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Is it significant? For students without special preparation, SAT Math scores in recent years have varied Normally with mean \(\mu=518\) . One hundred students go through a rigorous training program designed to raise their SAT Math scores by improving their mathematics skills. Use your calculator to carry out a test of $$ \begin{array}{l}{H_{0} : \mu=518} \\ {H_{a} : \mu>518}\end{array} $$ in each of the following situations. (a) The student's scores have mean \(\overline{x}=536.7\) and standard deviation \(s_{x}=114 .\) Is this result significant at the 5\(\%\) level? (b) The students' scores have mean \(\overline{x}=537.0\) and standard deviation \(s_{x}=114 .\) Is this result significant at the 5\(\%\) level? (c) When looked at together, what is the intended lesson of (a) and ( b)?

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) Not significant at 5%; (b) Significant at 5%. (c) Small mean changes can affect significance.

Step by step solution

01

State the Hypotheses

We are given the null hypothesis \(H_0: \mu = 518\) and the alternative hypothesis \(H_a: \mu > 518\). We are testing whether the training program has significantly improved students' SAT Math scores.
02

Calculate the Test Statistic

For both (a) and (b), we will calculate the test statistic using the formula: \( z = \frac{\overline{x} - \mu}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}} \), where \( \overline{x} \) is the sample mean, \( \mu \) is the population mean, \( s \) is the sample standard deviation, and \( n \) is the sample size of 100 students.
03

Step 3(a): Calculate for Case (a)

For \( \overline{x} = 536.7 \), calculate the test statistic: \[ z = \frac{536.7 - 518}{\frac{114}{\sqrt{100}}} = \frac{18.7}{11.4} \approx 1.64 \]
04

Step 3(b): Calculate for Case (b)

For \( \overline{x} = 537.0 \), calculate the test statistic: \[ z = \frac{537.0 - 518}{\frac{114}{\sqrt{100}}} = \frac{19}{11.4} \approx 1.67 \]
05

Determine the Critical Value

At a 5% significance level for a right-tailed test, the critical z-value is approximately 1.645. This is the z-value above which we would reject the null hypothesis \(H_0\).
06

Step 5(a): Interpret Results for Case (a)

For (a), \(z \approx 1.64\) is less than the critical value 1.645. Therefore, we fail to reject the null hypothesis at the 5% significance level.
07

Step 5(b): Interpret Results for Case (b)

For (b), \(z \approx 1.67\) is greater than the critical value 1.645. Consequently, we reject the null hypothesis, indicating the result is significant at the 5% level.
08

Discuss the Lesson Learned

The analysis in (a) and (b) shows that small differences in sample means can determine whether results are statistically significant. Even a slightly higher mean in (b) compared to (a) leads to a significant result, highlighting the importance of accurate data.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is an essential method in statistics that allows you to make decisions or inferences about a population parameter based on sample data. It's like a courtroom proceeding where the null hypothesis acts as the defendant, presumed "innocent" until proven "guilty."
  • **Null Hypothesis (\(H_0\))**: This is a statement that suggests there is no effect or no difference; for this exercise, \(H_0: \mu = 518\). It implies the training program did not improve scores.
  • **Alternative Hypothesis (\(H_a\))**: This is what you want to prove; \(H_a: \mu > 518\) suggests the training improved scores.
The goal is to determine whether the data provides enough evidence to reject \(H_0\). If the evidence is strong enough (based on a predetermined significance level), you can then support \(H_a\). In our exercise, the 5% significance level indicates how willing we are to accept the risk of declaring a significant improvement when there was none.
Normal Distribution
The normal distribution is a key concept in statistics due to its natural occurrence in many real-world scenarios. Think of it as the bell curve because of its distinctive shape. It's symmetrical, with most of the data clustering around the mean.
  • **Mean (\(\mu\))**: The average or "center" of the data. In this problem, the mean SAT score for students without preparation is \(\mu = 518\).
  • **Standard Deviation (\(s\))**: This measures the dispersion or spread of data points. Here, \(s = 114\) represents how SAT scores are spread around the average.
Understanding the normal distribution is crucial because it underpins many statistical methods, including z-tests, which are used to determine if a sample mean, like the scores of students in a new training, differs significantly from a known population mean.
Z-score Calculation
Z-score calculation helps you determine how far (in standard deviations) a data point or sample mean is from the population mean. This is crucial in hypothesis testing as it shows how typical or atypical the observed data is relative to a known distribution.
In this exercise, the z-score is calculated using the formula: \[z = \frac{\overline{x} - \mu}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}}\]- **\(\overline{x}\)** is the sample mean, taken as 536.7 for case (a) and 537.0 for case (b).- **\(\mu\)** is the population mean, 518 here.- **\(s\)** is the sample standard deviation (114).- **\(n\)** is the sample size (100 students).By plugging in these values, you compute the z-score for each case, which tells you how many standard deviations the sample mean is from the population mean. If the computed z-score surpasses the critical value (1.645 for this 5% level test), this indicates a significant result, meaning that the observed sample mean was uncommon enough under the null hypothesis to conclude that \(\mu\) is indeed greater than 518.

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