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In Exercises 3.49 and 3.50 , a \(95 \%\) confidence interval is given, followed by possible values of the population parameter. Indicate which of the values are plausible values for the parameter and which are not. A \(95 \%\) confidence interval for a proportion is 0.72 to \(0.79 .\) Is the value given a plausible value of \(p ?\) (a) \(p=0.85\) (b) \(p=0.75\) (c) \(p=0.07\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The plausible value for \(p\) is \(p = 0.75\). The values \(p = 0.85\) and \(p = 0.07\) are not plausible.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Confidence Interval

The 95% confidence interval given is 0.72 to 0.79. This means we can be 95% confident that the true value of the population proportion is within this interval.
02

Evaluate Each Value

Now, for each value, examine if it falls within the given interval. The values are: (a) \(p = 0.85\), (b) \(p = 0.75\), and (c) \(p = 0.07\).
03

Determine Plausibility

(a) \(p = 0.85\) does not lie within the interval 0.72 to 0.79, so it isn't a plausible value. \n(b) \(p = 0.75\) lies within the interval 0.72 to 0.79, so it is a plausible value. \n(c) \(p = 0.07\) does not lie within the interval 0.72 to 0.79, so it isn't a plausible value.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population Parameter
In statistics, the term "population parameter" refers to a specific value that describes a characteristic of the entire population. Imagine surveying a large group of people to find out how many prefer ice cream over cake. If you could ask everyone, the percentage that prefers ice cream would be the population parameter.

The difficult part is, in reality, we cannot usually survey the entire population. So, we take a sample and use it to estimate the population parameter. This is where confidence intervals come into play—they provide a range that estimates the true population parameter based on our sample. For instance, when we say a confidence interval for a proportion is from $0.72$ to $0.79$, we're estimating that the real proportion of the population lies within this range.
  • The population parameter is usually unknown and estimated from the sample.
  • The confidence interval provides a range for this unknown parameter.
Plausibility
Plausibility in the context of confidence intervals refers to whether a proposed value of the population parameter seems reasonable. It helps us understand if a certain value can be considered likely based on the sample data and the confidence interval.

When you have a confidence interval, like $0.72$ to $0.79$, and you're given different potential values of $p$, you can determine if these values are plausible by checking if they fall within the interval.
  • A value is considered plausible if it lies within the confidence interval range.
  • For example, $p = 0.75$ is plausible because it lies between $0.72$ and $0.79$. Conversely, values like $p = 0.85$ are not plausible since they fall outside the range.
Evaluating the plausibility of different values is vital to making informed statistical decisions.
Proportion
A proportion is a type of ratio that compares a part to the whole. It's a way of showing how many parts out of a total are being considered. For instance, if 45 out of 100 students prefer ice cream, the proportion is $0.45$.

In statistics, understanding proportions is helpful in making decisions about entire populations based on smaller samples. When we discuss a confidence interval for a proportion being $0.72$ to $0.79$, we're looking at an estimate of a total population feature based on a sample.
  • Proportions give us insights into the nature of the dataset or population.
  • Through proportions, we can measure how likely something is within a context.
So when using proportions, like $p$, within confidence intervals, you're estimating part of a population measured in your sample compared to the whole.

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