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Do you go to church? The Gallup Poll asked a random sample of 1785 adults whether they attended church or synagogue during the past week. Of the respondents, 44% said they did attend. Suppose that 40% of the adult population actually went to church or synagogue last week. Let role="math" localid="1652798797523" p^ be the proportion of people in the sample who attended church or synagogue.

(a) What is the mean of the sampling distribution of p^ ? Why?

(b) Find the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of p^. Check to see if the 10% condition is met.

(c) Is the sampling distribution of p^ approximately Normal? Check to see if the Normal condition is met.

(d) Find the probability of obtaining a sample of 1785 adults in which 44% or more say they attended church or synagogue last week. Do you have any doubts about the result of this poll?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a). The mean is 0.40.

b). The standard deviation is 0.0115954.

c).A normal approximation could be applied.

d). The probability is less than 0.05. The event's occurrence is doubted.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given Information

Sample proportion (p^)=0.44,

Population proportion (p)=0.40,

Sample size (n)=1785.

02

Part (a) Step 2: Explanation

The mean of the sampling distribution can be calculated as:

p^=p

=0.40

03

Part (b) Step 1: Given Information 

Sample proportion (p^)=0.44,

Population proportion (p)=0.40,

Sample size (n)=1785.

04

Part (b) Step 2: Explanation

The sample proportion's standard deviation is calculated as:

p^=p(1-p)n

=0.40(1-0.40)1785

=0.0115954

05

Part (c) Step 1:  Given Information

Sample proportion (p^)=0.44,

Population proportion (p)=0.40,

Sample size (n)=1785.

06

Part (c) Step 2: Explanation

Here,

np=1785(0.40)

=714>10

n(1-p)=1785(1-0.40)

=1071>10

A normal approximation could be applied.

07

Part (d) Step 1: Given Information

Sample proportion (p^)=0.44,

Population proportion (p)=0.40,

Sample size (n)=1785.

08

Part (d) Step 2: Explanation

The probability of 44%of people attending church or synagogue. In addition, the poll's result is calculated as:

P(p^0.44)=PZ0.44-0.400.0115954

=P(Z3.45)

localid="1652841525984" =0.0003

The probability is less than 0.05. As a result, the event's occurrence is doubted.

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