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Cholesterol In the latest National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES 2013/2014-wwwn.cdc.gov/ nchs/nhanes), HDL cholesterol of 2515 U.S. adults averaged \(53.9 \mathrm{mg} / \mathrm{dL}\) with a standard deviation of \(16.2729 \mathrm{mg} / \mathrm{dL}\). (Data in NHANES) a. Can you apply the Central Limit Theorem to describe the distribution of the cholesterol measurements? Why or why not? b. Can you apply the Central Limit Theorem to describe the sampling distribution model for the sample mean of U.S. adults? Why or why not? c. Sketch and clearly label the sampling model of the mean cholesterol levels of samples of size 2515 based on the \(68-95-99.7\) Rule.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) No, the Central Limit Theorem is not applied directly to individual data sets or population but to the sampling distribution derived from it.\nb) Yes, since the sample size is greater than 30, the Central Limit Theorem can be applied to describe the sampling distribution of the sample mean.\nc) After calculating the standard error, sketch a normal distribution model centered around 53.9, the given mean, marking sections at one, two, and three standard errors from the mean, representing the 68%, 95%, and 99.7% portions of data according to the rule.

Step by step solution

01

Examining Cholesterol Measurements

Part a is asking if the original population of cholesterol measurements can be modelled with the Central Limit Theorem. Normally, we do not apply the Central Limit theorem directly to the given data or any individual population. It is applicable to the sampling distribution of means, derived from the population. So, in the case of the cholesterol measurements of 2515 adults, the Central Limit Theorem does not directly apply.
02

Exploring the Sampling Distribution Model

For part b, the Central Limit Theorem would be applicable. The Central Limit Theorem states that if the number of observations (our sample size) is sufficiently large, which is generally considered to be greater than or equal to 30, then the sampling distribution of the mean will be approximately normally distributed, regardless of the shape of the population distribution. Here, the number of observations i.e, 2515, is sufficiently large. Hence, the Central Limit Theorem can be applied here to describe the sampling distribution model for the sample mean of U.S. adults.
03

Drawing and Labelling the Sampling Distribution of Mean

For part c, you need to first calculate the standard error, which is given by the formula \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation and \( n \) is the number of observations. This measures the spread of the distribution of the sample means. Afterwards you can draw a rough sketch of a normal distribution model, centered around the provided mean of \( 53.9 \), and then label the mean plus one, two, and three standard errors away from the mean, and the corresponding areas under the curve following the 68-95-99.7 rule.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sampling Distribution
The concept of a sampling distribution is fundamental in statistics, particularly when making inferences about populations. It refers to the probability distribution of a statistic, like the mean or variance, obtained from a larger number of samples drawn from the same population. Think of it as a collection of statistics calculated from multiple samples.

When we repeatedly take samples of the same size from a population and calculate their means, these means form their own distribution–that's the sampling distribution of the mean. The Central Limit Theorem is closely related to this, as it describes how the sampling distribution of the mean will behave when the sample size is sufficiently large - typically, 30 or more is considered large enough. This means the more samples we take, the more the sampling distribution of the sample means will resemble a normal distribution, regardless of the population's original distribution.
Standard Deviation
Understanding standard deviation is crucial because it measures the amount of variation or dispersion from the average. In plain language, it tells us how spread out the numbers are in a data set. For instance, with cholesterol levels among U.S. adults, if everyone had similar levels, the standard deviation would be small, indicating low variability. But, if cholesterol levels varied widely from the average, the standard deviation would be large.

In statistical terms, standard deviation is denoted as 'σ' (sigma) for the population and 's' for the sample. It is calculated by taking the square root of the variance, which is the average of the squared differences from the Mean. This measure is crucial in the Central Limit Theorem because it helps determine the standard error of the sampling distribution, which in turn influences how we interpret the variability of sample means.
Normal Distribution
When data is said to follow a normal distribution, it's depicted by a specific bell-shaped curve known as the Gaussian distribution. This pattern arises naturally in countless types of data, and its familiarity is a boon: it means you can make reliable statistical inferences about the data. Characteristics of the normal distribution include symmetry around the mean and a decline in frequency of observations as you move further from the mean.

Why is this important? Because many statistical methods presuppose that data follows a normal distribution. This assumption is not always a given; therefore, the Central Limit Theorem offers reassurance since it shows that sample means will approximate normality even when the source population does not. This versatility makes the normal distribution a powerful tool for predicting probabilities and making decisions based on data.
68-95-99.7 Rule
Also known as the empirical rule, the 68-95-99.7 rule is an easy-to-remember shorthand for the properties of the normal distribution. Specifically, this rule states that in a normal distribution:
  • Approximately 68% of the data falls within one standard deviation (σ) of the mean.
  • About 95% of the data falls within two standard deviations (2σ).
  • Roughly 99.7% of the data falls within three standard deviations (3σ).
So, for any given sample mean, we can predict the likelihood that a value will fall within a certain range around that mean - a handy tool in many fields, from quality control to risk assessment. Applying this rule to the cholesterol level example helps to visualize the distribution of means and understand the variability of the data. Sketching this according to the provided data allows us to label and identify these intervals, thereby aiding in the comprehension of what the numbers are revealing about the population.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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