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Survival of ICU Patients The dataset ICUAdmissions, introduced in Data 2.3 on page 66 , includes information on 200 patients admitted to an Intensive Care Unit. One of the variables, Status, indicates whether each patient lived (indicated with a 0 ) or died (indicated with a 1). Use technology and the dataset to construct and interpret a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of ICU patients who live.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 95% confidence interval for the proportion of ICU patients who live is \( CI = [CI_{lower}, CI_{upper}] \). This indicates that we are 95% confident that the true proportion of ICU patients who live is between \( CI_{lower} \) and \( CI_{upper} \).

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the Proportion of Survival

Firstly, calculate the proportion of patients who lived by dividing the number of patients who lived (Status equals to 0) by the total number of patients.
02

Calculate the Standard Error

Calculate the standard error for the proportion using the formula \( SE = \sqrt{ \frac{p(1-p)}{n} }\) where p is the proportion of patients who lived and n is the total number of patients.
03

Define confidence level

For a 95% confidence level, the critical value (Z) from the Z-distribution table is 1.96.
04

Calculate the Confidence Interval

Calculate the lower and upper limits of the confidence interval using the formulas: \( CI_{lower} = p - (Z * SE) \) and \( CI_{upper} = p + (Z * SE) \) respectively.
05

Interpret the Confidence Interval

The confidence interval gives a range of values within which the true proportion of ICU patients who live is likely to fall, with a confidence level of 95%.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Proportion Calculation
In statistical analysis, calculating the proportion is an essential step for understanding data distribution. To determine the proportion of ICU patients who survived, you need to find how many of the total patients truly lived. If the dataset reveals 200 patients, you should first locate how many patients had a status of 0, indicating survival. Suppose 150 patients survived (status 0); you will calculate the proportion as follows.

The formula for calculating the proportion, denoted as \( p \), is:
  • Identify the number of patients who lived: Suppose this is 150.
  • Total patients in the ICU: This is given as 200.
  • Proportion \( p \) = Number of patients who lived / Total patients = \(150 / 200 = 0.75\).
With this proportion calculation, you have a base for understanding more about ICU patient survival, moving on to further statistical analysis.
Standard Error
Once you know the proportion of surviving ICU patients, you should calculate the Standard Error (SE). This is a measure of the variability or dispersion of the sample proportion from the true population proportion. The Standard Error helps us assess how much sample proportions might fluctuate from one sample to another. It is essential for computing the confidence interval.

The formula for Standard Error is:\[ SE = \sqrt{ \frac{p(1-p)}{n} } \]Where:
  • \( p \) is the proportion of surviving patients (in our example, 0.75).
  • \( n \) is the total number of observations or patients (200 in this case).
By calculating this, you determine how much the proportion \( p \) you found might vary in repeated samples, preparing for the next step to find the confidence interval.
ICU Patient Survival
Understanding ICU patient survival through the use of confidence intervals provides a statistical way to estimate the survival rate's reliability and range. A confidence interval gives a range which potentially holds the true population proportion. For our ICU patient case, constructing a 95% confidence interval allows you to be fairly certain that this interval contains the true survival proportion.

Here's how you find it:1. Set the confidence level. Typically, a 95% confidence level corresponds to a Z-score of 1.96.2. Use the calculated \( p \) and Standard Error to find the interval:- Lower limit: \( CI_{lower} = p - Z * SE \)- Upper limit: \( CI_{upper} = p + Z * SE \)In our example:
  • \( CI_{lower} = 0.75 - 1.96 * SE \)
  • \( CI_{upper} = 0.75 + 1.96 * SE \)
By interpreting this interval, practitioners and analysts gain confidence in understanding the survival rates, accounting for natural variability, making informed clinical and administrative decisions in healthcare settings.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Describes scores on the Critical Reading portion of the Scholastic Aptitude Test (SAT) for college-bound students in the class of 2010. Critical Reading scores are approximately normally distributed with mean \(\mu=501\) and standard deviation \(\sigma=112\) (a) For each sample size below, use a normal distribution to find the percentage of sample means that will be greater than or equal to \(525 .\) Assume the samples are random samples. i. \(n=1\) ii. \(n=10\) iii. \(n=100\) iv. \(n=1000\) (b) Considering your answers from part (a), discuss the effect of the sample size on the likelihood of a sample mean being as far from the population mean as \(\bar{x}=525\) is from \(\mu=501\).

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