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Are They Disjoint? Which of the following pairs of events, \(A\) and \(B\), are disjoint? Explain your answers. a. A person is selected at random. \(A\) is the event "the person selected is less than age 18 "; \(B\) is the event "the person selected is age 18 or over." b. A person is selected at random. \(A\) is the event "the person selected earns more than \(\$ 100,000\) per year"; \(B\) is the event "the person selected earns more than \(\$ 250,000\) per year." c. A pair of dice are tossed. \(A\) is the event "one of the dice is a 3 "; \(B\) is the event "the sum of the two dice is 3 ."

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) Disjoint, (b) Not disjoint, (c) Disjoint.

Step by step solution

01

Identify Disjoint Events

Two events are disjoint if they cannot occur at the same time. This means there is no overlap between them, or mathematically, their intersection is empty: \(A \cap B = \emptyset\).
02

Check Events for Part A

In part a, the events are: - \(A\): The person selected is less than age 18.- \(B\): The person selected is age 18 or over.These two events cannot happen simultaneously because someone cannot be both less than 18 and 18 or older. Thus, they are disjoint.
03

Analyze Part B Events

For part b, we have:- \(A\): The person selected earns more than \(\\(100,000\) per year.- \(B\): The person selected earns more than \(\\)250,000\) per year.These events are not disjoint because if a person earns more than \(\\(250,000\), they also earn more than \(\\)100,000\). Thus, there is overlap, and they can occur together.
04

Evaluate Part C Events

In part c, the events are:- \(A\): One of the dice is a 3.- \(B\): The sum of the two dice is 3.If one of the dice is a 3, then the sum cannot be 3, since the minimum sum with one die as 3 would be 4. Likewise, achieving a sum of 3 requires both dice to show a 1 and 2. Hence, these events cannot occur at the same time, making them disjoint.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Theory
Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that studies the likelihood of events happening. It gives us a quantitative measure to assess how likely it is for any given event to occur. For instance, when you roll a dice, each possible outcome has an associated probability ranging from 0 to 1, where 0 means impossible and 1 means certain. Understanding probability helps in making informed decisions based on the likelihood of various outcomes.
Imagine predicting if it will rain tomorrow. Probability theory helps us understand such chances and prepare accordingly, whether it's carrying an umbrella or planning outdoor activities. Knowing the basics of how likely events are to occur, like whether two events are disjoint or not, forms the foundation of more intricate probability studies.
In basic terms, probability theory establishes a framework that helps us navigate uncertainty by using numbers to predict future events. It is vital for various fields, from finance to healthcare.
  • Events have probabilities between 0 and 1.
  • Understanding probabilities aids in predicting outcomes.
  • Helps in distinguishing between possible and impossible events.
Intersection of Events
In probability theory, the intersection of events refers to situations where two events occur simultaneously. Mathematically, the intersection of two events, say event \(A\) and event \(B\), is denoted as \(A \cap B\). This concept is crucial in understanding how different events might overlap and what this means for their combined probability.
  • If two events have no intersection, they are termed as disjoint events, meaning they do not happen together.
  • If two events can occur simultaneously, their intersection is not empty, and they are not disjoint.

For example, when you flip a coin and roll a dice, the event of getting a head and the event of rolling a 4 can happen at the same time, making them not disjoint. But in the exercise's context, consider two events where a person is either under 18 years or 18 and above; these can't happen at the same time, illustrating what an intersection and its absence mean in practical scenarios.
  • Disjoint events have an intersection of an empty set: \(A \cap B = \emptyset\).
  • Understanding intersections aids in determining the relationship between events.
Statistical Analysis
Statistical analysis involves collecting and scrutinizing every data sample in a set of items from which samples can be drawn. It plays a crucial role in probability theory, as probabilities often inform various statistical models and interpretations.
Through statistical analysis, we estimate the likelihood of specific outcomes and test hypotheses about datasets. For example, determining how likely it is for specific event pairings to be disjoint or not in a population gives us insights into broader patterns and correlations. Statistical tools allow us to predict future trends based on historical data, which is invaluable in areas like science, business, and social studies.
  • Helps in making inferences about the probability of an event based on data.
  • Provides a mechanism to test hypotheses and assess the likelihood of outcomes.

In our exercise, statistical analysis aids in assessing the likelihood of monetary outcomes based on income data, and dice roll outcomes, helping to visualize and confirm theoretical probability understandings. This analysis ultimately helps in making informed decisions and predictions based on available data.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Simulating an Opinion Poll. A 2019 Gallup Poll showed that about \(34 \%\) of the American public have very little or no confidence in big business. Suppose that this is exactly true of the population. Choosing a person at random then has probability \(0.34\) of getting one who has very little or no confidence in big business. Use the Probability applet or statistical software to simulate choosing many people at random. (In most software, the key phrase to look for is "Bernoulli trials." This is the technical term for independent trials with Yes/No outcomes. Our outcomes here are "Favorable" or "Not. Favorable.") a. Simulate drawing 50 people, then 100 people, then 400 people. What proportion have very little or no confidence in big business in each case? We expect (but because of chance variation we can't be sure) that the proportion will be closer to \(0.34\) with larger samples. b. Simulate drawing 50 people 10 times and record the percentages in each sample who have very little or no confidence in big business. Then simulate drawing 400 people 10 times and again record the 10 percentages. Which set of 10 results is less variable? We expect the results of samples of size 400 to be more predictable (less variable) than the results of samples of size 50 . That is "long-run regularity" showing itself.

Choose a common fruit fly Drosophila melanogaster at random. Call the length of the thorax (where the wings and legs attach) \(Y\). The random variable \(Y\) has the Normal distribution with mean \(\mu=0.800\) millimeter \((\mathrm{mm})\) and standard deviation \(\sigma=0.078 \mathrm{~mm}\). The probability \(P(Y>1)\) that the fly you choose has a thorax more than \(1 \mathrm{~mm}\) long is about a. \(0.995 .\) b. \(0.5\). c. \(0.005\).

Spelling Errors. Spell-checking software catches "nonword errors" that result in a string of letters that is not a word, as when "the" is typed as "teh." When undergraduates are asked to type a 250word essay (without spell- checking), the number \(X\) of nonword errors has the following distribution: \begin{tabular}{|l|c|c|c|c|c|} \hline Value of \(\boldsymbol{X}\) & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 \\ \hline Probability & \(0.1\) & \(0.2\) & \(0.3\) & \(0.3\) & \(0.1\) \\ \hline \end{tabular} a. Is the random variable \(X\) discrete or continuous? Why? b. Write the event "at least one nonword error" in terms of \(X\). What is the probability of this event? c. Describe the event \(X \leq 2\) in words. What is its probability? What is the probability that \(X<2\) ?

Who Takes the GMAT? In many settings, the "rules of probability" are just basic facts about percentages. The Graduate Management Admission Test (GMAT) website provides the following information about the geographic region of citizenship of those who took the test in 2018: \(1.9 \%\) were from Africa; \(0.3 \%\) were from Australia and the Pacific Islands; \(2.4 \%\) were from Canada; \(14.3 \%\) were from Central and South Asia; \(36.1 \%\) were from East and Southeast Asia; \(1.7 \%\) were from Eastern Europe; \(3.2 \%\) were from Mexico, the Caribbean, and Latin America; \(2.2 \%\) were from the Middle East; \(30.3 \%\) were from the United States; and \(7.6 \%\) were from Western Europe. 4 a. What percentage of those who took the test in 2018 were from the Americas (either Canada, the United States, Mexico, the Caribbean, or Latin America)? Which rule of probability did you use to find the answer? b. What percentage of those who took the test in 2018 were from some other region than the United States? Which rule of probability did you use to find the answer?

Probability Says ... Probability is a measure of how likely an event is to occur. Match one of the probabilities that follow with each statement of likelihood given. (The probability is usually a more exact measure of likelihood than is the verbal statement.) \(\begin{array}{lllllll}0 & 0.05 & 0.45 & 0.50 & 0.55 & 0.95 \quad 1\end{array}\) a. This event is impossible. It can never occur. b. This event is just as likely to occur as it is to not occur. c. This event is very likely, but it will not occur once in a while in a long sequence of trials. d. This event will occur slightly less often than not.

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