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The Candy Shoppe assembles gift boxes that contain 8 chocolate truffles and two handmade caramel nougats. The truffles have a mean weight of 2 ounces with a standard deviation of 0.5 ounce, and the nougats have a mean weight of 4 ounces with a standard deviation of 1 ounce. The empty boxes weigh 3 ounces with a standard deviation of 0.2 ounce.

(a) Assuming that the weights of the truffles, nougats, and boxes are independent, what are the mean and standard deviation of the weight of a box of candy?

(b) Assuming that the weights of the truffles, nougats, and boxes are approximately Normally distributed, what is the probability that a randomly selected box of candy will weigh more than 30 ounces?

(c) If five gift boxes are randomly selected, what is the probability that at least one of them will weigh more than 30 ounces?

(d) If five gift boxes are randomly selected, what is the probability that the mean weight of the five boxes will be more than 30 ounces?

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a). Mean of the weight of the box of a candy =27

Standard deviation of the weight of the box of a candy =2.00998ounces.

(b). Probability that a candy box selected will weigh more than 30ounces is 0.06772.

(c). Probability that at least one of the boxes selected will weigh more than 30 ounces is0.2957.

(d). Probability that the mean weight of five boxes is more than 30 ounces is0.000423.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1. Given information

It is given that

Number of chocolate truffles in a gift box= 8

Number of handmade caramel nougats = 2

Mean of truffle = 2ounces

Standard deviation of a truffle= 0.5ounces

Mean of nougat =4

Standard deviation of nougat =1ounces

Mean of empty box=3ounces

Standard deviation of an empty box = 0.2ounces

02

Part (a) Step 2. simplify

Mean of 8truffles=8×E(truffle) =8×2=16ounces

Variance of 8truffles 8×Var (a truffle) role="math" localid="1650472885729" =8×0.52=2ounces

Mean of 2nougats =2×E(nougat ) =2×4=8ounces

Variance of 2nougats 2×Var (nougat )=2×12=2ounces

As the truffle, nougat and empty box are independent, so

the mean of a candy box is 16+8+3=27ounces.

Variance of a candy box

2+2+0.22=4.04ounces

Standard deviation of a candy box=

Varianceofacandybox=4.04=2.009

03

Part (b). Step 1. Given information

The weight of truffles, nougats and empty box are normally distributed.

04

Part (b) Step 2. simplify

Let X be the weight of a candy box.

The distribution will be approximately normal due to the additive property of normal distributions.

So,X~N(27,4.04)P(X>30)=P(x-μσ>30-272.00998)P(z>1.493)=1-P(z≤1.493)

From z tables,

P(z<1.49)=0.93189P(z<1.50)=0.93319

Using linear interpolation

P(z<1.493)=0.93189+(0.93319-0.9318)

Hence,P(X>30)=1-0.93228=0.06772

05

Part (c ) Step 1. Given information

we have to find out that probability that at least one of the 5boxes selected will weigh more than 30 ounces.

06

Part (c) Step. 2 Simplify

As each gift box has same probability of weighing more than30ounces and are independent ,so it can be modelled by a binomial distribution.

Let Y be the number of gift boxes weighing more than 30ounces

so,Y~Bin(5,0.06772)P(Y≥1)=1-P(Y=0)SO,P(Y=0)=C05×0.067720×(1-0.06772)5-00.704258

Hence the required probability is

1-0.704258=0.2957

07

Part (d) Step 1.  Given information

We have to find that the probability that the mean weight of five boxes is more than 30ounces.

08

Part (d) Step 2. Simplify

we know that by central limit theorem

X~N(μx,σx2n)

Here X= Mean

σ=Standard deviation

N= 30

Now ,after putting all the value in the above formula we get,

P(X>30)=P(x-σxσx>30-272.009985)P(z>3.337)=1-P(z<3.337)

From z tables,

P(z<3.33)=0.99957P(z<3.34)=0.99958

Now, by using linear interpolation we get

P(z<3.337)=0.99957+(0.99958-0.9957)×0.7=0.999577

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