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Consider two populations for which \(\mu_{1}=30\), \(\sigma_{1}=2, \mu_{2}=25,\) and \(\sigma_{2}=3 .\) Suppose that two independent random samples of sizes \(n_{1}=40\) and \(n_{2}=50\) are selected. Describe the approximate sampling distribution of \(\bar{x}_{1}-\bar{x}_{2}\) (center, spread, and shape).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The approximate sampling distribution of \(\bar{x}_{1}-\bar{x}_{2}\) has a center at 5, a spread (or standard error) of 0.61, and, by the Central Limit Theorem, is shaped as a Normal distribution.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Expected Value

The expected value of \(\bar{x}_{1}-\bar{x}_{2}\) is given by \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\), which is \(30 - 25 = 5\). So, the center of the distribution is 5.
02

Calculate the Standard Error

The standard error of \(\bar{x}_{1}-\bar{x}_{2}\) is given by the square root of the sum of the variances divided by their respective sample sizes. This is \(\sqrt{\frac{\sigma_{1}^2}{n_{1}}+\frac{\sigma_{2}^2}{n_{2}}}\). Substituting in the given values, this is \(\sqrt{\frac{2^2}{40}+\frac{3^2}{50}}\), which approximates to 0.61. So, the spread of the distribution is 0.61.
03

Determine the Shape

Because the sample sizes \(n_{1}\) and \(n_{2}\) are both greater than 30, the Central Limit Theorem indicates that the distribution of \(\bar{x}_{1}-\bar{x}_{2}\) is approximately Normal, regardless of the shape of the population distribution from which the samples are drawn.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is a fundamental statistical concept that helps us understand sampling distributions, especially when the sample size is large. It states that the distribution of the sample mean will approximate a normal distribution as the sample size becomes large, regardless of the original population distribution's shape.

This theorem is particularly important when dealing with means of samples from different populations. Even if the original data is skewed or has a non-standard shape, the average of those data points tends to form a bell-shaped curve.
  • **Large sample sizes** (\( n \) > 30) generally result in a good approximation according to the CLT.
  • **Normal distribution approximation** is especially useful for hypothesis testing and confidence intervals.
  • CLT helps in predicting behaviors of sample mean, making statistical models more robust and reliable.
In the given exercise, since the sample sizes are 40 and 50, we can comfortably apply the Central Limit Theorem to assume a normal approximation of the sampling distribution.
Standard Error
The Standard Error (SE) is a measure of how much the sample mean is expected to fluctuate from the true population mean. It's basically the standard deviation of the sample mean distribution.

For the task at hand, the standard error of the difference between two sample means (\( \bar{x}_{1} - \bar{x}_{2} \)) is calculated using the formula: \[ SE = \sqrt{ \frac{\sigma_{1}^2}{n_{1}} + \frac{\sigma_{2}^2}{n_{2}} } \]
  • **Variance components**: each population's variance (\( \sigma^2 \)) is divided by its respective sample size (\( n \)).
  • **Square root**: square root of the sum of these values gives the standard error, indicating spread.
For the two samples in the exercise, substituting the given values provides an SE of approximately 0.61. This implies that the mean difference (\( \bar{x}_{1} - \bar{x}_{2} \)) is expected to deviate around 0.61 units from the expected difference in population means.
Expected Value
In statistics, the Expected Value (EV) is what you expect to get as the average outcome, based on probability. When considering the expected value for the sample mean, it reflects an anticipation of where the center of the distribution of the sample mean will lie.

In the context of our problem, calculating the expected value of (\( \bar{x}_{1} - \bar{x}_{2} \)) involves subtracting population means:
Expected Value = \( \mu_{1} - \mu_{2} \)
  • The difference (30 - 25 in this case) gives us an EV of 5.
  • **Center of distribution**: this EV indicates where the center of the sampling distribution of the differences will most likely occur.
Understanding the expected value ensures that students can interpret the main tendency or average performance of the phenomenon being studied.
Normal Distribution
The Normal Distribution is a continuous probability distribution that is symmetric around its mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean.

This distribution is represented by a bell-shaped curve and is defined by two parameters: the mean (\( \mu \)) and the standard deviation (\( \sigma \)). In many natural phenomena, the normal distribution is key due to the central limit theorem.
  • **Mean and standard deviation**: fully describe the curve.
  • **Real-world application**: Many statistical tests are based on the assumption of normality due to its properties.
  • **Probability and predictability**: The properties of the normal distribution allow statisticians to predict probabilities and conduct meaningful analyses.
In the exercise, the sampling distribution being approximately normal means we can use it for making reliable inferences, thanks to the sample size and the central limit theorem.

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