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Who tweets? Do younger people use Twitter more often than older people? In a random sample of 316 adult Internet users aged 18 to \(29,26 \%\) used Twitter. In a separate random sample of 532 adult Internet users aged 30 to \(49,14 \%\) used Twitter. \({ }\) (a) Calculate the standard error of the sampling distribution of the difference in the sample proportions (younger adults - older adults). What information does this value provide? (b) Construct and interpret a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the difference between the true proportions of adult Internet users in these age groups who use Twitter.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The standard error is 0.0289. The 90% confidence interval is (0.0725, 0.1675).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We have two samples. The first sample has 316 younger adults (aged 18-29) with 26% using Twitter. The second sample has 532 older adults (aged 30-49) with 14% using Twitter. We need to calculate the standard error for the difference in proportions and construct a 90% confidence interval.
02

Calculate Proportions

For the younger group, the sample proportion \( p_1 = 0.26 \). For the older group, the sample proportion \( p_2 = 0.14 \).
03

Formula for Standard Error

The standard error (SE) for the difference in proportions is calculated using the formula: \[SE = \sqrt{\frac{p_1(1-p_1)}{n_1} + \frac{p_2(1-p_2)}{n_2}}\]where \(n_1 = 316\) and \(n_2 = 532\).
04

Plug Values into Formula

Substitute the known values into the formula: \[SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.26(1-0.26)}{316} + \frac{0.14(1-0.14)}{532}} \]Calculate each term and sum them up.
05

Calculate SE Value

\[SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.26 \times 0.74}{316} + \frac{0.14 \times 0.86}{532}} \]Calculate each square root term: \[\frac{0.26 \times 0.74}{316} = 0.000608,\frac{0.14 \times 0.86}{532} = 0.000227\]\[SE = \sqrt{0.000608 + 0.000227} = \sqrt{0.000835} = 0.0289\]
06

Information from SE Value

The standard error gives us an estimate of the variation or uncertainty around the difference in the sample proportions. It is used to calculate confidence intervals.
07

Calculate Confidence Interval

To calculate a 90% confidence interval, use the formula:\[(p_1 - p_2) \pm Z^* \cdot SE\]where \(Z^* = 1.645\) for a 90% confidence level.
08

Plug Values into Confidence Interval Formula

\[ (0.26 - 0.14) \pm 1.645 \cdot 0.0289 = 0.12 \pm 0.0475 \]This results in the interval \[0.0725, 0.1675\].
09

Interpret Confidence Interval

We are 90% confident that the true difference in proportions of younger and older internet users who use Twitter is between 7.25% and 16.75%. Younger adults are more likely to use Twitter.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Error
The standard error (SE) is a crucial concept in statistics that helps us measure the precision of our sample statistic. It quantifies the amount of variability or dispersion we can expect when estimating the population parameter using sample data. In simpler terms, SE allows us to understand how much the sample statistic would fluctuate if we repeatedly took samples from the same population.

When dealing with the difference in proportions between two groups, the SE can be calculated using specific formulas tailored to those conditions. For example, if you're comparing two groups' proportions, the formula looks like:\[SE = \sqrt{\frac{p_1(1-p_1)}{n_1} + \frac{p_2(1-p_2)}{n_2}}\]where:
  • \(p_1\) and \(p_2\) are the sample proportions of the two groups, and
  • \(n_1\) and \(n_2\) are the sample sizes of the two groups.
The smaller the SE, the more precise our estimate is, providing a clearer picture of the data relationship between the groups.
Sample Proportion
The sample proportion is a way to express the outcomes of a sample in categorical data as a fraction or percentage. It represents the fraction of the sample that has a certain characteristic. For example, if we want to know how many people in a sample use Twitter, the sample proportion would show us this percentage.

Calculating the sample proportion \(p\) is straightforward:\[p = \frac{x}{n}\]where \(x\) is the number of successful outcomes (e.g., people using Twitter) and \(n\) is the total number of observations in the sample.

This value provides a snapshot of the sample and is fundamental in estimating the population proportion. In our exercise, the younger and older adults' sample proportions help compare the two groups' behaviors, making it possible to understand if one demographic is more inclined to use Twitter than the other.
Difference in Proportions
In statistics, the difference in proportions refers to the subtraction of one sample proportion from another to find what the difference between them is. This value aids in determining if there is a substantial difference between the two groups regarding a specific trait.

For instance, in our context:\[p_1 - p_2 = 0.26 - 0.14 = 0.12\]This result shows that a 12% greater portion of younger adults use Twitter compared to older adults.

The difference in proportions is fundamental when creating confidence intervals. It helps in estimating the range wherein the true difference between population proportions likely resides. This informs decisions or hypotheses about if one group significantly differs from another in a given characteristic.
Random Sampling
Random sampling is a pivotal concept in statistics that ensures every individual in a population has an equal chance of being included in the sample. This practice helps to establish a sample that truly represents the entire population. By using random samples, statisticians can make more accurate generalizations and ensure that bias does not skew the results.

In our exercise, random samples of younger and older adults allow us to confidently compare the Twitter usage between these groups, with the understanding that our samples are good representations of their respective age groups.

Random sampling helps uphold the principles of fairness and unbiased data collection, which are cornerstones of credible statistical analysis. This method is vital for drawing accurate conclusions that can be generalized to the larger population.

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