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91Ó°ÊÓ

Find the indicated confidence interval. Assume the standard error comes from a bootstrap distribution that is approximately normally distributed. A \(95 \%\) confidence interval for a proportion \(p\) if the sample has \(n=100\) with \(\hat{p}=0.43,\) and the standard error is \(S E=0.05\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 95% confidence interval for the proportion is [0.332, 0.528].

Step by step solution

01

Determine the z-score for the desired confidence level

A 95% confidence level corresponds to a z-score of 1.96, that is, the area under the standard normal curve within 1.96 standard deviations of the mean accounts for 95% of the data.
02

Multiply the standard error by the z-score

Multiply the standard error (\(SE=0.05\)) by the z-score (1.96) to find the margin of error. That is, Margin of Error = Z-score * Standard Error = 1.96 * 0.05 = 0.098.
03

Add and subtract the margin of error from the sample proportion to find the confidence interval

The confidence interval is found by adding and subtracting the margin of error from the sample proportion (\(\hat{p}=0.43\)). Lower endpoint = \(\hat{p}\) - Margin of Error = 0.43 - 0.098 = 0.332. Upper endpoint = \(\hat{p}\) + Margin of Error = 0.43 + 0.098 = 0.528.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Proportion in Confidence Intervals
A proportion is a type of ratio where a specific part is compared to the whole. It provides information on how many times an event occurs relative to the total number of observations. For instance, if you have a sample of 100 people and 43 of them like ice cream, then the proportion \( \hat{p} \) is 0.43, meaning 43% of those sampled like ice cream.

In statistics, when we want to estimate the proportion of an entire population, we rely on the sample proportion, the calculation of which is often straightforward. However, to account for sampling variability, a confidence interval is provided around this sample proportion. This interval allows for a range of possible values within which the true population proportion likely resides. By calculating a 95% confidence interval, you can be 95% certain that the true proportion lies within that interval. This concept is critical in making informed decisions based on data.
Calculating Standard Error for Proportions
The standard error (SE) is a crucial concept when estimating confidence intervals, as it measures the variability of a sample statistic from the population parameter. Specifically, in the context of proportions, it quantifies how much the sample proportion \( \hat{p} \) is expected to deviate from the true population proportion under repeated sampling.

The standard error for a proportion is typically calculated using the formula \( SE = \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}} \), where \( n \) is the sample size. In instances where a bootstrap distribution is utilized, the standard error might be estimated through resampling techniques. This is particularly useful if the analytical calculation of SE is complex due to non-standard data conditions.

In our scenario, the standard error is given as 0.05. This SE means we can expect the sample proportion's estimate to vary by this amount due to sampling processes. Understanding and calculating the SE allows researchers and analysts to measure the precision of the sample estimate and construct appropriate confidence intervals.
Leveraging Bootstrap Distribution for Confidence Intervals
Bootstrap distribution is a powerful statistical technique that involves repeatedly resampling with replacement from the observed dataset. This method is used to approximate the distribution of a statistic, such as the mean or proportion.

In constructing confidence intervals, the bootstrap method generates multiple samples, each capable of producing a sample statistic. By examining variations across these statistics, a bootstrap distribution emerges, from which the standard error is estimated. This approach is advantageous when traditional methods of calculating the standard error are impractical or when the data do not meet normal distribution assumptions.

In the exercise under discussion, the given standard error is derived from a bootstrap distribution, which is assumed to be approximately normally distributed. By using the bootstrap approach, one can assess the reliability of the sample's proportion and consequently form a precise confidence interval. This contributes significantly to the robustness and credibility of statistical inferences.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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