91影视

Ninety percent of those who receive a kidney transplant survive, but ten percent die. The transplant is successful in $60\%$of individuals who survive, while the remaining $40\%$ must return to dialysis. Those who receive a new kidney have a $70\%$ chance of surviving five years, whereas those who return to dialysis have a $50\%$ chance.

There are two choices, therefore at each knot, two branches are needed:

$Theprobability=\frac{Thenumberoffavorableoutcomes}{Thetotalnumberofpossibleoutcomes}$

Multiplication rule $P(A鈭�B鈭�C)=P\left(A\right)脳P\left(B\right)脳P\left(C\right)$

Now, for each sort of medical risk, determine the likelihood of paying using a credit card. $P(Survive5years鈭�Succeeds鈭�Survive)=90\%脳60\%脳70\%$

$=0.9脳0.6脳0.7=0.3780$

$P(Survive5years鈭�Returntodialysis鈭�Survive)=90\%脳40\%脳50\%$

$=0.9脳0.4脳0.5=0.1800$

Fill in the blanks with the corresponding probabilities: