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Profile of a sustainable farmer. Sustainable development or sustainable farming means finding ways to live and workthe Earth without jeopardizing the future. Studies wereconducted in five Midwestern states to develop a profileof a sustainable farmer. The results revealed that farmerscan be classified along a sustainability scale, dependingon whether they are likely (L) or unlikely (U) to engagein the following practices: (1) raise a broad mix of crops;(2) raise livestock; (3) use chemicals sparingly; and (4) usetechniques for regenerating the soil, such as crop rotation.

  1. List the different sets of classifications that are possible for the four practices (e.g., LUUL).
  2. Suppose you plan to interview farmers across the country to determine the frequency with which they fall into the classification sets you listed for part a. Because no information is yet available, assume initially that there is an equal chance of a farmer falling into any single classification set. Using that assumption, what is the probability that a farmer will be classified as unlikely on all four criteria (i.e., classified as a non-sustainable farmer)?
  3. Using the same assumption as in part b, what is the probability that a farmer will be classified as likely on at least three of the criteria (i.e., classified as a near sustainable farmer)?

Short Answer

Expert verified
  1. The samples are LLLL, LLLU, LLUL, LULL, ULLL, LLUU, LULU, LUUL, ULLU, ULUL, UULL, LUUU, ULUU, UULU, UUUL, UUUU
  2. The probability of unlikely on all four criteria is 116.
  3. The probability is likely on at least three of the criteria.

Step by step solution

01

Important formula

The formula for probability is P=FavourableoutcomesTotaloutcomes

02

(a) List the different sets of classifications that are possible for the four practices

L = likely

U = unlikely

The different sets of classifications are:

LLLL, LLLU, LLUL, LULL, ULLL, LLUU, LULU, LUUL, ULLU, ULUL, UULL, LUUU, ULUU, UULU, UUUL, UUUU.

So, the total events are 16.

03

(b) Find the probability that a farmer will be classified as unlikely on all four criteria

The sample as unlikely on all four criteria is UUUU.

P(UUUU)=116.

Hence, the probability of unlikely on all four criteria is 116.

04

(c) Determine the probability that a farmer will be classified as likely on at least three of the criteria

The sample is likely based on at least three criteria: LLLL, LLLU, ULLL, LLUL, and LULL.

So,P(UUUU)=516 .

Therefore, the probability is likely on at least three of the criteria.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider the Venn diagram below, were

P(E1)=P(E2)=P(E3)=15,P(E4)=P(E5)=120P(E6)=110,andP(E7)=15

Find each of the following probabilities:

a.P(A)b.P(B)c.P(A∪B)d.P(A∩B) e.P(Ac)f.P(Bc)g.P(A∪Ac)h.P(Ac∩B)

Scrap rate of machine parts. A press produces parts used in the manufacture of large-screen plasma televisions. If the press is correctly adjusted, it produces parts with a scrap rate of 5%. If it is not adjusted correctly, it produces scrap at a 50% rate. From past company records, the machine is known to be correctly adjusted 90% of the time. A quality-control inspector randomly selects one part from those recently produced by the press and discovers it is defective. What is the probability that the machine is incorrectly adjusted?

3 Paying monthly bills online. Do most people pay their monthly bills online? ABA Bank Marketing and Sales (July-August 2015) reported that 37% of U.S. customers pay their bills online using a personal computer. The table lists the different methods by which customers pay their monthly bills and associated probabilities. Consider the following two events:

A = {Customer does not pay monthly bills online.}

B = {Customer does not pay monthly bills with a credit or debit card.}

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a. Find P(A).

b. FindP(B).

c. FindP​(A∩B) .

d. Use the additive law of probability to find P​(A∪B) .

The sample space for an experiment contains five sample points with probabilities as shown in the table. Find the probability of each of the following events:

a. Either 1,2 or 3 occurs

b. Either 1,3 or 5 occurs

c. 4 does not occur

Suppose the events B1,B2,B3 are mutually exclusive and complementary events, such thatP(B1)=0.2, P(B2)=0.4and P(B3)=0.5. Consider another event A such thatP(AB1)=P(AB2)=0.1andP(AB3)=0.2Use Baye’s Rule to find

a.P(B1A)

b.PB2A

c.role="math" localid="1658214716845" P(B3A)

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