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For Exercises 27 to 30, check whether each of the conditions is met for calculating a confidence interval for the population proportion p. Rating dorm food Latoya wants to estimate what proportion of the seniors at her high school like the cafeteria food. She interviews an SRS of 50 of the 175 seniors living in the dormitory. She finds that 14 think the cafeteria food is good.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The conditions for calculating a confidence interval for the proportion are not fully met; the independence condition is not satisfied.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Scenario

Latoya wants to estimate the proportion of seniors who like the cafeteria food. She sampled 50 seniors out of 175, and found 14 who like the food.
02

Define Sample Proportion

Calculate the sample proportion, denoted as \( \hat{p} \). It is the number of successes (seniors who like the food) divided by the sample size. \( \hat{p} = \frac{14}{50} = 0.28 \).
03

Check SRS Condition

Ensure that the sample is a Simple Random Sample (SRS) from the population of 175 seniors, which it is, as stated in the problem.
04

Check Normality Condition

For normality, both \( np \) and \( n(1-p) \) should be greater than or equal to 10. Calculate \( n\hat{p} = 50 \times 0.28 = 14 \) and \( n(1-\hat{p}) = 50 \times 0.72 = 36 \). Both values are 10 or more, satisfying the condition.
05

Check Independence Condition

Ensure the sample size is less than 10% of the population. Here, \( n = 50 \) and \( 0.1 \times 175 = 17.5 \); thus, 50 is more than 10% of 175. This condition is not met, so independence might be an issue.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Simple Random Sample (SRS)
A Simple Random Sample, often abbreviated as SRS, is a fundamental concept in statistics. It refers to a sampling method where each individual in the population has an equal chance of being selected.
This randomness ensures that the sample is unbiased and accurately represents the larger population.
  • **Equal Chance**: Every member of the population should have the same probability of selection.
  • **Unbiased Selection**: The selection should be free from systematic bias.
In the context of Latoya's survey, an SRS of 50 seniors was taken from a total population of 175. This process helps ensure that the sample accurately reflects the opinions of all seniors living in the dorm. SRS is crucial when estimating proportions because it supports the validity of statistical inferences, like confidence intervals, by minimizing potential biases.
Sample Proportion
The sample proportion, represented by the symbol \( \hat{p} \), is a critical measurement when estimating a population proportion. It indicates the fraction of the sample that has a particular characteristic.
To calculate it, you divide the number of successes (or occurrences of the desired outcome) by the total sample size.
  • **Formula**: \( \hat{p} = \frac{\text{number of successes}}{\text{sample size}} \)
  • **Example**: In Latoya's scenario, 14 out of 50 seniors like the cafeteria food, making \( \hat{p} = \frac{14}{50} = 0.28 \).
The sample proportion is a point estimate of the true population proportion and is used as a foundation for constructing confidence intervals. It helps to understand the likelihood of a certain proportion of the population sharing a specific attribute.
Normality Condition
The Normality Condition ensures that the sample distribution of the proportion is approximately normal. This condition allows the use of normal probability models for accurate estimation. For the condition to hold:
    Both \( n\hat{p} \) and \( n(1-\hat{p}) \)* should be at least 10.
This condition ensures the sample size is large enough for the sampling distribution to be normal.
In Latoya's case:
  • **Calculate**: \( n = 50 \), \( \hat{p} = 0.28 \)
  • **Values**: \( n\hat{p} = 50 \times 0.28 = 14 \); \( n(1-\hat{p}) = 50 \times 0.72 = 36 \)
Both numbers are above 10, fulfilling the Normality Condition.
This allows confidence intervals to be constructed using the normal distribution.
Independence Condition
The Independence Condition is necessary to ensure that the sample observations do not influence one another. This helps maintain the validity of statistical inferences.
One way to check this condition is to ensure that the sample size is less than 10% of the entire population, which minimizes the chance of dependency.
  • **Calculate**: The population size here is 175 seniors.
  • **Condition**: For independence, the sample of 50 should be less than 175 \( \times 0.1 = 17.5 \).
Unfortunately, in Latoya's case, 50 exceeds 17.5, which suggests that the independence condition is not met.
This means that we need to be cautious about potential biases or dependencies that might arise during sampling. While this may add some uncertainty to the results, it doesn't render the findings invalid but highlights the importance of understanding sampling limitations.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Conditions Explain briefly why each of the three conditions—Random, Normal, and Independent—is important when constructing a confidence interval.

Should we use t? In each of the following situations, discuss whether it would be appropriate to construct a one-sample t interval to estimate the population mean. (a) We want to estimate the average age at which U.S. presidents have died. So we obtain a list of all U.S. presidents who have died and their ages at death. (b) How much time do students spend on the Internet? We collect data from the 32 members of our AP Statistics class and calculate the mean amount of time that each student spent on the Internet yesterday. (c) Judy is interested in the reading level of a medical journal. She records the length of a random sample of 100 words from a multipage article. The Minitab histogram below displays the data.

Shoes The AP Statistics class in Exercise 1 also asked an SRS of 20 boys at their school how many shoes they have. A 95% confidence interval for the difference in the population means (girls – boys) is 10.9 to 26.5. Interpret the confidence interval and the confidence level.

Election polling Gloria Chavez and Ronald Flynn are the candidates for mayor in a large city. We want to estimate the proportion p of all registered voters in the city who plan to vote for Chavez with 95% confidence and a margin of error no greater than 0.03. How large a random sample do we need? Show your work.

Starting a nightclub A college student organization wants to start a nightclub for students under the age of 21. To assess support for this proposal, they will select an SRS of students and ask each respondent if he or she would patronize this type of establishment. They expect that about 70% of the student body would respond favorably. What sample size is required to obtain a 90% confidence interval with an approximate margin of error of 0.04? Show your work.

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