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An individual can take either a scenic route to work or a nonscenic route. She decides that use of the nonscenic route can be justified only if it reduces the mean travel time by more than 10 minutes. a. If \(\mu_{1}\) is the mean for the scenic route and \(\mu_{2}\) for the nonscenic route, what hypotheses should be tested? b. If \(\mu_{1}\) is the mean for the nonscenic route and \(\mu_{2}\) for the scenic route, what hypotheses should be tested?

Short Answer

Expert verified
For the first situation, the hypotheses should be tested are H0: \( \mu_{1} - \mu_{2} \leq 10 \) and H1: \( \mu_{1} - \mu_{2} > 10 \). For the second situation, the hypotheses to be tested are H0: \( \mu_{2} - \mu_{1} \geq -10 \) and H1: \( \mu_{2} - \mu_{1} < -10 \).

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Null and Alternative Hypotheses for the first situation

For the first situation, drive time via non-scenic route (\( \mu_{2} \)) should be less than the scenic route (\( \mu_{1} \)) by more than 10 minutes. So the Null hypothesis (H0) and alternative hypothesis (H1) are: H0: \( \mu_{1} - \mu_{2} \leq 10 \)H1: \( \mu_{1} - \mu_{2} > 10 \)
02

Identify the Null and Alternative Hypotheses for the second situation

For the second situation, where \( \mu_{1} \) is the mean for the non-scenic route and \( \mu_{2} \) for the scenic route, drive time via non-scenic route should still be less than the scenic route by more than 10 minutes. So the Null hypothesis (H0) and alternative hypothesis (H1) are:H0: \( \mu_{2} - \mu_{1} \geq -10 \)H1: \( \mu_{2} - \mu_{1} < -10 \)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null and Alternative Hypotheses
Understanding the null and alternative hypotheses is fundamental in hypothesis testing. Think of these hypotheses as competing claims -- the null hypothesis (\( H_0 \)), which is the status quo, and the alternative hypothesis (\( H_1 \text{ or } H_a \text{ in some textbooks} \)), which is what you're trying to find evidence for.

In the context of mean travel times, if a commuter wants to justify using a nonscenic route by proving it saves more than 10 minutes on average compared to a scenic route, two situations arise. In the first, if we assume that the mean travel time for the scenic route is represented by \( \mu_{1} \) and the nonscenic route by \( \mu_{2} \) then the null hypothesis states that the difference in mean travel time (\( \mu_{1} - \mu_{2} \) ) will be less than or equal to 10 minutes. Conversely, the alternative hypothesis asserts that this difference is greater than 10 minutes, indicating a statistically significant time saving that justifies the nonscenic route choice.

For the second scenario, the roles of \( \mu_{1} \) and \( \mu_{2} \) are switched, yet the logic remains the same: the null is that the scenic route does not take at least 10 minutes more (\( \mu_{2} - \mu_{1} \) is greater than or equal to -10), and the alternative is that it does (\( \mu_{2} - \mu_{1} \) is less than -10). It’s critical to remember that we never prove a null hypothesis; rather, we only seek to disprove it through statistical evidence.
Mean Travel Time
In hypothesis testing, mean travel time refers to the average duration of trips made by a particular mode of transportation, such as the scenic or nonscenic routes in our example. The importance of mean travel time lies in its use as a comparative measure to evaluate the efficiency or preference of one route over another.For a commuter evaluating these routes, understanding and calculating the mean travel times is a crucial step. If collected data shows that the nonscenic route’s mean travel time (\( \mu_{2} \) ) is consistently more than 10 minutes shorter than the scenic route’s (\( \mu_{1} \) ), this could significantly influence their choice of route to minimize the commute duration. The difference in mean travel times (\( \mu_{1} - \mu_{2} \) or \( \mu_{2} - \mu_{1} \) ) becomes the test statistic used in hypothesis testing to determine if the observed difference is not just a result of random variations.
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance plays a pivotal role in hypothesis testing; it helps determine whether the findings from the data are due to chance or whether they're reflecting a true effect. When we say a result is 'statistically significant', it means that the observed difference is unlikely to have occurred due to random chance alone, given the null hypothesis is true.

In the exercise, proving the statistical significance of the difference in mean travel times between the scenic and nonscenic routes would indicate that the observed savings in time are reliable and not just coincidental. To establish this, we use a test statistic derived from the data and compare it to a critical value determined by the significance level (commonly represented by \( \alpha \) ), which is usually set at 0.05 or 5%. If our test statistic is beyond the critical value, we reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative, suggesting that the nonscenic route indeed saves more time than just by random chance. Thus, if our data provides enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis, we can conclude with confidence that choosing the nonscenic route is justified, at least in terms of travel time saved.

Statistical significance doesn't comment on the practical importance of the finding—it only signals that the finding is not likely due to random variation in the data. The practical significance would depend upon the broader context such as the cost-benefit analysis of the time saved versus the qualitative experience of the scenic route.

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