Chapter 3: Q33E (page 180)
Consider the Venn diagram below, were
Find each of the following probabilities:

Short Answer
- 3/4
- 7/10
- 1
- 2/5
- 1/4
- 7/20
- 1
- 3/10
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Chapter 3: Q33E (page 180)
Consider the Venn diagram below, were
Find each of the following probabilities:

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Guilt in decision making.Refer to the Journal of Behavioral Decision Making(January 2007) study of theeffect of guilt emotion on how a decision maker focuseson a problem, Exercise 3.48 (p. 183). The results (numberresponding in each category) for the 171 study participantsare reproduced in the table below. Suppose one of the 171participants is selected at random.
Emotional State | Choose Stated Option | Do Not Choose Stated Option | Totals |
Guilt Anger Neutral | 45 8 7 | 12 50 49 | 57 58 56 |
Totals | 60 | 111 | 171 |
a.Given that the respondent is assigned to the guilty state, what is the probability that the respondent chooses the stated option?
b.If the respondent does not choose to repair the car, what is the probability that the respondent is in the anger state?
c.Are the events {repair the car} and {guilty state }
independent?
An experiment results in one of the following sample points: or . Find for each of the following cases.
Using game simulation to teach a course. In Engineering Management Research (May 2012), a simulation game approach was proposed to teach concepts in a course on production. The proposed game simulation was for cola or television production. The products are two color television models, A and B. Each model comes in two colors, red and black. Also, the quantity ordered for each model can be 1, 2, or 3 televisions. The choice of model, color, and quantity is specified on a purchase order card.
a. Using a tree diagram, list how many different purchase order cards are possible. (These are the sample points for the experiment.)
b. Suppose, from past history, that black color TVs are in higher demand than red TVs. For planning purposes, should the engineer managing the production process assign equal probabilities to the simple events, part a? Why or why not?
Do social robots walk or roll? Refer to the International Conference on Social Robotics (Vol. 6414, 2010) study of the trend in the design of social robots, Exercise 3.10 (p. 168). Recall that in a random sample of 106 social robots, 63 were built with legs only, 20 with wheels only, 8 with both legs and wheels, and 15 with neither legs nor wheels. Use the complements rule to find the probability that a randomly selected social robot is designed with either legs or wheels.
Fuzzy logic in supply chain management. A branch of mathematics known as fuzzy logic was used to improve customer service in supply chain management. (Decision Analytics, February 2014.) Customers rate the importance of one service factor relative to another using the following numerical scale: 1 = service factors are equally important, 3 = one factor is moderately more important, 5 = one factor is strongly more important, 7 = one factor is very strongly more important and 9 = one factor is extremely more important. Fuzzy numbers were developed to allow for variation in customer responses. For example, the fuzzy number 1∼represents an actual response of either 1 or 3; the fuzzy number 7∼represents a response of 5, 7, or 9. Consider the probabilities of the actual responses for each fuzzy number shown in the table.
Fuzzy Response | Probabilities of Actual Responses |
a. If a customer gives a fuzzy response, what is the probability that the actual response is not a 7?
b. If both represent a possible fuzzy response of a customer, what are the possible actual responses for this customer?
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