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Blink When two lights close together blink alternately, we 鈥渟ee鈥 one light moving back and forth if the time between blinks is short. What is the longest interval of time between blinks that preserves the illusion of motion? Ask subjects to turn a knob that slows the blinking until they 鈥渟ee鈥 two lights rather than one light moving. A report gives the results in the form 鈥渕ean plus or minus the standard error of the mean."" Data for 12 subjects are summarized as \(251 \pm 45\) (in milliseconds). (a) Find the sample standard deviation \(s_{{s}}\) for these measurements. Show your work. (b) Explain why the interval \(251 \pm 45\) is not a confidence interval.

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) Sample standard deviation is approximately 155.88 ms. (b) The interval is the mean plus/minus standard error, not a confidence interval since it lacks a confidence level multiplier.

Step by step solution

01

Identify Given Values

The mean of the sample is given as 251 milliseconds, and the standard error of the mean is 45 milliseconds. The number of subjects (sample size) is 12.
02

Formula for Standard Error

The standard error of the mean (SE) is calculated using the formula \( SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \( s \) is the sample standard deviation and \( n \) is the sample size.
03

Rearrange for Sample Standard Deviation

We rearrange the formula to solve for \( s \): \( s = SE \cdot \sqrt{n} \). Substituting the given values obtains \( s = 45 \cdot \sqrt{12} \).
04

Calculation

Calculate \( \sqrt{12} \approx 3.464 \). Therefore, \( s = 45 \cdot 3.464 \approx 155.88 \) milliseconds.
05

Sample Standard Deviation

The calculated sample standard deviation \( s_{{s}} \) is approximately 155.88 milliseconds, which is how spread out the blinking times are among the 12 subjects.
06

Understand Confidence Intervals

A confidence interval provides a range of values within which we expect the true population parameter to fall, generally accompanied by a confidence level.
07

Explanation for Part (b)

The interval \(251 \pm 45\) is not a confidence interval but rather a statement of the sample mean plus and minus the standard error. Confidence intervals are constructed from the mean using the standard error, but they also account for a chosen confidence level, which affects the multiplier for the standard error (often derived from a t-distribution for small sample sizes).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Deviation
The standard deviation in statistics is a measure that tells us how much the individual data points in a dataset differ from the mean, or average, of that dataset. In other words, it gives us an idea of the spread of a data set. When data points are more spread out from the mean, the standard deviation is higher. Conversely, data points close to the mean result in a lower standard deviation.
For example, if 12 subjects in an experiment have blinking times around the mean of 251 milliseconds, and their times vary greatly, we would expect a high standard deviation. This spread is represented by the symbol "s." To find the sample standard deviation, we can rearrange the standard error formula. Given that "SE = s / sqrt(n)", where "SE" is the standard error and "n" is the sample size, we solve for "s" (standard deviation) as follows:
  • "s = SE * sqrt(n)"
In our case, substituting the values gives us a calculated sample standard deviation of approximately 155.88 milliseconds. This means the blinking times are quite spread out from the average, showing high variability.
Sample Size
Sample size, often denoted as "n," is crucial in statistics. It refers to the number of observations or subjects in a study or the portion of the population that was sampled. In the context of our experiment, the sample size is 12, which means we collected data from 12 individuals. A larger sample size usually provides more reliable statistical estimates of a population parameter because it reduces the margin of error and increases the precision of the estimates. With a small sample size, like 12, our estimate of the population parameter might not be as reliable due to greater potential for sampling error. Sample size influences the accuracy of our measures, such as the mean and standard deviation. It also plays a vital role in the calculation of the standard error (SE), since SE decreases as "n" increases, following the formula "SE = s / sqrt(n)." Therefore, the larger your sample size, the smaller your standard error, leading to more precise estimates of the population mean.
Standard Error
Standard error is a vital concept in AP Statistics that helps in understanding how sample means would distribute if you were to take many samples from a population. It provides insight into the accuracy of the mean estimation. The standard error of the mean \(SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\), shows the relationship between the sample standard deviation (s), the sample size (n), and the mean.The smaller the standard error, the closer the sample mean is likely to be to the population mean. This is essential when we extrapolate sample data to make inferences about a larger population. The standard error decreases as the sample size increases since a larger sample size tends to provide a more accurate reflection of the population.In our experiment, the standard error is given as 45 milliseconds. This value indicates the degree of variability of the mean blinking time from one sample of 12 subjects to another. Remember, this value alone does not create a confidence interval. To construct a confidence interval, one would also need to involve a multiplier based on the chosen confidence level, which is usually derived from the t-distribution when dealing with smaller sample sizes.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Multiple choice: Select the best answer for Exercises 49 to 52. A Gallup Poll found that only 28% of American adults expect to inherit money or valuable possessions from a relative. The poll's margin of error was \(\pm 3\) percentage points at a 95% confidence level. This means that (a) the poll used a method that gets an answer within 3% of the truth about the population 95% of the time. (b) the percent of all adults who expect an inheritance is between 25% and 31%. (c) if Gallup takes another poll on this issue, the results of the second poll will lie between 25% and 31%. (d) there鈥檚 a 95% chance that the percent of all adults who expect an inheritance is between 25% and 31%. (e) Gallup can be 95% confident that between 25% and 31% of the sample expect an inheritance.

Multiple choice: Select the best answer for Exercises 49 to 52. I collect an SRS of size n from a population and compute a 95% confidence interval for the population proportion. Which of the following would produce a new confidence interval with larger width (larger margin of error) based on these same data? (a) Use a larger confidence level. (b) Use a smaller confidence level. (c) Increase the sample size. (d) Use the same confidence level, but compute the interval n times. Approximately 5% of these intervals will be larger. (e) Nothing can guarantee absolutely that you will get a larger interval. One can only say that the chance of obtaining a larger interval is 0.05.

Critical values What critical value t* from Table B should be used for a confidence interval for the population mean in each of the following situations? (a) A 90% confidence interval based on n 12 observations. (b) A 95% confidence interval from an SRS of 30 observations.

For Exercises 27 to 30, check whether each of the conditions is met for calculating a confidence interval for the population proportion p. Rating dorm food Latoya wants to estimate what proportion of the seniors at her high school like the cafeteria food. She interviews an SRS of 50 of the 175 seniors living in the dormitory. She finds that 14 think the cafeteria food is good.

Multiple choice: Select the best answer for Exercises 49 to 52. Most people can roll their tongues, but many can鈥檛. The ability to roll the tongue is genetically determined. Suppose we are interested in determining what proportion of students can roll their tongues. We test a simple random sample of 400 students and find that 317 can roll their tongues. The margin of error for a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion of tongue rollers among students is closest to (a) 0.008. (c) 0.03. (e) 0.208. (b) 0.02. (d) 0.04.

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