/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 37 Get on the boat! A small ferry r... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Get on the boat! A small ferry runs every half hour from one side of a large river to the other. The number of cars \(X\) on a randomly chosen ferry trip has the probability distribution shown below. You can check that \(\mu_{X}=3.87\) and \(\sigma_{X}=1.29\) $$ \begin{array}{lcccccc} \hline \text { Cars: } & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 & 5 \\ \text { Probability: } & 0.02 & 0.05 & 0.08 & 0.16 & 0.27 & 0.42 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (a) The cost for the ferry trip is \(\$ 5 .\) Make a graph of the probability distribution for the random variable \(M=\) money collected on a randomly selected ferry trip. Describe its shape. (b) Find and interpret \(\mu_{M}\). (c) Find and interpret \(\sigma_{M}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) The shape is right-skewed. (b) \(\mu_M = 19.35\) dollars; average collection per trip. (c) \(\sigma_M = 6.45\) dollars; typical variation from the average.

Step by step solution

01

Determine the Values of M

Since each car pays $5 for the ferry trip, the money collected, \(M\), for a given number of cars, \(X\), is \(M = 5X\). The possible monetary values become 0, 5, 10, 15, 20, and 25 dollars, corresponding to \(X = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5\), respectively.
02

Create the Probability Distribution for M

The probability distribution of \(M\) uses the same probabilities as \(X\) because \(M = 5X\). Thus, the distribution is as follows:- \(M = 0\): Probability = 0.02- \(M = 5\): Probability = 0.05- \(M = 10\): Probability = 0.08- \(M = 15\): Probability = 0.16- \(M = 20\): Probability = 0.27- \(M = 25\): Probability = 0.42
03

Graph the Probability Distribution of M

Plot the monetary values \(M = 0, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25\) on the x-axis, with their corresponding probabilities on the y-axis. The graph should show a distribution that increases in probability value as \(M\) increases, peaking at \(M = 25\), indicating a right-skewed distribution shape.
04

Calculate Mean of M, \(\mu_M\)

Since \(\mu_X = 3.87\), calculate \(\mu_M = 5 \times \mu_X=5 \times 3.87 = 19.35\). Thus, the mean amount of money collected per trip is $19.35.
05

Interpret \(\mu_M\)

The mean \(\mu_M = 19.35\) represents the average amount of money collected per ferry trip based on the probability distribution of cars.
06

Calculate the Standard Deviation of M, \(\sigma_M\)

The standard deviation \(\sigma_M\) is \(5\) times \(\sigma_X\), thus \(\sigma_M = 5 \times 1.29 = 6.45\).
07

Interpret \(\sigma_M\)

The standard deviation \(\sigma_M = 6.45\) indicates the average distance of each ferry trip's collected amount from the mean $19.35, showing variability in collections.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Random Variable
In probability and statistics, a random variable is a fundamental concept used to denote a variable that can take on different values, each associated with a certain probability. A random variable can be thought of as a numerical representation of an outcome from some random phenomenon. For example, in our ferry exercise, the number of cars, denoted by \( X \), is a random variable. Its values range from 0 to 5, signifying the varying number of cars on any given ferry trip.

Key characteristics of random variables include:
  • **Discreteness:** If the variable can only take on distinct and separate values (like counting numbers), it's called a discrete random variable.
  • **Probability Distribution:** Each possible value of the random variable has a specific probability, forming what is known as a probability distribution. This distribution shows all possible values and their associated probabilities.
For discrete random variables, probability distributions can be conveniently represented in tabular form or graphs, where each outcome is paired with its probability, just like how we pair the number of cars with their respective probabilities.
Mean Calculation
The mean of a random variable is a crucial measure that represents the average or expected value. It provides insight into the central tendency of the distribution, effectively summarizing the data into a single representative value. In statistical terms, it's often referred to as the expected value, denoted as \( \mu \).

To calculate the mean, multiply each possible value of the random variable by its probability, then sum up all these products. Mathematically, for a discrete random variable \( X \), the mean \( \mu_X \) is calculated as:\[\mu_X = \sum (x_i \times P(x_i))\]where \( x_i \) represents each possible value, and \( P(x_i) \) its corresponding probability.

In our exercise, the mean number of cars \( \mu_X = 3.87 \) tells us that on average, approximately 3.87 cars are on a ferry trip. When considering the collected money, \( M \), since each car pays \(5, the mean money collected \( \mu_M \) is \)19.35, calculated as \( 5 \times 3.87 \).
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or spread in a set of values. It's crucial in statistics because it gives us an understanding of how much individual data points deviate from the mean of the dataset. A high standard deviation indicates that data points are spread out over a broader range of values, while a low standard deviation suggests they are clustered closely around the mean.

For a discrete random variable \( X \), the standard deviation \( \sigma_X \) is computed using:\[\sigma_X = \sqrt{\sum ((x_i - \mu_X)^2 \times P(x_i))}\]where \( \mu_X \) is the mean of \( X \), and \( x_i \) and \( P(x_i) \) represent the values and their probabilities, respectively.

In the ferry example, the standard deviation of the number of cars \( \sigma_X = 1.29 \). This indicates the variability in the number of cars around the average of 3.87 per trip. For money collected \( M \), since \( M = 5X \), the variability increases proportionally, yielding a standard deviation of \( \sigma_M = 6.45 \). It conveys the variability in the amount of money collected per trip.
Right-Skewed Distribution
A right-skewed distribution, also known as positively skewed, occurs when more values are concentrated on the left, with the tail stretching towards higher values on the right. In a right-skewed distribution, the mean is usually greater than the median, as a few high-value outliers pull the average higher.

In the provided ferry exercise, the distribution of money collected \( M \) is right-skewed. As the probability increases towards the higher number of cars, more trips end up collecting higher amounts. This implies that while the most common frequencies are towards fewer cars, larger amounts of collections, though less likely, skew the average.
  • **Characteristics of Right-Skewed Distributions:**
    • The graph of the distribution has a longer tail on the right side.
    • The mean is influenced by the larger values.
    • These distributions can result from phenomena like natural limits at low values and a possibility of large values (e.g., positive integers).
Understanding skewness is vital because it affects how we interpret mean, median, and mode, and can impact statistical analyses and interpretations significantly.

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