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Been to the movies? An opinion poll calls 2000 randomly chosen residential telephone numbers, then asks to speak with an adult member of the household. The interviewer asks, 鈥淗ow many movies have you watched in a movie theater in the past 12 months?鈥 In all, 1131 people respond.

(a) Identify a potential source of bias related to the question being asked. Suggest a change that would help fix this problem.

(b) Identify a potential source of bias in this survey that is not related to question wording. Suggest a change that would help fix this problem.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (a) Response bias.

Part (b) There is a selection bias and it could be removed by including the adults that own cell phones.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given information

Sample size, n=200

Number of people who responded =1131

Researchers used the replies to calculate the average number of movies adults saw in a movie theatre in the previous 12 months.

02

Part (a) Step 2: Concept

The random assignment method assigns subjects to treatments based on chance. Before the treatments are applied, random assignment establishes treatment groups that are comparable (except for chance variance). In experiments, randomization and comparison combined prevent bias or systematic favoritism.

03

Part (a) Step 3: Explanation

A poll of public opinion dials 2000 random private phone numbers and asks to speak with a grown-up member of the family unit. "How many films have you seen in a cinema in the preceding year?" the questioner inquires. Every single one of the 1131 people reacts. The answer bias is a likely scenario because if people watch movies frequently, they would forget the number of times they have watched movies and will say the first number that comes to mind. As a result, reaction bias is a possibility. By lowering the time duration from 12 to 3 months, the response bias might be eliminated.

04

Part (b) Step 1: Explanation

The participants were called by residential landline, however the young generations use cell phones, and it is possible that the young generation likes to attend movies in cinemas. As a result, there is a selection bias, which might be mitigated by include people who own cellphones.

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