizing all possible outcomes. Calculating this mean involves taking each possible outcome, multiplying it by its probability, and summing all the results. This tells us what to expect on average from the random process.

In the case of calories for breakfast, separate means for cereal and milk were provided. The mean calories for cereal were 110, reflecting an average count over various possible servings. Recognizing these average values is crucial for understanding the expected number of calories consumed.
Sum of Means
The sum of means is a straightforward but powerful concept when dealing with multiple random variables. If you have two or more independent random variables, the mean of their sum is simply the sum of their means.

For example, if we look at the cereal and milk in the breakfast example, we calculate the total expected calorie intake by adding the individual means. Here's how it works for the example given:
  • Cereal mean = 110 calories
  • Half cup milk mean was calculated as 70 calories (since a full cup is 140 but only half is consumed)
  • Thus, total mean for breakfast = 110 + 70 = 180 calories
This approach allows for quick calculations of what's typically expected when combining different random elements, like food items in a meal.
Independent Random Variables
Understanding what it means for random variables to be independent is key to many calculations in probability. Two random variables are considered independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the likelihood of the occurrence of the other.

In our breakfast example, the calorie count from the cereal is independent of that from the milk. The calories in cereal do not influence the calories in milk and vice versa.

Independence simplifies calculations, especially when dealing with means and variances. This property is what allows us to confidently add their means to find the mean of the total calories consumed. Without independence, calculations might be more complex as you would need to account for potential interactions.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. It tells us how spread out the values of a random variable are from the mean.

In the breakfast example, the standard deviation for the cereal is 10, whereas for the whole milk it is 12. These numbers give a sense of how much variation there is in the calorie counts per serving.

A high standard deviation points to a wide range of possible values, meaning the actual calorie count might vary significantly from the average. A smaller standard deviation suggests the values cluster closely around the mean.
  • For cereal: 10 calories mean the calorie count doesn't deviate much from the average.
  • For milk: 12 calories signify slightly more variation per serving than cereal.
Understanding this variability is essential for accurate predictions of outcomes in random experiments or processes.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Benford's law Faked numbers in tax returns, invoices, or expense account claims often display patterns that aren't present in legitimate records. Some patterns, like too many round numbers, are obvious and easily avoided by a clever crook. Others are more subtle. It is a striking fact that the first digits of numbers in legitimate records often follow a model known as Benford's law. \({ }^{7}\) Call the first digit of a randomly chosen record \(X\) for short. Benford's law gives this probability model for \(X\) (note that a first digit can't be 0 ): $$ \begin{array}{lccccccccc} \hline \text { First digit: } & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 & 6 & 7 & 8 & 9 \\ \text { Probability: } & 0.301 & 0.176 & 0.125 & 0.097 & 0.079 & 0.067 & 0.058 & 0.051 & 0.046 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (a) Show that this is a legitimate probability distribution. (b) Make a histogram of the probability distribution. Describe what you see. (c) Describe the event \(X \geq 6\) in words. What is \(P(X \geq 6) ?\) (d) Express the event "first digit is at most 5 " in terms of X. What is the probability of this event?

To start her old lawn mower, Rita has to pull a cord and hope for some luck. On any particular pull, the mower has a \(20 \%\) chance of starting. (a) Find the probability that it takes her exactly 3 pulls to start the mower. Show your work. (b) Find the probability that it takes her more than 10 pulls to start the mower. Show your work.

The Tri-State Pick 3 Most states and Canadian provinces have government- sponsored lotteries. Here is a simple lottery wager, from the Tri-State Pick 3 game that New Hampshire shares with Maine and Vermont. You choose a number with 3 digits from 0 to \(9 ;\) the state chooses a three-digit winning number at random and pays you \(\$ 500\) if your number is chosen. Because there are 1000 numbers with three digits, you have probability \(1 / 1000\) of winning. Taking \(X\) to be the amount your ticket pays you, the probability distribution of \(X\) is $$ \begin{array}{lcc} \hline \text { Payoff: } & \$ 0 & \$ 500 \\ \text { Probability: } & 0.999 & 0.001 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (a) Show that the mean and standard deviation of \(X\) are $$ \mu_{X}=\$ 0.50 \text { and } \sigma_{X}=\$ 15.80 $$ (b) If you buy a Pick 3 ticket, your winnings are \(W=X-1\), because it costs \(\$ 1\) to play. Find the mean and standard deviation of \(W\). Interpret each of these values in context.

Geometric or not? Determine whether each of the following scenarios describes a geometric setting. If so, define an appropriate geometric random variable. (a) Shuffle a standard deck of playing cards well. Then turn over one card at a time from the top of the deck until you get an ace. (b) Lawrence likes to shoot a bow and arrow in his free time. On any shot, he has about a \(10 \%\) chance of hitting the bull's-eye. As a challenge one day, Lawrence decides to keep shooting until he gets a bull's-eye.

Marti decides to keep placing a \(\$ 1\) bet on number 15 in consecutive spins of a roulette wheel until she wins. On any spin, there's a 1 -in- 38 chance that the ball will land in the 15 slot. (a) How many spins do you expect it to take until Marti wins? Justify your answer. (b) Would you be surprised if Marti won in 3 or fewer spins? Compute an appropriate probability to support your answer.

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