/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Q 103. A probability teaser Suppose (as... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

A probability teaser Suppose (as is roughly correct) that each child born is equally likely to be a boy or a girl and that the genders of successive children are independent. If we let BG mean that the older child is a boy and the younger child is a girl, then each of the combinations BB, BG, GB, and GG has a probability 0.25Ashley and Brianna each have two children.

(a) You know that at least one of Ashley’s children is a boy. What is the conditional probability that she has two boys?

(b) You know that Brianna’s older child is a boy. What is the conditional probability that she has two boys?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (a) 33.33%

Part (b) P (Two boy At least one boy) = 0.50

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1. Given Information

At least one of Ashley's children is suffering from the disease.

02

Part (a) Step 2. Concept

Condition probability: P(A|B)=P(AandB)P(B)

03

Part (a) Step 3. Calculation

Use the following formula to calculate the probability of a condition:

P(A|B)=P(AandB)P(B)

P(Twoboy||oldestisboy)=P(Twoboyandoldestisboy)P(oldestisboy)=P(Twoboy)P(oldestisboy)

P(Twoboys)=favourableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=14=0.25

P(Atleastoneboy)=favourableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=34=0.75

As a result, the conditional probability is:

P(Twoboy||Atleastoneboy)=P(Twoboys)P(Atleastoneboy)=0.250.75=13≈0.3333=33.33%

As a result, the chances of her having two sons are 33.33%

04

Part (b) Step 1. Calculation

Condition probability: P(A/B)=P(AandB)P(B)

P(Twoboy||oldestisboy)=P(Twoboyandoldestisboy)P(oldestisboy)=P(Twoboy)P(oldestisboy)

P(Twoboys)=favourableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=14=0.25

P(oldestisboy)=favourableoutcomespossibleoutcomes=24=0.50

As a result, the conditional probability is: P(Twoboy||Atleastoneboy)=P(Twoboys)P(Atleastoneboy)=0.250.50=0.50

As a result, the conditional chance of her having two sons is 0.50

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

Random assignment Researchers recruited 20±¹´Ç±ô³Ü²Ô³Ù±ð±ð°ù²õ—8men and 12women—to take part in an experiment. They randomly assigned the subjects

into two groups of 10people each. To their surprise, 6of the 8men were randomly assigned to the same treatment. Should they be surprised? Design and carry out a simulation to estimate the probability that the random assignment puts 6or more men in the same group. Follow the four-step

process.

Tossing coins Refer to Exercise 40. Define event B: get more heads than tails. Find P(B).

Stoplight On her drive to work every day, Ilana passes through an intersection with a traffic light. The light has a probability of 1/3 of being green when she gets to the intersection. Explain how you would use each chance device to simulate whether the light is red or green on a given day.

(a) A six-sided die

(b) Table D of random digits

(c) A standard deck of playing cards

Spinning a quarter With your forefinger, hold a new quarter (with a state featured on the reverse) upright, on its edge, on a hard surface. Then flick it with your other forefinger so that it spins for some time before it falls and comes to rest. Spin the coin a total of 25 times, and record the results.

(a) What’s your estimate for the probability of heads? Why?

(b) Explain how you could get an even better estimate.

A Titanic disaster In 1912the luxury liner Titanic, on its first voyage across the Atlantic, struck an iceberg and sank. Some passengers got off the ship in lifeboats, but many died. The two-way table gives information about adult passengers who lived and who died, by class of travel. Suppose we choose an adult passenger at random.

(a) Given that the person selected was in first class, what’s the probability that he or she survived?

(b) If the person selected survived, what’s the probability that he or she was a third-class passenger?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.