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Expose marine bacteria to X-rays for time periods from 1to 15minutes. Here are the number of surviving bacteria (in hundreds) on a culture plate after each exposure time.

TimetCountyTimetCounty1355956221110383197113641661232514213216106141971041515860

(a) Make a reasonably accurate scatterplot of the data by hand, using time as the explanatory variable. Describe what you see.

(b) A scatterplot of the natural logarithm of the number of surviving bacteria versus time is shown below. Based on this graph, explain why it would be reasonable to use an exponential model to describe the relationship between the count of bacteria and time.

Minitab output from a linear regression analysis on the transformed data is shown below.

PredictorCoefSE CoefTPConstant5.973160.0597899.920.000Time-0.2184250.006575-33.220.000

S=0.110016R-Sq=98.8%R-Sq(adj)=98.7%

Give the equation of the least-squares regression line. Be sure to define any variables you use.

(d) Use your model to predict the number of surviving bacteria after 17minutes. Show your work. Do you expect this prediction to be too high, too low, or about right? Explain

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) The scatter plot is Negative, curve, and Strong.

(b) It is reasonable to use the exponential model.

(c) The equation is lny^=5.97316-0.218425t.

(d) The number of surviving bacteria after 17minutes isy^=9.58247,and the prediction is right.

Step by step solution

01

Part(a) Step 1: Given Information

TimetCountyTimetCounty1355956221110383197113641661232514213216106141971041515860

02

Part(a) Step 2: Explanation

The scatter plot is:

As a result, we can see from the scatterplot that,

Because the scatterplot slopes downhill, the direction is negative.

Because the points are not in a straight line, the shape is curved.

Strength: Strong because all points in the same pattern are relatively near together.

We also see an anomaly in the scatterplot's upper left corner.

03

Part(b) Step 1: Given Information

04

Part(b) Step 2: Explanation

The values for the bacteria count and the time are now provided in the question. As a result, we can argue that using an exponential model to describe the relationship between the count of bacteria and time would be plausible because the related scatterplot has an approximately linear pattern with no apparent strong outliers, as seen in the scatterplot in part 1. (a).

05

Part(c) Step 1: Given Information

Minitab output from a linear regression analysis on the transformed data is shown below.

PredictorCoefSE CoefTPConstant5.973160.0597899.920.000Time-0.2184250.006575-33.220.000

S=0.110016R-Sq=98.8%R-Sq(adj)=98.7%

06

Part(c) Step 2: Explanation

Now tdenotes the current time and ydenotes the number of microorganisms. As a result, the transformation is Iny, where is the count's natural logarithm.

As we already know, the regression line's general equation is as follows:

lny^=a+bt

The slope and constant in the computer output are as follows:

a=5.97316

b=-0.218425

As a result, the regression line looks like this:

localid="1652849978599" lny^=a+bt=5.97316-0.218425t

07

Part(d) Step 1: Given Information

Minitab output from a linear regression analysis on the transformed data is shown below.

PredictorCoefSE CoefTPConstant5.973160.0597899.920.000Time-0.2184250.006575-33.220.000

S=0.110016R-Sq=98.8%R-Sq(adj)=98.7%

08

Part(d) Step 2: Explanation

The regression line is

lny^=a+bt=5.97316-0.218425t

Calculation of equation is

lny^=a+bt=5.97316-0.218425t=5.97316-0.218425(17)=2.259935=e2.259935=9.58247

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