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Samples of two different models of cars were selected, and the actual speed for each car was determined when the speedometer registered \(50 \mathrm{mph}\). The resulting \(95 \%\) confidence intervals for mean actual speed were (51.3,52.7) for model 1 and (49.4,50.6) for model 2 . Assuming that the two sample standard deviations were equal, which confidence interval is based on the larger sample size? Explain your reasoning.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The confidence interval (49.4, 50.6) for Model 2 is based on a larger sample size than the confidence interval (51.3, 52.7) for Model 1. This is because the width of the confidence interval is inversely proportional to the square root of the sample size, and the width of Model 2's confidence interval (1.2) is smaller than that of Model 1's (1.4).

Step by step solution

01

Model 1:

Subtract the lower limit from the upper limit of the confidence intervals: Width of Model 1 = 52.7 - 51.3 = 1.4
02

Model 2:

Subtract the lower limit from the upper limit of the confidence intervals: Width of Model 2 = 50.6 - 49.4 = 1.2 #Step 2: Compare the widths to determine the larger sample size# Now that we have found the widths of the confidence intervals for both models, we can compare them to see which has the larger sample size.
03

Compare widths:

Since the width of the confidence interval is inversely proportional to the square root of the sample size, we can infer that the larger the sample size, the narrower the confidence interval. As we have found Width of Model 1 > Width of Model 2 (1.4 > 1.2), it means the sample size for Model 2 is larger than the sample size of Model 1.
04

Conclusion:

The confidence interval (49.4, 50.6) for Model 2 is based on a larger sample size than the confidence interval (51.3, 52.7) for Model 1.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Size Comparison
When comparing two different models of cars using confidence intervals, one might wonder which model's interval comes from a larger sample size.
In the context of statistics, the width of a confidence interval is key to understanding sample size.
Given two confidence intervals of these car models, here's what we know:
  • The narrower the interval, the larger the sample size it represents.
  • Conversely, a wider interval suggests a smaller sample size.
In our exercise, Model 1 has a confidence interval width of 1.4, and Model 2 has a width of 1.2.
Now considering that a smaller width indicates a larger sample, Model 2's narrower interval (49.4, 50.6) implies it was based on a larger sample size.
This illustrates how comparing interval widths helps infer which sample size is larger, enhancing the reliability of the associated mean estimate.
Statistical Inference
Statistical inference is a cornerstone of understanding and working with confidence intervals.
It involves making predictions or decisions about a population based on sample data.
This method allows researchers to make educated guesses regarding population parameters through statistical models.
  • Confidence intervals provide a range within which the true population parameter is estimated to lie.
  • The interval is calculated based on the sample data, incorporating the mean and the variability of the data.
In simpler terms, when interpreting a confidence interval, we say that if we were to take multiple samples and compute confidence intervals, approximately 95% of them would contain the true mean.
This interpretation assumes a standard level of confidence, commonly 95%, as seen with our car models.
Understanding this process is essential for predicting and verifying data-driven conclusions without examining an entire population.
Understanding Confidence Interval Widths
Understanding the width of confidence intervals is crucial for analyzing statistical data.
Confidence interval width has an intrinsic connection to sample size and variability:
  • The width is influenced by the standard deviation and sample size, given constant confidence level.
  • A smaller standard deviation or larger sample size results in a narrower interval.
Mathematically, the width can be expressed as:\[ \text{Width} = 2 \times z^* \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \]where:
  • \(z^*\) is the z-value corresponding to the confidence level (e.g., 1.96 for 95%).
  • \(s\) is the standard deviation of the sample.
  • \(n\) is the sample size.
The formula reveals that increasing the sample size \(n\) without changing other factors will shrink the confidence interval, suggesting more precise estimates of the population mean.
This is why a narrower confidence interval, like that of Model 2, indicates a larger sample size in our problem.
Understanding this relationship allows statisticians and researchers to effectively interpret and utilize interval data.

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