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Internet and email use According to data selected from GSS in \(2014,\) the correlation between \(y=\) email hours per week and \(x=\) Internet hours per week is \(0.33 .\) The regression equation is predicted email hours \(=3.54+\) 0.25 Internet hours a. Based on the correlation value, the slope had to be positive. Why? b. Your friend says she spends 60 hours on the Internet and 10 hours on email in a week. Find her predicted email use based on the regression equation. c. Find her residual. Interpret.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The slope is positive due to positive correlation. Predicted email use is 18.54 hours. Residual is -8.54 hours, meaning the model overestimated.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Positive Correlation

A positive correlation between two variables indicates that as one variable increases, the other tends to increase as well. With a correlation coefficient of 0.33, this suggests a positive linear relationship between Internet hours and email hours. As a result, we expect the regression slope to be positive, meaning more Internet usage predicts more email usage.
02

Using the Regression Equation

The regression equation is given as \( \text{predicted email hours} = 3.54 + 0.25 \times \text{Internet hours} \). Plugging in 60 Internet hours: \[ \text{predicted email hours} = 3.54 + 0.25 \times 60 = 3.54 + 15 = 18.54 \]
03

Calculating the Residual

To find the residual, calculate the difference between the observed email hours (10 hours) and the predicted email hours (18.54 hours). \[ \text{Residual} = \text{Observed} - \text{Predicted} = 10 - 18.54 = -8.54 \]
04

Interpreting the Residual

The residual of -8.54 means your friend's actual email usage is 8.54 hours less than what the regression model predicted. This indicates the model overestimated her email usage based on her Internet usage.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Correlation Coefficient
In the context of regression analysis, the correlation coefficient is a key statistic used to measure the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two variables. It ranges from -1 to 1.
  • A value closer to 1 indicates a strong positive relationship, meaning both variables increase together.
  • A value closer to -1 indicates a strong negative relationship, meaning one variable increases as the other decreases.
  • A value around 0 suggests no linear relationship between the variables.
For our problem, a correlation coefficient of 0.33 implies there is a modest positive correlation between Internet hours per week and email hours per week. This means that generally, as people spend more hours on the Internet, they also tend to spend more hours emailing, although this relationship isn't very strong. The positive value reinforces the expectation of a positive regression slope, where increasing Internet hours leads to an increase in predicted email hours.
Residual Calculation
Residuals are the differences between observed values and the values predicted by a regression model. They are crucial for assessing the accuracy of a predictive model.
The formula to calculate a residual is straightforward: \[\text{Residual} = \text{Observed value} - \text{Predicted value}\]In the example given, your friend spends 10 hours on email, which is the observed value. The predicted email usage based on the regression model is 18.54 hours. So, the residual is: \[ 10 - 18.54 = -8.54\] A residual of -8.54 indicates that the model overestimates email usage by 8.54 hours based on her Internet usage. Negative residuals occur when the actual value is less than the predicted value, suggesting the model might not fully capture the nuances of her behavior.
Positive Linear Relationship
A positive linear relationship describes a scenario where an increase in one variable tends to accompany an increase in another. In regression analysis, this is expressed through the slope of a regression line. If the slope is positive, like in our regression equation with the Internet and email usage, it means that the relationship is direct and increasing.
This type of relationship can be visually represented by a line that rises from left to right on a graph. In our scenario, the regression model for predicted email hours is given by:\[\text{predicted email hours} = 3.54 + 0.25 \times \text{Internet hours}\]The slope here is 0.25, which indicates that for each additional hour spent on the Internet, the predicted email hours increase by 0.25 hours. Therefore, the positive slope confirms the conclusion drawn from the correlation coefficient, affirming a positive linear relationship where more Internet usage forecasts more email usage.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The previous problem discusses GDP, which is a commonly used measure of the overall economic activity of a nation. For this group of nations, the GDP data have a mean of 1909 and a standard deviation of 3136 (in billions of U.S. dollars). a. The five-number summary of GDP is minimum \(=204\), \(\mathrm{Q} 1=378,\) median \(=780, \mathrm{Q} 3=2015,\) and maximum \(=16,245 .\) Sketch a box plot. b. Based on these statistics and the graph in part a, describe the shape of the distribution of GDP values. c. The data set also contains per capita GDP, or the overall GDP divided by the nation's population size. Construct a scatterplot of per capita GDP and GDP and explain why no clear trend emerges. d. Your friend, Joe, argues that the correlation between the two variables must be 1 since they are both measuring the same thing. In reality, the actual correlation between per capita GDP and GDP is only \(0.32 .\) Identify the flaw in Joe's reasoning.

Diamond weight and price The weight (in carats) and the price (in millions of dollars) of the 9 most expensive diamonds in the world was collected from www.elitetraveler.com. Let the explanatory variable \(x=\) weight and the response variable \(y=\) price. The regression equation is \(\hat{y}=109.618+0.043 x\). a. Princie is a diamond whose weight is 34.65 carats. Use the regression equation to predict its price. b. The selling price of Princie is \(\$ 39.3\) million. Calculate the residual associated with the diamond and comment on its value in the context of the problem. c. The correlation coefficient is \(0.053 .\) Does it mean that a diamond's weight is a reliable predictor of its price?

Does ice cream prevent flu? Statistical studies show that a negative correlation exists between the number of flu cases reported each week throughout the year and the amount of ice cream sold in that particular week. Based on these findings, should physicians prescribe ice cream to patients who have colds and flu or could this conclusion be based on erroneous data and statistically unjustified? a. Discuss at least one lurking variable that could affect these results. b. Explain how multiple causes could affect whether an individual catches flu.

Describe a situation in which it is inappropriate to use the correlation to measure the association between two quantitative variables.

Expected time for weight loss In \(2014,\) the statistical summary of a weight loss survey was created and published on www.statcrunch.com. a. In this study, it seemed that the desired weight loss (in pounds) was a good predictor of the expected time (in weeks) to achieve the desired weight loss. Do you expect \(r^{2}\) to be large or small? Why? b. For this data, \(r=0.607 .\) Interpret \(r^{2}\). c. Show the algebraic relationship between the correlation of 0.607 and the slope of the regression equation \(b=0.437,\) using the fact that the standard deviations are 20.005 for pounds and 14.393 for weeks. (Hint: Recall that \(\left.=r \frac{s_{y}}{s_{x}} .\right)\)

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