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91Ó°ÊÓ

Find the indicated confidence interval. Assume the standard error comes from a bootstrap distribution that is approximately normally distributed. A \(95 \%\) confidence interval for a mean \(\mu\) if the sample has \(n=50\) with \(\bar{x}=72\) and \(s=12,\) and the standard error is \(S E=1.70 .\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 95% confidence interval for the mean is (71.672, 72.328).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the given data

We are given that the sample size \(n = 50\), the sample mean \(\overline{x} = 72\), the standard deviation \(s = 12\), the standard error \(SE = 1.70\) and the confidence level which is \(95\%.\)
02

Identify the z-score

The Z value for a \(95\%\) confidence interval is \(1.96\) when reading from standard Z-table. This value corresponds to the proportion of data to be found within the confidence interval.
03

Calculate the confidence interval

The formula for the confidence interval is given by \((\overline{x}-Z \cdot SE, \overline{x}+Z \cdot SE)\). Substituting the values, the confidence interval becomes \((72 - 1.96 \cdot 1.70, 72 + 1.96 \cdot 1.70)\). Simplifying gives us \((71.672, 72.328)\). Thus, the \(95\%\) confidence interval for the mean is \((71.672, 72.328).\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Bootstrap Distribution
The concept of a bootstrap distribution pertains to the idea of resampling with replacement. In simple terms, the bootstrap method involves taking small repeated samples, often called 'bootstrap samples', from a larger dataset and calculating a statistic, like mean or median, for each sample. These statistics form what is known as a bootstrap distribution.

This distribution is ideal for estimating the precision of sample statistics, supporting the creation of a confidence interval in the absence of other information. In our exercise, the bootstrap distribution is assumed to be normally distributed, a condition that aligns with the central limit theorem when sample sizes are sufficiently large, as they approach a normal shape.
Standard Error
Standard error (SE) is a vital concept in statistics that measures the accuracy with which a sample mean represents a population mean. To put it plainly, SE gives us an idea of how much the sample mean would 'bounce around' if we were to take repeated samples from the population.

In the provided exercise, the standard error is given as 1.70. This figure helps us to derive the range where the true population mean is likely to lie with a given level of confidence. As the SE decreases, our estimates become more precise, which is directly influenced by the sample size and the variability of the data.
Normal Distribution
Often referred to as the 'bell curve', the normal distribution is a continuous probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean.

In practice, the normal distribution applies the central limit theorem, which implies that the distribution of sample means approximates a normal distribution as the sample size becomes large. This property is utilized in the exercise to establish the confidence interval, hinting that our sample is large enough to warrant the normal approximation.
Sample Size
Sample size, denoted as 'n', is quite literally the number of observations in a sample. It plays a crucial role in statistical analyses, primarily influencing the standard error. The larger the sample size, the lower the standard error, making the sample mean a better estimate of the population mean.

In our exercise, we have a sample size of 50, which is generally considered a good number for approximating a normal distribution of the sample mean, given the central limit theorem.
Sample Mean
The sample mean, symbolized as \(\bar{x}\), is the average of all observations in the sample. It is one of the most fundamental statistics and serves as an estimate of the population mean. When we calculate confidence intervals, the sample mean sits at the center of the interval.

With a given sample mean of 72 in the exercise, we utilize it to center our confidence interval, suggesting where the true population mean could likely be found.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation (s) quantifies the spread or variability within a set of data points. A low standard deviation indicates that the values tend to be close to the mean, while a high standard deviation indicates that the values are spread out over a wider range.

The value of 12 in our exercise implies that individual measurements in the sample are, on average, 12 units away from the sample mean. This number is crucial in determining the sample's variability and consequently affects the standard error calculation.
Z-score
Finally, the z-score is a key element in this discussion. Essentially, a z-score represents the number of standard errors a data point is from the mean. When constructing confidence intervals, z-scores help us to gauge where a certain percentage of the data lies, relative to the mean.

In the context of a 95% confidence level, as in our exercise, a z-score of 1.96 is used. This figure is the threshold at which about 95% of the data is contained within the mean plus or minus 1.96 standard errors, setting the boundaries for our confidence interval.

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The area in the right tail more extreme than \(z=3.0\)

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