Monty Hall problem In Parade magazine, a reader posed the following question to Marilyn vos Savant and the 鈥淎sk Marilyn鈥 column: Suppose you鈥檙e on a game show, and you鈥檙e given the choice of three doors. Behind one door is a car, behind the others, goats. You pick a door, say #1, and the host, who knows what鈥檚 behind the doors, opens another door, say #3, which has a
goat. He says to you, 鈥淒o you want to pick door #2?鈥 Is it to your advantage to switch your choice of doors? The game show in question was Let鈥檚 Make a Deal and the host was Monty Hall. Here鈥檚 the first part of Marilyn鈥檚 response: 鈥淵es; you should switch. The first door has a chance of winning, but
the second door has a chance.鈥 Thousands of readers wrote to Marilyn to disagree with her answer. But she held her ground.
(a) Use an online Let鈥檚 Make a Deal applet to perform at least repetitions of the simulation. Record whether you stay or switch (try to do each about half
the time) and the outcome of each repetition.
(b) Do you agree with Marilyn or her readers? Explain.