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Mac or \(\mathrm{PC}\) ? A recent census at a major university revealed that \(40 \%\) of its students mainly used Macintosh computers (Macs). The rest mainly used PCs. At the time of the census, \(67 \%\) of the school's students were undergraduates. The rest were graduate students. In the census, \(23 \%\) of respondents were graduate students who said that they used \(\mathrm{PCs}\) as their main computers. Suppose we select a student at random from among those who were part of the census. (a) Make a two-way table for this chance process. (b) Construct a Venn diagram to represent this setting. (c) Consider the event that the randomly selected student is a graduate student and uses a Mac. Write this event in symbolic form based on your Venn diagram in part (b). (d) Find the probability of the event described in part (c). Explain your method.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability is 0.10.

Step by step solution

01

Define Events

Let event \( M \) represent students who use Macs, and event \( P \) represent students who use PCs. Let event \( U \) represent undergraduates, and \( G \) represent graduate students. We know: \( P(M) = 0.40 \), \( P(P) = 0.60 \), \( P(U) = 0.67 \), \( P(G) = 0.33 \), and \( P(G \cap P) = 0.23 \).
02

Set Up a Two-Way Table Framework

To build a two-way table, we consider two categories: one for computer type (Mac or PC) and another for student category (Undergraduate or Graduate). Start with a grid with two rows (Mac, PC) and two columns (Undergrad, Grad).
03

Fill the Two-Way Table

Using the given probabilities:- For Macs: \( P(G \cap M) = P(G) - P(G \cap P) = 0.33 - 0.23 = 0.10 \). - \( P(U \cap M) = P(M) - P(G \cap M) = 0.40 - 0.10 = 0.30 \).- For PCs: \( P(U \cap P) = P(P) - P(G \cap P) = 0.60 - 0.23 = 0.37 \).The table will look like this:| Category | Undergrad | Graduate | Total ||--------------|-----------|----------|-------|| Mac | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.40 || PC | 0.37 | 0.23 | 0.60 || Total | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.00 |
04

Construct a Venn Diagram

Draw two circles representing Macs and Graduate Students within a universal set. One circle corresponds to \( M \), the other \( G \). Place their intersection to hold \( P(G \cap M) = 0.10 \). Use the remaining values to fill the non-intersecting parts of the circles following the calculations in previous steps.
05

Define Event Symbolically

The event in part (c) asks for a graduate student who uses a Mac. In symbolic form, it is represented by \( G \cap M \). This corresponds to the intersection of the two sets in the Venn diagram.
06

Calculate Probability of Event

The probability of a randomly selected student being a graduate student who uses a Mac is simply the intersection value from our two-way table: \( P(G \cap M) = 0.10 \). This result follows from our computation of sub-category probabilities.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Two-Way Tables
Two-way tables are fantastic tools for organizing categorical data, especially when dealing with two different variables. They let you see the relationship between these variables at a glance. In the context of our university census problem, we are looking at two specific categories: the type of computer used (Mac or PC) and the level of study (Undergraduate or Graduate).

By arranging data into a grid, we can quickly assess:
  • How many students are using Macs versus PCs.
  • The distribution between undergraduate and graduate students.
  • Any overlaps between these groups, which are key in understanding combinations of categories like graduate students using Macs.
Using the information given in the problem, we filled out the two-way table to visually balance and compare these categories. This format is beneficial as it lays out probabilities in an easy-to-digest manner and simplifies the process of finding intersection probabilities. By seeing these connections, one can easily figure out probabilities associated with complex events, such as the probability that a graduate student is using a Mac.
Venn Diagrams
Venn diagrams are visualizations that help display logical relationships between different sets. In probability and statistics, they are particularly useful for illustrating overlaps and intersections between various events. They employ circles or other shapes to represent sets, with their position and overlap reflecting set relationships.

For the problem at hand, creating a Venn diagram allows us to clearly see the intersection between students using Macs and those who are graduate students. By representing these sets with circles, and placing them within a universal space (the set of all students), we can clearly depict shared characteristics (like the students who are both Mac users and graduates).

This visual representation aids in understanding how the different groups of students relate to one another, especially when calculating the probability of these compound events. It's a valuable companion to a two-way table, providing another layer of insight through visual means.
Event Probability
Event probability is the foundation of understanding how likely an event is to occur. In probability theory, an event is simply a set of outcomes of a random experiment. The probability gives us a measure of how often we can expect this event to happen, represented as a value between 0 and 1.

In our scenario, several events are identified. These include students using Macs, students who are graduates, etc. The respective probabilities provided, such as 0.40 for Mac users and 0.33 for graduates, help quantify these events' likelihoods.

To find the probability of a more complex event, like a graduate student using a Mac, you would often use known relationships such as intersections between events or additional provided data. Calculating event probabilities, especially in intersections, involves navigating the relations we show in two-way tables and Venn diagrams, eventually leading to an understanding of how these events overlap or stand apart from one another.
Intersection of Events
The intersection of events refers to the probability that two or more events occur simultaneously. Mathematically, it's denoted by the symbol \( \cap \), which reads as 'and'. For instance, in our exercise, we are interested in the intersection of the events 'graduate student' and 'Mac user', symbolized as \( G \cap M \).

Understanding the intersection involves examining the overlap between two sets. Here, it's quantified to see how many students fit both categories (graduates and Mac users).

The importance of finding intersections lies in its ability to answer real-world questions, like the likelihood of encountering a student with specific characteristics at the same time. In our case, this was simplified using both the two-way table and Venn diagram, leading to the determination that the probability for this specific intersection event \( P(G \cap M) \) was \( 0.10 \). This value represents the fraction of the total student population meeting both criteria, thereby offering a straightforward answer to the problem at hand.

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