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Assume that the random variable \(X\) is normally distributed, with mean \(\mu=50\) and standard deviation \(\sigma=7 .\) Compute the following probabilities. Be sure to draw a normal curve with the area corresponding to the probability shaded. \(P(X>35)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
0.9838

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

Given a normally distributed random variable with mean \(\backslash\backslashmu=50\) and standard deviation \(\backslash\backslashsigma=7\), find the probability \(\backslash\backslash P(X>35).\)
02

Standardize the Variable

Convert the variable \(\backslash\backslash X\) to a standard normal variable \(\backslash\backslash Z\) using the formula: \(\backslash\backslash Z= \backslash\backslashfrac {(X-\mathbb{E}[X])} {\sigma}.\) Here, \(X=35,\) \(\mathbb{E}[X]=50,\) and \(\sigma=7.\)
03

Compute the Z-score

Substitute the values into the formula: \(Z= \backslash\backslashfrac{35-50}{7}= \backslash\backslashfrac{-15}{7} \approx -2.14.\)
04

Find the Probability

Look up the Z-score \(-2.14\) in the standard normal distribution table to find \(\Phi(-2.14)\approx 0.0162.\) The area to the left of \( Z=-2.14\) is 0.0162, thus \(\backslash\backslash P(X>35)=1-0.0162=0.9838.\)
05

Draw the Normal Curve

Sketch a normal distribution curve with mean 50 and shade the area to the right of 35. This area represents the probability \(\backslash\backslash P(X>35).\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

standard normal variable
In statistics, a standard normal variable is a crucial concept. It allows us to compare different normal distributions. The standard normal variable, often denoted as Z, represents a normal distribution with a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. When we transform a normal variable X into a standard normal variable Z, we can use standard tables to find probabilities more easily.

Understanding the concept of standard normal variables is key to solving many types of problems in probability and statistics.
Transforming the variable follows this formula:

\[ Z = \frac{ (X - \mu) } {\sigma} \]
Here:
  • X is the value from the original distribution.
  • \(\mu\) is the mean of the original distribution.
  • \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation of the original distribution.
This conversion is crucial, as it allows us to use the standard normal distribution tables to find the required probabilities once these conversions are made.
Z-score calculation
The Z-score is a way of determining how many standard deviations a data point is from the mean. Calculating the Z-score is simple and essential for probability computations involving normal distributions.

To calculate the Z-score for a value X in a normal distribution with any mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\), use the formula:

\[ Z = \frac{ (X - \mu) }{ \sigma } \]
In the given exercise, we're asked to find the probability \(P(X > 35)\). Here, X=35, \(\mu = 50\), and \(\sigma = 7\). Substituting these values into our Z-score formula gives us:

\[ Z = \frac{ (35 - 50) }{ 7 } = \frac{ -15 }{ 7 } \approx -2.14 \]
This Z-score tells us that 35 is approximately 2.14 standard deviations below the mean of 50 in this distribution.
probability computation
Once the Z-score is determined, the next step is to find the probability associated with this Z-score using standard normal distribution tables.

These tables provide the area under the curve to the left of a given Z-score. For Z = -2.14, the table tells us that the area to the left of this Z-score is approximately 0.0162.

However, the problem requires us to find the probability that X is greater than 35, which is the area to the right of the Z-score. To compute this, we subtract the area to the left from 1:

\[ P(X > 35) = 1 - 0.0162 = 0.9838 \]
This means that there is approximately a 98.38% chance that a randomly selected value from this distribution is greater than 35.
area under curve
The normal distribution curve, or bell curve, is key to understanding probabilities in a normal distribution. The total area under the curve represents all possible outcomes, and this area equals 1.

The area under the curve between any two points represents the probability of the variable falling within that range. For instance, in our exercise, the area to the right of the Z-score of -2.14 covered the probability \(P(X > 35)\). Visualizing this curve and shading the appropriate area helps in understanding the concept more effectively.

By sketching a normal distribution curve with a mean (\(\mu\)) of 50 and marking the value 35, then shading the area to the right, you can visually interpret the probability \(P(X > 35)\). This shaded area under the curve helps illustrate the concept of probability in a normally distributed variable.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Find the indicated areas. For each problem, be sure to draw a standard normal curve and shade the area that is to be found. Determine the area under the standard normal curve that lies between (a) \(z=-2.04\) and \(z=2.04\) (b) \(z=-0.55\) and \(z=0\) (c) \(z=-1.04\) and \(z=2.76\)

In the game of golf, distance control is just as important as how far a player hits the ball. Michael went to the driving range with his range finder and hit 75 golf balls with his pitching wedge and measured the distance each ball traveled (in yards). He obtained the following data: $$ \begin{array}{rrrrrrrrr} \hline 100 & 97 & 101 & 101 & 103 & 100 & 99 & 100 & 100 \\ \hline 104 & 100 & 101 & 98 & 100 & 99 & 99 & 97 & 101 \\ \hline 104 & 99 & 101 & 101 & 101 & 100 & 96 & 99 & 99 \\ \hline 98 & 94 & 98 & 107 & 98 & 100 & 98 & 103 & 100 \\ \hline 98 & 94 & 104 & 104 & 98 & 101 & 99 & 97 & 103 \\ \hline 102 & 101 & 101 & 100 & 95 & 104 & 99 & 102 & 95 \\ \hline 99 & 102 & 103 & 97 & 101 & 102 & 96 & 102 & 99 \\ \hline 96 & 108 & 103 & 100 & 95 & 101 & 103 & 105 & 100 \\ \hline 94 & 99 & 95 & & & & & & \\ \hline \end{array} $$ (a) Use statistical software to construct a relative frequency histogram. Comment on the shape of the distribution. Draw a normal density curve on the relative frequency histogram. (b) Do you think the normal density curve accurately describes the distance Michael hits with a pitching wedge? Why?

The number of chocolate chips in an 18 -ounce bag of Chips Ahoy! chocolate chip cookies is approximately normally distributed, with a mean of 1262 chips and a standard deviation of 118 chips, according to a study by cadets of the U.S. Air Force Academy. Source: Brad Warner and Jim Rutledge, Chance \(12(1): 10-14,1999\) (a) Determine the 30 th percentile for the number of chocolate chips in an 18 -ounce bag of Chips Ahoy! cookies. (b) Determine the number of chocolate chips in a bag of Chips Ahoy! that make up the middle \(99 \%\) of bags. (c) What is the interquartile range of the number of chips in Chips Ahoy! cookies?

Find the indicated z-score. Be sure to draw a standard normal curve that depicts the solution. Find the \(z\) -score such that the area under the standard normal curve to its right is \(0.25 .\)

Assume that the random variable \(X\) is normally distributed, with mean \(\mu=50\) and standard deviation \(\sigma=7\). Find each indicated percentile for \(X\) The 9 th percentile

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