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91Ó°ÊÓ

Facebook versus YouTube A recent survey suggests that \(85 \%\) of college students have posted a profile on Facebook, \(73 \%\) use YouTube regularly, and \(66 \%\) do both. Suppose we select a college student at random. (a) Make a two-way table for this chance process. (b) Construct a Venn diagram to represent this setting. (c) Consider the event that the randomly selected college student has posted a profile on Facebook or uses YouTube regularly. Write this event in symbolic form based on your Venn diagram in part (b). (d) Find the probability of the event described in part (c). Explain your method.

Short Answer

Expert verified
P(F ∪ Y) = 0.92; 92% of students use Facebook, YouTube, or both.

Step by step solution

01

Define Events

Let \( F \) represent the event that a student has posted a profile on Facebook, and \( Y \) represent the event that a student uses YouTube regularly. Given probabilities are: \( P(F) = 0.85 \), \( P(Y) = 0.73 \), and \( P(F \cap Y) = 0.66 \).
02

Create a Two-Way Table

To make the two-way table, identify the intersections and complements of the events. Calculate each as follows:- Students who have only Facebook (\( F \cap Y^c \)): \( P(F \cap Y^c) = P(F) - P(F \cap Y) = 0.85 - 0.66 = 0.19 \).- Students who use only YouTube (\( F^c \cap Y \)): \( P(F^c \cap Y) = P(Y) - P(F \cap Y) = 0.73 - 0.66 = 0.07 \).- Students who neither have Facebook nor use YouTube (\( F^c \cap Y^c \)): \( P(F^c \cap Y^c) = 1 - P(F) - P(Y) + P(F \cap Y) = 1 - 0.85 - 0.73 + 0.66 = 0.08 \).| | Uses YouTube (Y) | Does Not Use YouTube (Y^c) ||--------------|------------------|-----------------------------|| Facebook (F) | 0.66 | 0.19 || Not Facebook (F^c) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
03

Construct Venn Diagram

Draw two overlapping circles, one for Facebook and one for YouTube. The intersection is \(0.66\), indicating students using both platforms. The segment in the Facebook circle alone is \(0.19\) and the segment in the YouTube circle alone is \(0.07\). Outside both circles is \(0.08\).
04

Symbolic Form for Union Event

The event that a student has either posted a profile on Facebook or uses YouTube regularly is the union of the two events, symbolically written as \( F \cup Y \).
05

Calculate Union Probability

Use the formula for the union of two events:\[ P(F \cup Y) = P(F) + P(Y) - P(F \cap Y) \]Substitute the given probabilities:\[ P(F \cup Y) = 0.85 + 0.73 - 0.66 = 0.92 \]Thus, the probability that a randomly selected college student either posted on Facebook or uses YouTube is \(0.92\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Two-way tables
A two-way table is a handy tool used in statistics to help visualize the relationship between two categorical variables. For the scenario given, the two-way table allows us to see how many college students fall into each category: those who post on Facebook, those who use YouTube, those who do both, and those who do neither. This table provides a straightforward view of the overlap and separation between the two groups.
  • "Facebook (F)" along one dimension, and "Uses YouTube (Y)" along the other.
  • The intersection of event probabilities helps us fill out the table.
  • An essential value is the complement, showing those who are not part of specific groups.
Creating a two-way table involves calculating the probability of students who only use Facebook, only use YouTube, use both, and use neither. Here, it's crucial to understand terms like "complement" (what is not happening) and "intersection" (what is happening simultaneously for both events). Calculating these helps determine:
  • Students only on Facebook: Find how many use Facebook minus both platforms. Example: 0.85 − 0.66 = 0.19.
  • Students only using YouTube: Similar calculation with 0.73 − 0.66 = 0.07.
  • Students on neither: Use 1 minus the total of probabilities including the overlap, adjusted, e.g., 1 − 0.85 − 0.73 + 0.66 = 0.08.
This method gives a clear picture of how each category of students contributes to the total, allowing us to easily see the distributions at a glance.
Venn diagrams
Venn diagrams are a visual way to represent complex statistical relationships by showing various set operations like intersections and unions. In this particular exercise regarding Facebook and YouTube use among college students, the Venn diagram clearly illustrates the relationships between the two events. Here's how to build and interpret it:
  • Draw two overlapping circles—one for Facebook and one for YouTube.
  • The overlap (intersection) shows the probability of students using both platforms, which is 0.66 here.
  • The segments of circles that standalone demonstrate the platforms used exclusively: Facebook-only at 0.19 and YouTube-only at 0.07.
  • Outside the circles, you see those who use neither platform, accounted for by 0.08.
This type of diagram not only helps in visualizing overlaps but also supports understanding complementary and exclusive events simply and intuitively. The students without access to any of the platforms do not appear within the circles, highlighting events' complements. Constructing such diagrams makes intersection and union probability calculations easier through visualization.
Union of events
The union of events in probability is a concept that combines different events to observe or calculate the likelihood of one or the other occurring. It is an integral part of understanding how two or more statistical probabilities relate. This exercise requires us to find the probability that a student either uses Facebook or YouTube. In symbolic form, it is represented as the union, written as \( F \cup Y \). Here’s the breakdown:
  • Start with the probabilities of individual events (posting on Facebook or using YouTube).
  • Apply the formula for union probability: \[ P(F \cup Y) = P(F) + P(Y) - P(F \cap Y) \]
  • Connect it with your known values: Add individual probabilities, then subtract the overlapping probability.
  • For the exercise, substitute the given numbers: \(0.85 + 0.73 - 0.66 = 0.92\).
The answer, 0.92, indicates a high probability that a randomly selected student is engaged with at least one of the platforms. Calculating such union events helps fulfill a broader understanding of overlapping probabilities and how they interact across various conditions.
Statistical probability
Statistical probability refers to how likely an event is to occur, based on known data rather than theoretical outcomes. In situations like the Facebook and YouTube example, it's vital to understand these probabilities comprehensively.
  • They are calculated from observed frequencies or given data rather than assumptions.
  • Enable us to predict real-life scenarios consistently and reliably.
  • Provide a framework for analyzing situations of chance and uncertainty.
Using statistical probability, we can effectively calculate the chance of a student being active on Facebook, YouTube, both or neither, given accurate data. This probability is also practical in developing actionable insights across different fields like market analysis and educational policies, where similar data might be collected and interpreted. These probabilities supply information about how events might coincide, allowing for informed decision-making based on empirical evidence.

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