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Samples of two different types of automobiles were selected, and the actual speed for each car was determined when the speedometer registered \(50 \mathrm{mph}\). The resulting \(95 \%\) confidence intervals for true average actual speed were \((51.3,52.7)\) and \((49.4,50.6)\). Assuming that the two sample standard deviations are identical, which confidence interval is based on the larger sample size? Explain your reasoning.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The confidence interval based on the larger sample size is \((49.4,50.6)\) because it has a smaller width, which indicates a larger sample size.

Step by step solution

01

Determine the widths of the confidence intervals

First, calculate the widths of the given confidence intervals by subtracting the lower limit from the upper limit for each interval. For the first interval \((51.3,52.7)\), the width is \(52.7 - 51.3 = 1.4\). For the second interval \((49.4,50.6)\), the width is \(50.6 - 49.4 = 1.2\).
02

Compare the widths of the confidence intervals

Having determined the widths of the confidence intervals, it's time to compare them. The interval with the smaller width corresponds to the larger sample size as because the width of a confidence interval is determined by the standard error, which decreases as the sample size increases. In this case, the second interval has a smaller width of 1.2, compared to the first interval's width of 1.4.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Size
Sample size is a critical element in statistical analysis. It refers to the number of observations or data points collected in a study. Understanding its role helps to interpret confidence intervals properly. When we talk about confidence intervals, we're estimating a range where we expect the true population parameter to be found. The sample size affects this range significantly. A larger sample size generally leads to a more precise estimate, resulting in a narrower confidence interval. This happens because as the sample size increases, we get a more accurate representation of the entire population. For example, think about tossing a coin. If you flip it just a handful of times, you might not get exactly 50% heads and 50% tails. But if you flip it thousands of times, your results will get closer to the expected 50-50 distribution. Larger samples provide more reliable results.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure that indicates the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values in a dataset. In simpler terms, it tells us how spread out the numbers in a data collection are around the mean (average). A small standard deviation means the data points are close to the mean, offering a tight spread. Conversely, a large standard deviation indicates that the data points are more spread out. This concept is crucial because it can affect the interpretation of confidence intervals. When we say that the standard deviations for two datasets are identical, it means that the variability in the two samples is similar. In the context of confidence intervals, if standard deviations remain constant, the decrease in width of the interval is attributed primarily to the increase in sample size.
Standard Error
The standard error is a vital concept in statistics, especially when calculating confidence intervals. It represents the estimated standard deviation of a sample mean and is calculated by dividing the standard deviation by the square root of the sample size. The formula for the standard error is: \[ SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \]Where \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation, and \(n\) is the sample size.Understanding the standard error helps in realizing why larger sample sizes lead to narrower confidence intervals. As the sample size increases, the standard error decreases since the denominator (square root of the sample size) becomes larger. This decrease in standard error results in a more precise estimate of the population mean.In summary, if you want to have more confidence in your statistical estimates, it's essential to aim for larger sample sizes to minimize the standard error and consequently, make your confidence interval narrower.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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