Chapter 7: Problem 24
Assume that the random variable \(X\) is normally distributed, with mean \(\mu=50\) and standard deviation \(\sigma=7 .\) Compute the following probabilities. Be sure to draw a normal curve with the area corresponding to the probability shaded. \(P(X>65)\)
Short Answer
Expert verified
0.0162
Step by step solution
01
- Standardize the Random Variable
To compute the probability, first standardize the variable. Convert the given value to a Z-score using the formula: equation: Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \where X = 65, \mu = 50, \sigma = 7\[ Z = \frac{65 - 50}{7} = \frac{15}{7} \approx 2.14 \]
02
- Find the Corresponding Probability
Using the Z-score obtained, look up the corresponding value in the Z-table to find the probability. For Z = 2.14:\[ P(Z > 2.14) \]
03
- Calculate the Area to the Right
Since we need the area to the right of Z = 2.14, find the cumulative probability for Z = 2.14 in the Z-table, then subtract it from 1.\[ P(Z > 2.14) = 1 - P(Z < 2.14) \]From the Z-table, \[P(Z < 2.14) \approx 0.9838\], so\[ P(Z > 2.14) = 1 - 0.9838 = 0.0162 \]
04
- Draw the Normal Curve
Draw a normal distribution curve, mark the mean (\mu = 50), and shade the area corresponding to \[ P(X > 65) \]. The area to the right of \[ X = 65 \] will be shaded, representing the probability \[ P(X > 65) \].
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Z-score
The Z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. It's measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean. If a Z-score is 0, it means the value is exactly average; if it's positive, the value is above average; and if it's negative, the value is below average.
To compute a Z-score, use the following formula:
\[\begin{equation} Z = \frac{X - \bar{\text{X}}}{\text{\text{σ}}} \end{equation}\]
Here,
To compute a Z-score, use the following formula:
\[\begin{equation} Z = \frac{X - \bar{\text{X}}}{\text{\text{σ}}} \end{equation}\]
Here,
- X is the value you're evaluating,
- \bar{\text{X}} is the mean of all values, and
- σ is the standard deviation.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. A low standard deviation means that the values tend to be close to the mean, while a high standard deviation indicates that the values are spread out over a wide range.
To compute standard deviation, use the formula:
\[\begin{equation} \text{σ} = \frac{1}{N} \times \text{Σ} \times \text{( X - \bar{\text{X}} )}^{2}\end{equation}\]
To compute standard deviation, use the formula:
\[\begin{equation} \text{σ} = \frac{1}{N} \times \text{Σ} \times \text{( X - \bar{\text{X}} )}^{2}\end{equation}\]
- N is the number of values,
- X represents the individual values,
- X-bar is the mean of the values.
- Σ is the summation symbol, meaning to sum up the squared differences.
Cumulative Probability
Cumulative probability is the probability that a random variable is less than or equal to a certain value. In the context of the standard normal distribution, it's the area under the curve to the left of a given Z-score.
To find this in a Z-table, locate the Z-score row and column matching your value. The intersection of these row and column gives you the cumulative probability.
For example, with a Z-score of 2.14, the cumulative probability P(Z < 2.14) = 0.9838. This means there is a 98.38% chance a value chosen randomly from the distribution will be less than 2.14 standard deviations above the mean. To find P(Z > 2.14), we subtract this value from 1 as illustrated in the exercise:
\[\begin{equation}P(Z > 2.14) = 1 - P(Z < 2.14) = 1 - 0.9838 = 0.0162\end{equation}\] This results in a 1.62% chance of a value being higher than 2.14 standard deviations above the mean.
To find this in a Z-table, locate the Z-score row and column matching your value. The intersection of these row and column gives you the cumulative probability.
For example, with a Z-score of 2.14, the cumulative probability P(Z < 2.14) = 0.9838. This means there is a 98.38% chance a value chosen randomly from the distribution will be less than 2.14 standard deviations above the mean. To find P(Z > 2.14), we subtract this value from 1 as illustrated in the exercise:
\[\begin{equation}P(Z > 2.14) = 1 - P(Z < 2.14) = 1 - 0.9838 = 0.0162\end{equation}\] This results in a 1.62% chance of a value being higher than 2.14 standard deviations above the mean.
Normal Curve
The normal curve, or the Gaussian distribution, is a symmetric, bell-shaped curve that shows the distribution of a dataset. The highest point on the curve is at the mean, and the curve tails off symmetrically on both sides.
Key Characteristics:
Key Characteristics:
- Symmetry: The curve is symmetric around the mean.
- Mean, Median, Mode: In a perfectly normal distribution, the mean, median, and mode are all equal and located at the center of the distribution.
- 68-95-99.7 Rule: About 68% of the data falls within 1 standard deviation of the mean, 95% within 2 standard deviations, and 99.7% within 3 standard deviations.