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More hypotheses Write the null and alternative hypotheses you would use to test each situation. a. In the \(1950 \mathrm{~s}\), only about \(40 \%\) of high school graduates went on to college. Has the percentage changed? b. Twenty percent of cars of a certain model have needed costly transmission work after being driven between 50,000 and 100,000 miles. The manufacturer hopes that a redesign of a transmission component has solved this problem. c. We field-test a new-flavor soft drink, planning to market it only if we are sure that over \(60 \%\) of the

Short Answer

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For scenario A, null hypothesis: 'The percentage of high school graduates who go on to college is still \(40\%\)', alternative hypothesis: 'The percentage of high school graduates who go on to college is not \(40\%\).' For scenario B, null hypothesis: '\(20\%\) of cars still need costly transmission work after being driven between \(50,000\) and \(100,000\) miles', alternative hypothesis: 'Less than \(20\%\) of cars need costly transmission work after being driven between \(50,000\) and \(100,000\) miles.' For scenario C, null hypothesis: 'Less than or equal to \(60\%\) of the population will like the new soft drink', alternative hypothesis: 'More than \(60\%\) of the population will like the new soft drink.'

Step by step solution

01

Formulate Hypotheses for Scenario A

In this situation, the question is whether the percentage of high school graduates who go to college has changed since the 1950s. The null hypothesis, \(H_0\), would be 'The percentage of high school graduates who go on to college is still \(40\%\).' And the alternative hypothesis, \(H_a\), would be 'The percentage of high school graduates who go to college is not \(40\%\).'
02

Formulate Hypotheses for Scenario B

In this scenario, the car manufacturer hopes that a redesign has decreased the percentage of cars needing costly transmission work after being driven between \(50,000\) and \(100,000\) miles. The null hypothesis, \(H_0\), would be ' \(20\%\) of cars still need costly transmission work after being driven between \(50,000\) and \(100,000\) miles.' The alternative hypothesis, \(H_a\), would be 'Less than \(20\%\) of cars need costly transmission work after being driven between \(50,000\) and \(100,000\) miles.'
03

Formulate Hypotheses for Scenario C

In the final scenario, a new-flavor soft drink will be marketed only if it is certain that over \(60\%\) of the population will like it. The null hypothesis, \(H_0\), would be 'Less than or equal to \(60\%\) of the population will like the new soft drink.' The alternative hypothesis, \(H_a\), would be 'More than \(60\%\) of the population will like the new soft drink.'

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, often denoted as \(H_0\), is a statement that there is no effect or no difference in the situation being tested. It serves as a starting point for statistical analysis and assumes that any kind of change, like a change in a percentage or a difference in outcomes, is due to random chance. For example, in a scenario where we want to test if the proportion of students going to college has changed from 1950s levels, the null hypothesis would state that the proportion remains at 40%. This way, it provides a baseline that can be used to determine how likely the observed data would occur if \(H_0\) were true.

In hypothesis testing, your goal is often to find evidence to reject the null hypothesis. If you can't find enough evidence, you fail to reject it, indicating that you couldn't support any kind of effect or change.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, denoted as \(H_a\), presents a statement that you aim to support through statistical testing. Unlike the null hypothesis, the alternative hypothesis suggests that there is a significant effect or a difference. It is essentially the research hypothesis that you suspect is true.

For instance, if a car manufacturer claims that redesigning a component will make their car more reliable, the alternative hypothesis would be that less than 20% of cars need costly transmission work, following the redesign. If enough evidence is found to support \(H_a\), it can lead to the rejection of the null hypothesis... affirming that a change has indeed occurred.
Statistical Analysis
Statistical Analysis is a critical component of hypothesis testing. It involves the use of statistical methods to determine whether the observed data differs significantly from what would be expected under the null hypothesis. This process helps researchers make informed conclusions based on the data.
  • Descriptive statistics help summarize data and present it in a manageable way.
  • Inferential statistics allow us to make conclusions about a population based on sample data.
Various statistical tests can be used, like the Z-test or T-test, depending on the nature of data and hypotheses. Through these techniques, you decide if the data significantly supports the alternative hypothesis or not.

Statistical analysis also involves determining the significance level, often set at 5%. This significance level indicates the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true.
Proportion Hypothesis Test
A proportion hypothesis test is specifically designed to evaluate claims about population proportions. It's a form of statistical analysis used when you are dealing with proportions or percentages rather than means or other types of data. For instance, questioning whether more than 60% of people prefer a new soft drink flavor involves a proportion hypothesis test.
  • First, define both null \(H_0\) and alternative \(H_a\) hypotheses.
  • Then, collect sample data and calculate the sample proportion.
  • Use a standard formula to calculate the test statistic (often Z-score).
  • This statistic helps in determining the probability of observing the sample data, assuming the null hypothesis is true.
Such tests help businesses and researchers make data-driven decisions, especially when they involve claims about percentages or proportions in a population. By using this method, you can confirm or refute a claim about a population's characteristic.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Women executives A company is criticized because only 13 of 43 people in executive-level positions are women. The company explains that although this proportion is lower than it might wish, it's not a surprising value given that only \(40 \%\) of all its employees are women. What do you think? Test an appropriate hypothesis and state your conclusion. Be sure the appropriate assumptions and conditions are satisfied before you proceed.

WebZine A magazine is considering the launch of an online edition. The magazine plans to go ahead only if it's convinced that more than \(25 \%\) of current readers would subscribe. The magazine contacted a Simple Random Sample of 500 current subscribers, and 137 of those surveyed expressed interest. What should the company do? Test an appropriate hypothesis and state your conclusion. Be sure the appropriate assumptions and conditions are satisfied before you proceed.

Pollution A company with a fleet of 150 cars found that the emissions systems of 7 out of the 22 they tested failed to meet pollution control guidelines. Is this strong evidence that more than \(20 \%\) of the fleet might be out of compliance? Test an appropriate hypothesis and state your conclusion. Be sure the appropriate assumptions and conditions are satisfied before you proceed.

Obesity 2016 In \(2016,\) the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that \(36.5 \%\) of adults in the United States are obese. A county health service planning a new awareness campaign polls a random sample of 750 adults living there. In this sample, 228 people were found to be obese based on their answers to a health questionnaire. Do these responses provide strong evidence that the \(36.5 \%\) figure is not accurate for this region? Correct the mistakes you find in a student's attempt to test an appropriate hypothesis. $$ \begin{array}{l} \mathrm{H}_{0}: \hat{p}=0.365 \\ \mathrm{H}_{\mathrm{A}}: \hat{p}<0.365 \\ \mathrm{SRS}, 750 \geq 10 \\ \frac{228}{750}=0.304 ; S D(\hat{p})=\sqrt{\frac{(0.304)(0.696)}{750}}=0.017 \end{array} $$ \(z=\frac{0.304-0.365}{0.017}=-3.588\) $$ \mathrm{P}=P(z>-3.588)=0.9998 $$ There is more than a \(99.98 \%\) chance that the stated percentage is correct for this region.

An airline's public relations department says that the airline rarely loses passengers' luggage. It further claims that on those occasions when luggage is lost, \(90 \%\) is recovered and delivered to its owner within 24 hours. A consumer group that surveyed a large number of air travelers found that only 103 of 122 people who lost luggage on that airline were reunited with the missing items by the next day. Does this cast doubt on the airline's claim? Explain.

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