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Refer to the instructions given prior to Exercise \(10.47 .\) The article "iPhone Can Be Addicting, Says New Survey" (www.msnbc.com, March 8,2010 ) described a survey administered to 200 college students who owned an iPhone, One of the questions on the survey asked students if they slept with their iPhone in bed with them. You would like to use the data from this survey to determine if there is convincing evidence that a majority of college students with iPhones sleep with their phones.

Short Answer

Expert verified
To determine if there is convincing evidence that a majority of college students with iPhones sleep with their phones, we perform a one-sample z-test on the proportion using a significance level of 伪 = 0.05. After stating the hypotheses (\(H_0\): p 鈮 0.5, \(H_1\): p > 0.5), collecting and summarizing the data (p虃 = x/200), calculating the test statistic (z = (p虃 - 0.5)/SE(p虃)), and determining the p-value, compare the p-value to 伪. If the p-value is less than 伪, reject the null hypothesis and conclude that a majority sleep with their phones; otherwise, conclude there is insufficient evidence to make such a claim. Please note that specific data for x needs to be provided to make a final conclusion.

Step by step solution

01

State the hypotheses

Define the proportion of college students who sleep with their iPhones as p. In this case, our null hypothesis (H鈧) would assume that there is no evidence that a majority of students sleep with their iPhone, and the alternative hypothesis (H鈧) would claim a majority of students sleep with their phone in bed: \(H_0\): p 鈮 0.5 \(H_1\): p > 0.5
02

Choose the significance level

Choose a significance level for this hypothesis test, usually denoted as 伪. This is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true. A common choice for 伪 is 0.05.
03

Collect and summarize the data

We know that the survey was administered to 200 college students who owned an iPhone. Let x be the number of students who said they sleep with their iPhone in bed. Calculate the sample proportion, p虃: p虃 = x/200 (Note: The exercise doesn't provide the actual value of x, so a value should be specified in order to continue with the following steps)
04

Calculate the test statistic

Perform a one-sample z-test on the proportion. In order to do so, we need the standard error (SE) of the proportion: SE(p虃) = sqrt((p虃(1-p虃))/n) Where n = 200. Then, calculate the z-score: z = (p虃 - p鈧)/SE(p虃) Where p鈧 is the assumed proportion from our null hypothesis, which is 0.5 in this case.
05

Determine the p-value

Calculate the p-value by finding the probability of a z-score that is greater than or equal to the calculated test statistic from the previous step. This can be done using a standard normal (z) distribution table or a calculator.
06

Make a conclusion

Compare the p-value to the chosen significance level (伪). If the p-value is less than 伪, reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is convincing evidence that a majority of college students with iPhones sleep with their phones. If the p-value is greater than 伪, fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude there is insufficient evidence to claim that a majority of students sleep with their iPhones in bed with them. (Note: As the exercise didn't provide specific data for x, we cannot make a final conclusion, but the method is well structured and can be easily applied by substituting the appropriate value for x to obtain the results)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Proportion Hypothesis Test
Understanding the proportion hypothesis test is essential when we want to make inferences about the likelihood of an event happening within a population based on sample data. Essentially, this test assesses whether the proportion of successes in a sample can provide evidence for or against a claimed proportion in the overall population.

For instance, in a study to determine whether the majority of college students sleep with their iPhones, the proportion hypothesis test compares the sample data (number of students who sleep with their iPhones) to the assumed population proportion (50%, which represents no majority). This test utilizes a null hypothesis (\(H_0\), which might state that at most 50% of students sleep with their iPhones) and an alternative hypothesis (\(H_1\) that claims more than 50% do so).

The decision to reject or not reject the null hypothesis is based on the calculated probability (p-value) from the test statistic. If this p-value is low enough, it suggests the observed sample proportion is significantly different from the hypothesized population proportion, thus supporting the alternative hypothesis.
Significance Level
The significance level, denoted by \(\alpha\), is a threshold used to determine how convincing the evidence must be to reject the null hypothesis. It is essentially the risk we are willing to take of making a Type I error, which is rejecting the null hypothesis when it's actually true.

Choosing \(\alpha = 0.05\) is very common in hypothesis testing, implying that there is a 5% chance of mistakenly rejecting the null hypothesis. It is crucial in setting the bar for what we would consider a 'significant' result. When the p-value obtained from our test statistic is below \(\alpha\), we can reject the null hypothesis and consider our findings significant. Conversely, if the p-value is above \(\alpha\), we do not have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis and must conclude that our sample does not provide sufficient evidence against it.

A careful choice of \(\alpha\) balances the need for statistical rigor with the practical implications of the data, as too restrictive a significance level can prevent us from detecting true effects.
z-test
The z-test is a statistical test used to determine whether there is a significant difference between sample data and a population parameter when the population variance is known. In the context of a proportion hypothesis test, it is applied to assess whether the observed sample proportion is significantly different from a hypothesized population proportion.

To conduct the z-test, we first calculate the standard error of the sample proportion, which encompasses the expected variability of our estimate. Next, we compute the z-score, which is the number of standard errors by which the observed sample proportion deviates from the hypothesized population proportion. A higher absolute value of the z-score indicates a larger difference between the sample and the population.

Using this z-score, we can determine the p-value or the probability of observing such extremities under the null hypothesis. By comparing this p-value with our predetermined significance level (\(\alpha\)), we can make a decision on whether to reject the null hypothesis, providing a clear statistical conclusion about our initial inquiry regarding the proportion in question.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A representative sample of 1000 likely voters in the United States included 440 who indicated that they think that women should not be required to register for the military draft ("Most Women Oppose Having to Register for the Draft," www .rasmessenreports.com, February 10, 2016, retrieved November 30,2016 ). Using the five-step process for hypothesis testing \(\left(\mathrm{HMC}^{3}\right)\) and a 0.05 significance level, determine if there is convincing evidence that less than half of likely voters in the United States think that women should not be required to register for the military draft.

The report "2007 Electronic Monitoring and Surveillance Survey: Many Companies Monitoring, Recording, Videotaping-and Firing-Employees" (American Management Association, 2007 ) summarized a survey of 304 U.S. businesses. Of these companies, 201 indicated that they monitor employees' web site visits. Assume that it is reasonable to regard this sample as representative of businesses in the United States. a. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude that more than \(75 \%\) of U.S. businesses monitor employees' web site visits? Test the appropriate hypotheses using a significance level of 0.01 . b. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude that a majority of U.S. businesses monitor employees' web site visits? Test the appropriate hypotheses using a significance level of 0.01

At one point during the 2015 NFL season, Head Coach Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots had won 19 of their past 25 called coin flips at the beginning of NFL games ("For Bill Belichick, Patriots' strategy is no flip of the coin," www.bostonglobe.com/sports/2015/11/04 /pnotes/vFNt235bsK8x3]LZ6FJdtK/story.html, November \(4,\) \(2015,\) retrieved May 6,2017 ). Suppose that these 25 coin toss calls can be considered as representative of all coin toss calls made by this team. a. Perform an exact binomial test to determine if there is convincing evidence that the proportion of all coin flip calls that the Patriots win is greater than \(0.5 .\) b. Discuss the conditions required for the exact binomial version of the hypothesis test. Write a brief explanation of why the results of the test you performed in Part (a) do not necessarily mean that Coach Belichick is able to predict the results of coin flips better than other coaches.

The article "Facebook Use and Academic Performance Among College Students" (Computers in Human Behavior \([2015]: 265-272)\) estimated that \(87 \%\) percent of students at a large public university in California who are Facebook users update their status at least two times a day. Suppose that you plan to select a random sample of 400 students at your college. You will ask each student in the sample if they are a Facebook user and if they update their status at least two times a day. You plan to use the resulting data to decide if there is evidence that the proportion for your college is different from the proportion reported in the article for the college in California. What hypotheses should you test?

10.64 Duck hunting in populated areas faces opposition on the basis of safety and environmental issues. In a survey to assess public opinion regarding duck hunting on Morro Bay (located along the central coast of California), a random sample of 750 local residents included 560 who strongly opposed hunting on the bay. Does this sample provide convincing evidence that a majority of local residents oppose hunting on Morro Bay? Test the relevant hypotheses using \(\alpha=0.01\).

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