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A deck of cards contains 52cards, of which 4are aces. You are offered the following wager: Draw one card at random from the deck. You win \(10if the card drawn is an ace. Otherwise, you lose \)1. If you make this wager very many times, what will be the mean amount you win?

(a) About 鈭\(1, because you will lose most of the time.

(b) About \)9, because you win \(10but lose only \)1.

(c) About 鈭\(0.15; that is, on average you lose about 15cents. (d) About \)0.77; that is, on average you win about 77cents.

(e) About $0, because the random draw gives you a fair bet.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The correct option is (C) About -$0.15; that is, on average you lose about 15 cents.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

Given in the question that a deck of cards contains 52cards, of which 4are aces. You are offered the following wager: Draw one card at random from the deck. You win $10if the card drawn is an ace. Otherwise, you lose $1.

02

Explanation

A deck of cards contains 4aces out of 52cards.

The number of positive outcomes divided by the total number of possible outcomes equals the probability:

localid="1649915202706" P(win)=#of favorable outcomes#of possible outcomes=452=113

localid="1649915218751" P(loss)=#of favorable outcomes#of possible outcomes=4852=1213
The expected value is the sum of the product of each possibility with its probability:

localid="1649915557204" =xP(x)=$10113+(-$1)1213=-$213-$0.15

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