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A petition with 500 signatures is submitted to a college's student council. The council president would like to determine what proportion of those who signed the petition are actually registered students at the college. There is not enough time to check all 500 names with the registrar, so the council president decides to select a simple random sample of 30 signatures. Describe the steps in a process she might use to do this.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The council president can follow these steps to select a simple random sample of 30 signatures: 1. Gather all 500 petition signatures. 2. Assign each signature a unique number from 1 to 500. 3. Use a random number generating mechanism to generate 30 unique random numbers between 1 and 500. 4. Match the 30 random numbers to the corresponding signatures. 5. Verify with the registrar whether the individuals in the sample are registered students and count the number of registered students. 6. Calculate the proportion of registered students in the sample by dividing the number of registered students by 30 and multiplying the result by 100%: \(Proportion = \frac{Number\: of\: registered\: students}{30} \times 100\%\)

Step by step solution

01

Gather the petition signatures

Collect all the petition with 500 signatures to prepare for the random sampling.
02

Assign each signature a unique number

Give each signature a unique number starting from 1 and ending with 500. Make sure that each number is only assigned to one signature.
03

Create a mechanism for generating random numbers

Prepare a random number generating mechanism such as using a random number generator software, a random number table, or drawing lots with numbers.
04

Generate 30 random numbers

Using the chosen random number generating mechanism, generate 30 unique random numbers between 1 and 500. Ensure that each randomly generated number is unique and is only represented once. These numbers will correspond to the signatures selected for the sample.
05

Match the random numbers to the corresponding signatures

Match the 30 unique random numbers to the corresponding signatures based on the numbers assigned in Step 2. This will give you the 30 signatures that are part of the simple random sample.
06

Verify whether the individuals in the sample are registered students

Check with the registrar whether the individuals in the sample are registered students at the college. Count the number of registered students found in the sample.
07

Calculate the proportion of registered students

Divide the number of registered students found in Step 6 by the total number of signatures in the sample (30) and multiply the result by 100%. This will give you the estimated proportion of registered students who signed the petition: \[Proportion = \frac{Number\: of\: registered\: students}{30} \times 100\%\]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Random Number Generation
Random number generation is the process of creating a sequence of numbers that lacks any pattern, meaning each number should be unpredictable and independent of the previous numbers. In the context of the given problem, the council president must generate a sequence of 30 unique random numbers to create a simple random sample of the 500 petition signatures.

There are several methods to generate random numbers, including using random number generator software, which is often the most practical and straightforward method, especially for larger datasets. Other manual methods like drawing numbers from a hat or using a random number table can also be effective, particularly when technology isn't available.

Ensuring that each number corresponds to one petition signature is essential, as this is what makes the sample random. The purpose of this randomness is to give every signature an equal chance of being selected, which is crucial for obtaining an unbiased sample that is representative of the entire population.
Population Proportion Estimation
Population proportion estimation is a statistical technique used to infer the proportion or percentage of a particular characteristic present in the entire population, based on data gained from a sample. The trick lies in making sure that the sample is as representative as possible of the larger population, which in this case is the group of individuals who signed the petition.

To estimate this proportion from a sample, as described in Steps 6 and 7 of the solution, you would divide the number of registered students found in the sample by the total number of signatures in the sample then multiply by 100% to convert it into a percentage. This formula yields an estimate of the proportion of registered students in the entire group of 500 individuals who signed the petition. It's important to note that this estimate comes with a margin of error and a level of confidence, which are concepts that further describe the accuracy and reliability of the estimate but are outside the scope of the current problem.
Sampling Methods in Statistics
There are various sampling methods used in statistics to collect data from a population in order to make inferences about that population. The main goal is to select a sample that is representative of the population. Simple random sampling is one such method and is considered one of the most basic yet powerful sampling methods because of its random nature, reducing the chance of bias.

In simple random sampling, every member of the population has an equal probability of being selected for the sample, and each subset of the population has an equal probability of selection. This method stands in contrast to other sampling techniques such as stratified sampling, where the population is divided into strata, or clusters, and samples are taken from each, or systematic sampling, where every 'nth' individual is selected from a list or queue.

Using simple random sampling in the council president's scenario demonstrates a commitment to fairly and accurately represent the student body's sentiment as inscribed in the petition. This method helps in enhancing the legitimacy of any conclusions drawn from the analysis of the sample data.

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