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91Ó°ÊÓ

The time that it takes a randomly selected job applicant to perform a certain task has a distribution that can be approximated by a normal distribution with a mean of 120 seconds and a standard deviation of 20 seconds. The fastest \(10 \%\) are to be given advanced training. What task times qualify individuals for such training?

Short Answer

Expert verified
A job applicant must complete the task in approximately \(145.64\) seconds to be among the fastest 10% and qualify for advanced training.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the given parameters

The problem provides the mean and standard deviation for the normal distribution. The mean (μ) is 120 seconds, and the standard deviation (σ) is 20 seconds. We want to find the qualifying time for the top 10%.
02

Calculate the z-score corresponding to the 90th percentile

To find the z-score that corresponds to the 90th percentile, we can use a z-table or an online calculator. Let's use the notation z(0.9) to represent the z-score for a cumulative probability of 0.9. By looking at the z-table or using an online calculator, we find that: \(z(0.9) \approx 1.282\)
03

Calculate the corresponding task completion time

Now that we have the z-score for the 90th percentile, we need to convert this into a corresponding task completion time, using mean (μ) and standard deviation (σ). We use the formula: \(X = μ + z(0.9) \cdot σ\) Plug in the values of mean (μ) and standard deviation (σ), and the calculated z-score: \(X \approx 120 + 1.282 \cdot 20\) \(X \approx 120 + 25.64\) \(X \approx 145.64\) So, a job applicant must complete the task in approximately 145.64 seconds to be among the fastest 10% and qualify for advanced training.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Percentile
In the world of statistics, a percentile is a measure that indicates the value below which a given percentage of observations fall. For example, if a score is at the 90th percentile, it means that 90% of the scores are below this value. Percentiles are extremely useful in understanding the distribution of data.

To find the qualifying task time for the fastest 10% of individuals in our problem, we focus on the 90th percentile of the task times. This is because being in the top 10% means your performance time is faster than 90% of the others. In normal distributions, percentiles can be converted to z-scores, which help in simple calculations for finding the threshold values for any desired percentile. Thus, understanding percentiles allows you to set benchmarks or thresholds for categorizing or selecting data based on relative performance.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a crucial concept in statistics that measures the amount of variability or dispersion in a set of data. It quantifies how spread out the numbers are in a data set relative to the mean. If the standard deviation is small, it means the data points tend to be very close to the mean. Conversely, a large standard deviation indicates that the data points are spread out over a wider range of values.

In our exercise concerning task completion times, the standard deviation is given as 20 seconds. This tells us how much the task times deviate from the average time of 120 seconds. Standard deviation is vital in calculating the range of task times that qualify applicants in the top 10% because it provides a sense of the expected variability around the mean. Moreover, without standard deviation, the z-score calculations we use to determine percentiles would not be possible.
Z-score
A z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. It is expressed in terms of standard deviations from the mean. A z-score tells you how a particular point relates to the average and allows for comparisons across different data sets.

To determine who qualifies for advanced training, we use a z-score that corresponds to the 90th percentile of the distribution. A z-score of approximately 1.282 indicates that the time it takes for a job applicant to complete the task falls within the top 10% of fastest times. The formula linked to z-scores \[ X = μ + z imes σ \] illustrates that we can determine specific data values, like task completion times, based on z-scores by taking into account both the mean and the standard deviation of the distribution. This capability makes z-scores incredibly powerful tools in statistical analysis.
Mean
The mean, often referred to as the average, is the sum of all the numbers in a data set divided by the count of numbers in that set. It provides a central value for the data and is a fundamental concept in statistics.

In the exercise about task completion times, the mean is given as 120 seconds. This value is crucial because it serves as a baseline for calculating other statistical measures like standard deviation and z-scores. The mean helps define the normal distribution around which the task times are distributed. When conducting further statistical analyses or using statistical formulas, the mean is typically one of the initial parameters required. Thus, understanding the mean is vital to interpreting data correctly and ensuring meaningful statistical applications.

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