/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 76 Inspecting switches A shipment c... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Inspecting switches A shipment contains 10,000 switches. Of these, 1000 are bad. An inspector draws 2 switches at random, one after the other. (a) Draw a tree diagram that shows the sample space of this chance process. (b) Find the probability that both switches are defective.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that both switches are defective is approximately 0.00999.

Step by step solution

01

Determine outcomes of first draw

For the first draw, there are two possible outcomes: drawing a good switch or drawing a bad (defective) switch. Initially, there are 9,000 good switches and 1,000 bad switches.
02

Determine outcomes of second draw (following a good first draw)

If the first switch drawn is good (with a probability of \( \frac{9000}{10000} = 0.9 \)), then there are 8,999 good switches and 1,000 bad switches remaining for the second draw.
03

Determine outcomes of second draw (following a bad first draw)

If the first switch drawn is bad (with a probability of \( \frac{1000}{10000} = 0.1 \)), then there are 9,000 good switches and 999 bad switches remaining for the second draw.
04

Draw the tree diagram

Create a tree diagram starting with two branches from the root: one for drawing a good switch and one for drawing a bad switch. Extend each of these branches into two more branches representing the outcomes of the second draw. The second set of branches represents drawing a good or bad switch after the first switch has been drawn.
05

Calculate probability of both switches being defective

We need to consider drawing a bad switch first, then another bad switch. The probability of the first switch being bad is \( \frac{1000}{10000} \). If the first one is bad, the probability that the second one is also bad is \( \frac{999}{9999} \). Multiply these probabilities: \( \frac{1000}{10000} \times \frac{999}{9999} \approx 0.00999 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Space
The term "sample space" refers to all possible outcomes of a particular random experiment. In the exercise about inspecting switches, the sample space includes all possible sequences of outcomes when the inspector draws two switches in succession.
It consists of four potential scenarios:
  • Drawing two good switches.
  • Drawing a good switch and then a bad switch.
  • Drawing a bad switch and then a good switch.
  • Drawing two bad switches.
Understanding the sample space helps in visualizing all potential outcomes and is the foundation for evaluating probabilities in different scenarios. This structure allows us to organize and study approach probabilities effectively.
Tree Diagram
A tree diagram is a graphical representation used to map out the sample space of a chance experiment step by step. It is a helpful tool for visualizing the process of random events and systematic probabilities.
In this problem, the tree diagram begins with two initial branches. Each branch stems from drawing either a good switch or a bad switch during the first draw. Each of these branches then splits again based on the outcome of the second draw. If the first switch drawn is good, the second set of branches represents whether the next switch is good or bad.
Tree diagrams are especially useful in illustrating the outcomes of the sequence and showing how probabilities change with each event. It clearly arranges and depicts possible outcomes, making it easy to calculate probabilities by following the branches.
Dependent Events
Dependent events are those where the outcome or occurrence of the first event affect the outcome or occurrence of the second event.
In the context of the switch inspection, the events are dependent because the result of the first draw influences the probabilities in the second draw. For example:
  • When a defective switch is drawn first, there is one fewer bad switch in the pool, affecting the subsequent probabilities.
  • This affects the probability calculations because the total number of switches and the number of defective switches change with each draw.
Understanding dependent events is crucial as it reveals that prior outcomes influence subsequent probabilities. This understanding ensures more accurate calculation of probabilities and enhances the depth of problem-solving skills.
Probability Calculation
Calculating probability involves using the outcomes from the sample space and the structured paths depicted in the tree diagram. In the inspection problem, probability calculation is about determining the likelihood of certain events, such as drawing two defective switches.
To calculate the probability of both switches being defective:
  • First, determine the probability of drawing a bad switch in the first draw: \( \frac{1000}{10000} \).
  • Then, calculate the probability of the second switch being bad given that the first one was bad: \( \frac{999}{9999} \).
  • The total probability is the product of these: \( \frac{1000}{10000} \times \frac{999}{9999} \).
Multiply these probabilities to get \( \approx 0.00999 \), indicating a very small chance of randomly selecting two bad switches consecutively. Such calculations show how probabilities can be derived using structured logic and are crucial for analyzing real-life processes involving chance.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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