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A \(95 \%\) confidence interval is given, followed by possible values of the population parameter. Indicate which of the values are plausible values for the parameter and which are not. \(\mathbf{3} . \mathbf{4 3}\) A \(95 \%\) confidence interval for a mean is 112.1 to 128.2 . Is the value given a plausible value of \(\mu\) ? (a) \(\mu=121\) (b) \(\mu=113.4\) (c) \(\mu=105.3\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The plausible values for the population mean from the given options are: \( \mu =121 \) and \( \mu =113.4 \). The value \( \mu =105.3 \) is not plausible.

Step by step solution

01

Understand Confidence Intervals

A 95% confidence interval for a mean is a range where we expect the true population mean to fall 95% of the time. In essence, we're pretty confident that the actual mean is somewhere in this range. Given our confidence interval in this exercise is from 112.1 to 128.2, we should be able to simply look at our plausible values and see if they fall within this range.
02

Evaluate Value (a) \(\mu=121\)

\(\mu=121\) lies inside the given confidence interval because it falls between 112.1 and 128.2. Therefore, it is a plausible value for the mean of the population.
03

Evaluate Value (b) \(\mu=113.4\)

\(\mu=113.4\) is inside the given confidence interval because it falls between 112.1 and 128.2. Therefore, it is also a plausible value for the mean of the population.
04

Evaluate Value (c) \(\mu=105.3\)

\(\mu=105.3\) falls outside the given confidence interval as the value is less than 112.1. Therefore, it is not a plausible value for the mean of the population.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the Population Mean
The population mean is a fundamental concept in statistics, representing the average of a given population. Rather than calculating the mean from every member of the population (which might be impractical), statisticians often estimate it using sample data. The true population mean, symbolized as \( \mu \), is what we aim to estimate through our data.
Understanding the population mean is crucial, as it serves as a baseline for exploring differences or changes within a dataset. For example, if conducting a study on people's heights in a city, the population mean would give a central value around which all individual heights tend to cluster.
This concept is important for making predictions and informed decisions based on data. It's a key player in many statistical procedures, including hypothesis testing and constructing confidence intervals.
Introduction to Statistical Inference
Statistical inference is the process by which we draw conclusions about a population based on sample data. It's a powerful tool that helps make educated guesses about unknown parameters, like the population mean, when direct collection isn't feasible.
Through statistical inference, we can:
  • Estimate parameters (e.g., means)
  • Test hypotheses
  • Asses relationships or differences among variables
This involves using probability to evaluate how reliable our conclusions are. Confidence intervals are a central method in statistical inference, giving a range that is likely to include the population parameter of interest.
By employing statistical inference, we harness sample data to formulate insights about larger groups, guiding effective decision-making and improved understanding of systems or phenomena of interest.
Deciphering Plausibility Assessments
A plausibility assessment in the context of a confidence interval is about determining whether a given population parameter value falls within a specified range. Given the uncertainty inherent in sample data, confidence intervals give us a method to evaluate potential values for parameters.
For instance, in our problem, we were given a 95% confidence interval for the mean, which was 112.1 to 128.2. To assess plausibility:
  • If a value for \( \mu \) is within this interval, it is plausible.
  • If it lies outside, it is not plausible.
This simple check helps statisticians or researchers determine which values are reasonable estimates for their needs. Remember, though, it is based on a confidence level, so there's a small chance that the true mean does not lie within this interval, underscoring the importance of understanding the limitations of statistical tools in the context of uncertainty.

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