/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Q T5.12. Three machines鈥擜, B, and C鈥攁... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91影视

91影视

Three machines鈥擜, B, and C鈥攁re used to produce a large quantity of identical parts at a factory. Machine A produces 60% of the parts, while Machines B and C produce 30% and 10% of the parts, respectively. Historical records indicate that 10% of the parts produced by Machine A are defective, compared with 30% for Machine B and 40% for Machine C.

(a) Draw a tree diagram to represent this chance process.

(b) If we choose a part produced by one of these three machines, what鈥檚 the probability that it鈥檚 defective? Show your work.

(c) If a part is inspected and found to be defective, which machine is most likely to have produced it? Give appropriate evidence to support your answer.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (b) The probability is 0.19

Part (c) Machine B.

Part (a) The tree diagram is

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1. Given

Machine A produces 60% of the products, which equals 0.60

Machine B produces 30% of the products, which is 0.30

The percentage of goods generated by machine C is 10%=0.10 while the percentage of items produced by machine A is 10%=0.10

The percentage of defective goods generated by machine B is 30%, or 0.30

The percentage of defective goods generated by machine C is 40%, or 0.40

02

 Part (a) Step 2. Concept used 

The Bayes theorem P(A|B)=P(AB)P(B)

03

Part (a) Step 3. Calculation

Let A signify the occurrence of a machine-made object. A. B denotes the occurrence of a machine-made item. The events of a machine-made item are denoted by the letters B. C. Defective items are denoted by the letters C. D. If an item is not faulty, the code ND is used. The following is a tree diagram with the accompanying probabilities:

04

Part (b) Step 1. Calculation

As stated in the sub part a,

P(A)=0.60P(B)=0.30P(C)=0.10

The conditional probabilities are

P(D|A)=0.10P(D|B)=0.30P(D|C)=0.40

Using the formula above,

P(DA)=0.600.10=0.06P(DB)=0.300.30=0.09P(DC)=0.100.40=0.04

Therefore,

P(D)=0.06+0.09+0.04P(D)=0.19

Thus, the required probability is0.19

05

 Part (c) Step 1. Calculation

Part b of the subparts

P(D)=0.19

The likelihood that machine A produced the damaged item selected.

P(A|D)=P(AD)/P(D)P(A|D)=0.06/0.19=0.3158P(B|D)=P(BD)P(D)P(B|D)=0.09/0.19=0.4737P(C|D)=P(CD)P(D)P(AC|D)=0.040.19=0.2105

The likelihood that machine B produced the damaged item selected.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91影视!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

The 28 students in Mr. Tabor鈥檚 AP Statistics class completed a brief survey. One of the questions asked whether each student was right- or left-handed. The two-way table summarizes the class data. Choose a student from the class at random. The events of interest are 鈥渇emale鈥 and 鈥渞ight-handed.鈥

Texas hold 鈥檈m In popular Texas hold 鈥檈m variety of poker, players make their best five-card poker hand by combining the two cards they are dealt with

three of five cards available to all players. You read in a book on poker that if you hold a pair (two cards of the same rank) in your hand, the probability of getting four of a kind is 88/1000

(a) Explain what this probability means.

(b) Why doesn鈥檛 this probability say that if you play

1000 such hands, exactly 88will be four of a kind?

Sampling senators Refer to Exercise 50.

(a) Construct a Venn diagram that models the chance process using events R: is a Republican, and F: is female.

(b) Find P(RF) Interpret this value in context.

(c) Find P(RcFc) Interpret this value in context.

Treating low bone density (4.2) Fractures of the spine are common and serious among women with advanced osteoporosis (low mineral density in the

bones). Can taking strontium ranelate help? A large medical trial assigned 1649 women to take either strontium ranelate or a placebo each day. All of

the subjects had osteoporosis and had had at least one fracture. All were taking calcium supplements and receiving standard medical care. The response variables were measurements of bone density and counts of new fractures over three years. The subjects were treated at 10 medical centers in 10 different countries.9 Outline an appropriate design for this experiment. Explain why this is the proper design.

Tall people and basketball players Select an adult at random. Define events T: a person is over 6 feet tall, and B: a person is a professional basketball player. Rank the following probabilities from smallest to largest. Justify your answer.

P(T)P(B)P(T|B)P(B|T)

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.