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In an effort to find the source of an outbreak of food poisoning at a conference, a team of medical detectives carried out a study. They examined all 50people who had food poisoning and a random sample of 200people attending the conference who didn’t get food poisoning. The detectives found that 40%of the people with food poisoning went to a cocktail party on the second night of the conference, while only 10%of the people in the random sample attended the same party. Which of the following statements is appropriate for describing the 40%of people who went to the party? (Let F = got food poisoning and A = attended party.)

(a) P(F | A) = 0.40 (d) P(AC | F) = 0.40

(b) P(A | FC) = 0.40 (e) None of these

(c) P(F | AC) = 0.40

Short Answer

Expert verified

The correct option is (e)0.40

Step by step solution

01

Step 1. Given Information

A cocktail party was attended by 40% of those who had food poisoning.

02

Step 2. Concept used

Conditional probability :P(B|A)=P(AandB)P(A)

03

Step 3. Calculation

Let F stand for food poisoning and A for attending a party, as indicated in the question.

Above that a person has good poisoning, there is a 40%chance that person will attend the party, according to the given statement.

Alternatively, given F, there is a 40%chance that A will occur.

After the vertical line, the "given" events must be specified, and the other event must be mentioned before the vertical line.

As a result, the conditional probability can be expressed as:P(A|F)=40%=0.40

The proper option, according to the option, is (e)0.40

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Stoplight On her drive to work every day, Ilana passes through an intersection with a traffic light. The light has a probability of 1/3 of being green when she gets to the intersection. Explain how you would use each chance device to simulate whether the light is red or green on a given day.

(a) A six-sided die

(b) Table D of random digits

(c) A standard deck of playing cards

Simulation blunders Explain what’s wrong with each of the following simulation designs.

(a) According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, about 26%of U.S. adults were obese in 2008. To simulate choosing 8adults at random and seeing how many are obese, we could use two digits. Let 01to 26represent obese and 27to 00represents not obese. Move across a row in Table D, two digits at a time, until you find 8 distinct numbers (no repeats). Record the number of obese people selected.

(b) Assume that the probability of a newborn being a boy is 0.5. To simulate choosing a random sample of 9babies who were born at a local hospital today and observing their gender, use one digit. Use ran dint (0,9) on your calculator to determine how many babies in the sample are male.

Free throws A basketball player has probability 0.75of making a free throw. Explain how you would use each chance device to simulate one free throw by the player.

(a) A six-sided die

(b) Table D of random digits

(c) A standard deck of playing cards

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process? (b) What is the assignment of probabilities to outcomes in this sample space?

Sampling senators Refer to Exercise 50.

(a) Construct a Venn diagram that models the chance process using events R: is a Republican, and F: is female.

(b) Find P(R∪F) Interpret this value in context.

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