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A \(95 \%\) confidence interval is given, followed by possible values of the population parameter. Indicate which of the values are plausible values for the parameter and which are not. \(\mathbf{3 . 4 4}\) A \(95 \%\) confidence interval for a proportion is 0.72 to \(0.79 .\) Is the value given a plausible value of \(p ?\) (a) \(p=0.85\) (b) \(p=0.75\) (c) \(p=0.07\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
For the given confidence interval of 0.72 to 0.79, the plausible value of p is 0.75 and the implausible values of p are 0.85 and 0.07.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding Confidence Intervals

A confidence interval provides an estimated range of values which is likely to include an unknown population parameter. A 95% confidence interval means we are 95% confident that the true population parameter lies within this range.
02

Determining Plausible Values

To determine if a given value for the population parameter p is plausible, we need to see if it falls within the confidence interval. The given confidence interval is from 0.72 to 0.79.
03

Testing the given values

Now we test each of the given values. When p = 0.85, since 0.85 is not within 0.72 to 0.79, it is not a plausible value. When p = 0.75, since 0.75 is within 0.72 to 0.79, it is a plausible value. When p = 0.07, since 0.07 is not within 0.72 to 0.79, it is not a plausible value.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population Parameter
When studying statistics, it's essential to understand what a population parameter is. In simple terms, a population parameter is a value that represents a characteristic of an entire population. For instance, if you're curious about the average height of all adults in a city, that average height would be a population parameter.

In the context of confidence intervals, like the one given in our exercise with a confidence level of 95%, we aim to estimate this unknown parameter without surveying every single individual in the population. This approach is beneficial when it's impractical or impossible to collect data from everyone.

The confidence interval generated from sample data gives us a range where we can expect the actual population parameter to fall. It's also important to note that the more confident we want to be (say, moving from 95% to 99%), the wider our confidence interval will usually become. This widening reflects the increased certainty we're seeking in covering the true population parameter.
Proportion
A proportion is a specific kind of population parameter that represents the fraction of the population that has a particular characteristic. For example, if you want to know the proportion of students in a school who enjoy playing chess, you are looking for a value between 0 and 1 (or 0% to 100%) that represents this subgroup.

In our textbook exercise, we're given a confidence interval for the proportion, labeled as 'p'. It's crucial to understand 'p' represents the estimated proportion of the population with the characteristic being studied, based on the sample data.

The values within the range of the interval (0.72 to 0.79) are considered plausible values for 'p', which means the actual population proportion is statistically likely to be within this range. It does not mean that proportions outside this range are impossible, just that they are not supported by the sample data according to the specified confidence level.
Statistical Significance
The concept of statistical significance plays a pivotal role in determining whether the results we observe in a sample can be confidently extended to the entire population. It's a measure of the likelihood that the relationship or difference observed in your data occurred by chance.

When making inferences about a population parameter, the confidence interval helps us assess statistical significance. A value is said to be statistically significant if it falls outside the range of values we'd expect to see simply due to random variation in the sample data.

In the exercise, we can infer that a given value like 0.85 or 0.07 is not statistically significant with respect to the estimated proportion because these values do not lie within the confidence interval of 0.72 to 0.79. On the other hand, 0.75 is within this interval, suggesting that this value could plausibly be the true proportion in the population given our current evidence and the specified confidence level.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Average Penalty Minutes in the NHL In Exercise 3.86 on page \(204,\) we construct an interval estimate for mean penalty minutes given to NHL players in a season using data from players on the Ottawa Senators as our sample. Some percentiles from a bootstrap distribution of 1000 sample means are shown below. Use this information to find and interpret a \(98 \%\) confidence interval for the mean penalty minutes of NHL players. Assume that the players on this team are a reasonable sample from the population of all players.

3.54 Number of Text Messages a Day A random sample of \(n=755\) US cell phone users age 18 and older in May 2011 found that the average number of text messages sent or received per day is 41.5 messages, \({ }^{25}\) with standard error about 6.1 (a) State the population and parameter of interest. Use the information from the sample to give the best estimate of the population parameter. (b) Find and interpret a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the mean number of text messages.

Give the correct notation for the quantity described and give its value. Correlation between points and penalty minutes for the 24 players with at least one point on $$ \begin{aligned} &\text { Table 3.4 Points and penalty minutes for the 2009-2010 Ottawa Senators NHL team }\\\ &\begin{array}{lllllllllll} \hline \text { Points } & 71 & 57 & 53 & 49 & 48 & 34 & 32 & 29 & 28 & 26 & 26 & 26 \\ \text { Pen mins } & 22 & 20 & 59 & 54 & 34 & 18 & 38 & 20 & 28 & 121 & 53 & 24 \\ \hline \text { Points } & 24 & 22 & 18 & 16 & 14 & 14 & 13 & 13 & 11 & 5 & 3 & 3 \\ \text { Pen mins } & 45 & 175 & 16 & 20 & 20 & 38 & 107 & 22 & 190 & 40 & 12 & 14 \\ \hline \end{array} \end{aligned} $$ the \(2009-2010\) Ottawa Senators \(^{9}\) NHL hockey team. The data are given in Table 3.4 and the full data are available in the file OttawaSenators.

Student Misinterpretations Suppose that a student is working on a statistics project using data on pulse rates collected from a random sample of 100 students from her college. She finds a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for mean pulse rate to be \((65.5,\) 71.8). Discuss how each of the statements below would indicate an improper interpretation of this interval. (a) I am \(95 \%\) sure that all students will have pulse rates between 65.5 and 71.8 beats per minute. (b) I am \(95 \%\) sure that the mean pulse rate for this sample of students will fall between 65.5 and 71.8 beats per minute. (c) I am \(95 \%\) sure that the confidence interval for the average pulse rate of all students at this college goes from 65.5 to 71.8 beats per minute. (d) I am sure that \(95 \%\) of all students at this college will have pulse rates between 65.5 and 71.8 beats per minute. (e) I am \(95 \%\) sure that the mean pulse rate for all US college students is between 65.5 and 71.8 beats per minute. (f) Of the mean pulse rates for students at this college, \(95 \%\) will fall between 65.5 and 71.8 beats per minute. (g) Of random samples of this size taken from students at this college, \(95 \%\) will have mean pulse rates between 65.5 and 71.8 beats per minute.

Give information about the proportion of a sample that agree with a certain statement. Use StatKey or other technology to find a confidence interval at the given confidence level for the proportion of the population to agree, using percentiles from a bootstrap distribution. StatKey tip: Use "CI for Single Proportion" and then "Edit Data" to enter the sample information. Find a \(99 \%\) confidence interval if, in a random sample of 1000 people, 382 agree, 578 disagree, and 40 can't decide.

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