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Who Gets Interviewed? Abby, Deborah, Mei-Ling, Sam, and Roberto are students in a small seminar course. Their professor decides to choose two of them to interview about the course. To avoid unfairness, the choice will be made by drawing two names from a hat. (This is an SRS of size 2.) a. Write down all possible choices of two of the five names. This is the sample space. b. The random drawing makes all choices equally likely. What is the probability of each choice? c. What is the probability that Mei-Ling is chosen? d. Abby, Deborah, and Mei-Ling liked the course. Sam and Roberto did not like the course. What is the probability that both people selected liked the course?

Short Answer

Expert verified
There are 10 possible choices, each with a probability of \(\frac{1}{10}\). Mei-Ling's probability of being chosen is \(\frac{2}{5}\), and the probability both liked the course is \(\frac{3}{10}\).

Step by step solution

01

Identify All Possible Combinations

The sample space is a list of all possible combinations of two students chosen from the group of five. This is a combination problem where order does not matter and no repetition is allowed. The combinations are as follows: (Abby, Deborah), (Abby, Mei-Ling), (Abby, Sam), (Abby, Roberto), (Deborah, Mei-Ling), (Deborah, Sam), (Deborah, Roberto), (Mei-Ling, Sam), (Mei-Ling, Roberto), and (Sam, Roberto). In formula form, this is \(\binom{5}{2}\), which equals 10 possible pairs.
02

Calculate the Probability of Each Choice

Since this is a simple random sample (SRS) and all choices are equally likely, each pair has an equal probability of being chosen. Hence, the probability of each choice is \( \frac{1}{\text{total combinations}} = \frac{1}{10}\).
03

Calculate the Probability That Mei-Ling is Chosen

Check for combinations containing Mei-Ling: (Abby, Mei-Ling), (Deborah, Mei-Ling), (Mei-Ling, Sam), and (Mei-Ling, Roberto). There are 4 combinations that include Mei-Ling out of the 10 total combinations. The probability that Mei-Ling is chosen is \( \frac{4}{10} = \frac{2}{5} \).
04

Determine the Probability That Both People Liked the Course

Abby, Deborah, and Mei-Ling liked the course. Therefore, we consider combinations consisting only of these three students: (Abby, Deborah), (Abby, Mei-Ling), and (Deborah, Mei-Ling). There are 3 favorable outcomes. Thus, the probability that both selected people liked the course is \( \frac{3}{10} \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combinations
Combinations are a way of selecting items from a larger pool where the order does not matter. In our exercise, we are concerned with choosing two students from a group of five. We need to select these students in pairs, and the order in which they are paired does not change the result. This is a classic example of combinations in mathematics. The formula to calculate combinations is represented as \( \binom{n}{r} \), where \( n \) is the total number of items to pick from, and \( r \) is the number of items to pick. For this problem, it's \( \binom{5}{2} \), which calculates to 10 possible pairs. Here are the potential pairs:
  • (Abby, Deborah)
  • (Abby, Mei-Ling)
  • (Abby, Sam)
  • (Abby, Roberto)
  • (Deborah, Mei-Ling)
  • (Deborah, Sam)
  • (Deborah, Roberto)
  • (Mei-Ling, Sam)
  • (Mei-Ling, Roberto)
  • (Sam, Roberto)
Understanding combinations helps us to solve the exercise efficiently and know all possible outcomes.
Sample Space
The sample space is a term used in probability to describe the set of all possible outcomes of an experiment or random process. In the context of this exercise, the sample space consists of all potential student pairs that could be drawn from the seminar course. Since there are five students, the number of combinations, as we calculated, is 10. Therefore, these 10 pairs represent our sample space. This is important because having a complete sample space allows us to see all potential outcomes and thus correctly determine probabilities. When looking at the full collection of possibilities, it ensures that nothing is missed which could skew our probability calculations later on.
Simple Random Sample
A Simple Random Sample (SRS) is a method of selecting a subset of individuals from a larger population, such that each individual is chosen randomly and entirely by chance, giving each individual an equal probability of being selected at any stage during the selection process. In the context of our exercise, the two students are selected by drawing names from a hat, which perfectly exemplifies an SRS. This method ensures fairness because every pair of students has an equal chance of being selected, which is reflected in each having the same probability when calculated. The SRS is fundamental in statistics to ensure unbiased representation of a population, avoiding favoritism or sampling bias.
Probability Calculation
Probability calculation is about determining how likely an event is to occur. In this exercise, each outcome within the sample space is equally likely. Therefore, the probability of any particular pair being chosen is calculated by dividing 1 by the total number of possible outcomes: \( \frac{1}{10} \). For more specific probabilities, such as Mei-Ling being chosen, we count the number of favorable outcomes (those that include Mei-Ling) and divide by the total number of outcomes: \( \frac{4}{10} = \frac{2}{5} \). Similarly, for calculating the probability that both selected students liked the course, we count combinations where both students liked the course, giving us: \( \frac{3}{10} \). Understanding how to calculate these probabilities enables us to answer different parts of the problem accurately.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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