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A certain university has decided to introduce the use of plus and minus with letter grades, as long as there is evidence that more than \(60 \%\) of the faculty favor the change. A random sample of faculty will be selected, and the resulting data will be used to test the relevant hypotheses. If \(p\) represents the proportion of all faculty that favor a change to plus-minus grading, which of the following pair of hypotheses should the administration test: $$ H_{0}: p=.6 \text { versus } H_{a}: p<.6 $$ or $$ H_{0}: p=.6 \text { versus } H_{a}: p>.6 $$ Explain your choice.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The right pair of hypotheses to test would be \(H_{0}: p=0.6\) versus \(H_{a}: p>0.6\). This is because the administration is interested in knowing if more than 60% of the faculty favor the change.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Hypotheses

The null hypothesis \(H_{0}\) is normally a statement of no effect, no difference, or status quo. Here, it proposes \(p = 0.6 \), meaning only 60% of faculty favor the change. The alternative hypothesis \(H_{a}\), on the other hand, is a statement that contradicts the null hypothesis. There are two alternative hypotheses here, each suggesting something different: \(p<0.6\) states that less than 60% favor the change, while \(p>0.6\) suggests more than 60% favor the change.
02

Comparing With the Problem Statement

Looking back at the problem, it's noted that the administration is interested in implementing the change if more than 60% of faculty favor it. Hence, we are interested in verifying whether the proportion of faculty who favor the change (\(p\)) is more than 0.6 or not.
03

Choosing the Right Hypothesis Pair

Given that the administration will proceed with the change if they have evidence that over 60% of the faculty favor it, it would be useful to choose a hypothesis pair that tests whether \(p > 0.6\), in case of evidence aligning with this. Therefore, they should go with the pair \(H_{0}: p=0.6\) versus \(H_{a}: p>0.6\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, symbolized as H0, is a key concept in hypothesis testing. It denotes the default statement that there is no change, no effect, or no difference. In the context of a proportion of a population, it often specifies the population proportion (denoted as p) is equal to a particular value.

When a null hypothesis is tested, we attempt to gather evidence against it. Ironically, although we state the hypothesis, our aim in research is typically to prove the alternative hypothesis. However, we must first assume the null hypothesis is true and then use sample data to determine if there is sufficient statistical evidence to reject it.

It is also important to understand that the null hypothesis can never be proven; it can only be not rejected (meaning there isn't enough evidence against it) or rejected (meaning the evidence suggests it's likely untrue).
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, symbolized as Ha, directly challenges the null hypothesis by stating that there is a change, an effect, or a difference. In statistical tests that involve proportions, the alternative hypothesis suggests that the population proportion is not equal to the proposed value. It is what researchers aim to support.

In our university example, the alternative hypothesis for more than 60% faculty favoring the change would be Ha: p > 0.6. It's important to select the appropriate alternative hypothesis depending on the direction of the effect you are testing for, which can be greater than, less than, or not equal to a value when the test is two-tailed.

A correct alternative hypothesis allows for the correct type of statistical test to be chosen, which determines whether the null hypothesis can be rejected.
Proportion of a Population
In statistics, the proportion of a population refers to the fraction or percentage of the population that exhibits a particular characteristic. It's expressed as p and typically falls between 0 and 1, representing 0% to 100% of the population.

When conducting hypothesis testing involving proportions, statisticians use a sample population to estimate what p might be for the entire population. In our case, the university administration is trying to estimate the proportion of faculty who are in favor of changing the grading system. That estimated proportion in the sample is then used to make inferences about the true proportion in the full faculty population.

Understanding the proportion is crucial, as it influences the statistical analysis and the resulting decision making. This is why determining the appropriate hypotheses to test is directly tied to what the decision makers want to affirm or rule out.
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance is a determination by an analyst that the results in the data are not explainable by chance alone. It's a crucial concept in hypothesis testing because it gives a measurable and quantifiable means to interpret the reliability of the statistical results.

A result is usually considered statistically significant if the probability of the observed data, or more extreme, given that the null hypothesis is true, is less than a predetermined significance level, often α = 0.05. This threshold α is called the level of significance. If the observed data fall into this critical region, we reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative hypothesis.

It is essential to keep in mind that statistical significance does not necessarily imply practical significance. Statistical significance just tells us that an effect is likely not due to random chance, while practical significance requires the effect to be large enough to be considered useful in the real world.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Many older homes have electrical systems that use fuses rather than circuit breakers. A manufacturer of 40 -amp fuses wants to make sure that the mean amperage at which its fuses burn out is in fact \(40 .\) If the mean amperage is lower than \(40,\) customers will complain because the fuses require replacement too often. If the mean amperage is higher than \(40,\) the manufacturer might be liable for damage to an electrical system as a result of fuse malfunction. To verify the mean amperage of the fuses, a sample of fuses is selected and tested. If a hypothesis test is performed using the resulting data, what null and alternative hypotheses would be of interest to the manufacturer?

A credit bureau analysis of undergraduate students credit records found that the average number of credit cards in an undergraduate's wallet was 4.09 ("Undergraduate Students and Credit Cards in 2004," Nellie Mae, May 2005\()\). It was also reported that in a random sample of 132 undergraduates, the sample mean number of credit cards that the students said they carried was 2.6. The sample standard deviation was not reported, but for purposes of this exercise, suppose that it was 1.2 . Is there convincing evidence that the mean number of credit cards that undergraduates report carrying is less than the credit bureau's figure of \(4.09 ?\)

To determine whether the pipe welds in a nuclear power plant meet specifications, a random sample of welds is selected and tests are conducted on each weld in the sample. Weld strength is measured as the force required to break the weld. Suppose that the specifications state that the mean strength of welds should exceed \(100 \mathrm{lb} / \mathrm{in}^{2}\). The inspection team decides to test \(H_{0}: \mu=100\) versus \(H_{a}: \mu>100 .\) Explain why this alternative hypothesis was chosen rather than \(\mu<100\).

The paper "Debt Literacy, Financial Experiences and Over-Indebtedness" (Social Science Research Network, Working paper W14808, 2008 ) included analysis of data from a national sample of 1000 Americans. One question on the survey was: "You owe \(\$ 3000\) on your credit card. You pay a minimum payment of \(\$ 30\) each month. At an Annual Percentage Rate of \(12 \%\) (or \(1 \%\) per month), how many years would it take to eliminate your credit card debt if you made no additional charges?" Answer options for this question were: (a) less than 5 years; (b) between 5 and 10 years; (c) between 10 and 15 years; (d) never-you will continue to be in debt; (e) don't know; and (f) prefer not to answer. a. Only 354 of the 1000 respondents chose the correct answer of never. For purposes of this exercise, you can assume that the sample is representative of adult Americans. Is there convincing evidence that the proportion of adult Americans who can answer this question correctly is less than \(.40(40 \%) ?\) Use \(\alpha=.05\) to test the appropriate hypotheses. b. The paper also reported that \(37.8 \%\) of those in the sample chose one of the wrong answers \((a, b,\) and \(c)\) as their response to this question. Is it reasonable to conclude that more than one-third of adult Americans would select a wrong answer to this question? Use \(\alpha=.05\).

Pairs of \(P\) -values and significance levels, \(\alpha,\) are given. For each pair, state whether the observed \(P\) -value leads to rejection of \(H_{0}\) at the given significance level. a. \(\quad P\) -value \(=.084, \alpha=.05\) b. \(\quad P\) -value \(=.003, \alpha=.001\) c. \(P\) -value \(=.498, \alpha=.05\) d. \(\quad P\) -value \(=.084, \alpha=.10\) e. \(\quad P\) -value \(=.039, \alpha=.01\) f. \(P\) -value \(=.218, \alpha=.10\)

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