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Refer to Example 10 on whether arthroscopic surgery is better than placebo. The following table shows the pain scores one year after surgery. Using software (such as MINITAB) that can conduct analyses using summary statistics, compare the placebo to the debridement group, using a \(95 \%\) confidence interval. Use the method that assumes equal population standard deviations. Explain how to interpret the interval found by using software. $$\begin{array}{lccc} \hline & & {\text { Knee Pain Score }} \\ { 3 - 4 } \text { Group } & \text { Sample Size } & \text { Mean } & \text { Standard Deviation } \\ \hline \text { Placebo } & 60 & 48.9 & 21.9 \\ \text { Arthroscopic }- & 61 & 54.8 & 19.8 \\\\\text { lavage } & & & \\ \begin{array}{l}\text { Arthroscopic }- \\ \text { debridement }\end{array} & 59 & 51.7 & 22.4 \\ \hline\end{array}$$

Short Answer

Expert verified
No significant difference; interval includes zero.

Step by step solution

01

Outline Objective and Known Data

We want to compare the mean knee pain scores of the placebo group with those of the arthroscopic debridement group using summary statistics. We know: \(n_1 = 60\), \(\bar{x}_1 = 48.9\), \(s_1 = 21.9\) (Placebo), and \(n_2 = 59\), \(\bar{x}_2 = 51.7\), \(s_2 = 22.4\) (Arthroscopic - debridement).
02

Assumptions and Calculations Setup

We assume equal population standard deviations and aim to construct a 95% confidence interval for the difference in means, \(\mu_1 - \mu_2\). Use the formula for confidence intervals derived from a two-sample t-test assuming equal variances.
03

Calculate Pooled Standard Deviation

Calculate the pooled standard deviation using the formula: \[ s_p = \sqrt{ \frac{(n_1 - 1)s_1^2 + (n_2 - 1)s_2^2}{n_1 + n_2 - 2} } \]. Substituting the known values gives: \[ s_p = \sqrt{ \frac{(60-1)21.9^2 + (59-1)22.4^2}{60+59-2} } = 22.15 \].
04

Calculate the Standard Error of the Difference in Means

Using the pooled standard deviation, calculate the standard error (SE) with: \[ SE = s_p \sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}} \]. Substituting the known values gives: \[ SE = 22.15 \sqrt{\frac{1}{60} + \frac{1}{59}} = 4.08 \].
05

Determine the Critical t-Value

For a 95% confidence interval and degrees of freedom \((n_1 + n_2 - 2) = 117\), find the critical t-value. Using a t-distribution table or software, \(t_{\alpha/2, 117} = 1.98\).
06

Calculate the Confidence Interval

The confidence interval for the difference in means is calculated as: \((\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2) \pm t_{\alpha/2} \cdot SE\). This gives: \((48.9 - 51.7) \pm 1.98 \times 4.08 = -2.8 \pm 8.07\). The interval is \([-10.87, 5.27]\).
07

Interpretation of the Confidence Interval

The 95% confidence interval \([-10.87, 5.27]\) indicates that we are 95% confident the true difference in population means falls within this interval. Since 0 is included in this interval, there is no significant difference between pain scores for placebo and arthroscopic debridement groups at the \(\alpha = 0.05\) level.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

The Two-Sample T-Test Analysis
When analyzing two groups, such as the placebo and arthroscopic debridement groups in a study, a two-sample t-test is an essential statistical tool. This test helps determine if there is a significant difference between the means of two independent groups.

The essence of a two-sample t-test lies in comparing the averages (means) from two distinct groups to see if they come from populations with equal means. It specifically tests the hypothesis that the mean difference between two independent groups is zero.

In the context of pain score evaluation, if the test demonstrates a significant difference, it might suggest that one group experiences a different level of pain relief compared to the other. But in our exercise, the confidence interval includes zero, which indicates there is no significant difference in means between the placebo and the debridement group.
Understanding Pooled Standard Deviation
When comparing two groups with slightly different variances, the pooled standard deviation provides a way to average the variability across these groups. It is the weighted average of the two groups' standard deviations, taking into account the size of each sample.

To calculate it, the formula is:
  • Calculate the variance for each group by squaring the standard deviation.
  • Multiply each variance by its respective sample size minus one.
  • Add these products together, and divide by the total degrees of freedom (sum of both groups' sample sizes minus 2).
  • Finally, take the square root of the result to find the pooled standard deviation.
In our example, computing this value allows us to use a consistent measure of variability when conducting the two-sample t-test. The fact that the pooled standard deviation, in this case, was found as 22.15, helps blend the two groups' variability into a singular cohesive number for the analysis.
Conducting Pain Score Comparison
Analyzing pain scores is crucial when evaluating the effectiveness of an intervention, such as a surgical procedure compared to a placebo. In the example, the mean pain score for the placebo group is 48.9, while it is 51.7 for the arthroscopic debridement group.

When comparing these scores, researchers are looking for statistically significant differences that could point to one method being more effective at reducing pain. The initial step involves calculating the difference in pain scores between the groups, which in this case is \(48.9 - 51.7 = -2.8\).

However, the difference observed is not immediately enough to claim statistical significance. It needs to be evaluated with a confidence interval, considering the standard error of the difference and the critical values from t-distribution tables. This comprehensive analysis provides a robust understanding of whether the intervention significantly alters pain perception.
Assuming Equal Variances
In statistical comparisons, assuming equal variances means we believe that the variability in both groups is similar enough to be considered equivalent. It simplifies our calculations because it allows us to use pooled variance and standard deviation.

The notion stems from the assumption that both groups of our study (the placebo and arthroscopic debridement groups) have similar underlying variability in observations. This assumption is crucial for applying a two-sample t-test in the way described, as it allows for the combination of data from both groups into a single estimate of variance, enhancing the test's power.

However, assuming equal variances when they are not truly equal could lead to inaccurate results. Therefore, before conducting the test, it might be prudent to verify if this assumption holds with tools such as Levene’s test. In this particular exercise, the confidence interval results suggest the assumption did not significantly affect the outcome, as their intersection includes zero, indicating no significant difference between groups.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Address global warming You would like to determine what students at your school would be willing to do to help address global warming and the development of alternatively fueled vehicles. To do this, you take a random sample of 100 students. One question you ask them is, "How high of a tax would you be willing to add to gasoline (per gallon) to encourage drivers to drive less or to drive more fuel-efficient cars?" You also ask, "Do you believe (yes or no) that global warming is a serious issue that requires immediate action such as the development of alternatively fueled vehicles?" In your statistical analysis, use inferential methods to compare the mean response on gasoline taxes (the first question) for those who answer yes and for those who answer no to the second question. For this analysis, a. Identify the response variable and the explanatory variable. b. Are the two groups being compared independent samples or dependent samples? Why? c. Identify a confidence interval you could form to compare the groups, specifying the parameters used in the comparison.

Employment by gender The study described in Exercise 10.16 also evaluated the weekly time spent in employment. This sample comprises men and women with a high level of labor force attachment. Software shows the results. \begin{tabular}{lcccc} Gender & \(\mathrm{N}\) & Mean & StDev & SE Mean \\ Men & 496 & 47.54 & 9.92 & 0.45 \\ Women & 476 & 42.01 & 6.53 & 0.30 \\ Difference \(=\mathrm{mu}(\mathrm{Men})-\mathrm{mu}(\) Women \()\) & \\ \hline \end{tabular} 95\% CI for difference: (4.477,6.583) T-Test of difference \(=0(\mathrm{vs} \neq):\) \(\mathrm{T}-\) Value \(=10.30\) p-value \(=0.000\) a. Does it seem plausible that employment has a normal distribution for each gender? Explain. b. What effect does the answer to part a have on inference comparing population means? What assumptions are made for the inferences in this table? c. Explain how to interpret the confidence interval. d. Refer to part c. Do you think that the population means are equal? Explain.

Kidnapping in southern and eastern European countries The following data on kidnapping offences in countries of east and south Europe in 2014 were obtained from https://data.unodc.org. (Crime and Criminal Justice \(\rightarrow>\) Crime \(\rightarrow>\) Kidnapping \(\rightarrow\) Filter by Region and Sub Region as appropriate) \(\begin{array}{ll}\text { Eastern Europe: } & 31,95,12,3,292,88,369,10\end{array}\) Southern Europe: \(\quad 2,1,3,1,58,297,22,376,11,5,99,8\) Using statistical software, a. Construct and interpret a plot comparing responses by region. Kidnapping in southern and eastern European countries The following data on kidnapping offences in countries of east and south Europe in 2014 were obtained from https://data.unodc.org. (Crime and Criminal Justice \(->\) Crime \(\rightarrow>\) Kidnapping \(->\) Filter by Region and Sub Region as appropriate) Eastern Europe: 31,95,12,3,292,88,369,10 Southern Europe: 2,1,3,1,58,297,22,376,11,5,99,8 Using statistical software, a. Construct and interpret a plot comparing responses by region.

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Comparing clinical therapies A clinical psychologist wants to choose between two therapies for treating severe cases of mental depression. She selects six patients who are similar in their depressive symptoms and in their overall quality of health. She randomly selects three of the patients to receive Therapy \(1,\) and the other three receive Therapy \(2 .\) She selects small samples for ethical reasons - if her experiment indicates that one therapy is superior, she will use that therapy on all her other depression patients. After one month of treatment, the improvement in each patient is measured by the change in a score for measuring severity of mental depression. The higher the score, the better. The improvement scores are 1: 30,45,45 Therapy Therapy 2: 10,20,30 Analyze these data (you can use software if you wish), assuming equal population standard deviations. a. Show that \(\bar{x}_{1}=40, \bar{x}_{2}=20, s=9.35, s e=7.64\), \(d f=4,\) and a \(95 \%\) confidence interval comparing the means is (-1.2,41.2) b. Explain how to interpret what the confidence interval tells you about the therapies. Why do you think that it is so wide? c. When the sample sizes are very small, it may be worth sacrificing some confidence to achieve more precision. Show that a \(90 \%\) confidence interval is \((3.7,36.3) .\) At this confidence level, can you conclude that Therapy 1 is better?

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