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A shipment of 7 television sets contains 2 defective sets. A hotel makes a random purchase of; 3 of the sets. If \(x\) is the number of defective sets purchased by the hotel, find the probability distribution of \(X .\) Express the results graphically as a probability histogram.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability distribution is: \(P(x=0)=\frac{C(5,3)*C(2,0)}{C(7,3)}\), \(P(x=1)=\frac{C(5,2)*C(2,1)}{C(7,3)}\), \(P(x=2)=\frac{C(5,1)*C(2,2)}{C(7,3)}\), and \(P(x=3)=0\). These can be represented graphically as a probability histogram.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the different outcomes

The number of defective TVs purchased, \(x\), can take on values of 0, 1, 2 or 3, since these are the possible numbers of defective sets the hotel might end up with.
02

Calculate Probability for \(x=0\)

This is the scenario where none of the purchased TVs is defective. It means the hotel has picked all three sets from the five non-defective TVs. We calculate this probability as follows: \(P(x=0)=\frac{C(5,3)*C(2,0)}{C(7,3)}\), where \(C(n,k)\) is the combination function, that calculates how many ways \(k\) items can be chosen out of \(n\).
03

Calculate Probability for \(x=1\)

This scenario is when one of the purchased TVs is defective. We calculate this probability as follows: \(P(x=1)=\frac{C(5,2)*C(2,1)}{C(7,3)}\). This calculates how likely it is that the hotel picks exactly one defective TV and two non-defective sets out of the total shipment.
04

Calculate Probability for \(x=2\)

This is the scenario where two of purchased TVs are defective. We calculate this probability as follows: \(P(x=2)=\frac{C(5,1)*C(2,2)}{C(7,3)}\). This measures the chance the hotel picks out exactly two defective TVs and one non-defective TV from the shipment.
05

Calculate Probability for \(x=3\)

This is the scenario where all purchased TVs are defective. However, since there are only 2 defective sets within the original shipment, it's impossible for all 3 purchased TVs to be defective. Thus, \(P(x=3) = 0\).
06

Summarize the probability distribution

The probability distribution for \(x\) can now be summarized. Lastly, to present this distribution graphically, a probability histogram would be plotted with the number of defective sets (0,1,2,3) on the x-axis and the corresponding probabilities on the y-axis.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combinations in Probability
Understanding how to use combinations in probability is crucial when dealing with exercises like determining the likelihood of purchasing defective television sets. Combinations, represented as \(C(n, k)\), help us calculate the number of ways we can select \(k\) items from a larger set of \(n\) without considering the order. In our example, this math concept is applied to depict the various scenarios in which a hotel could buy defective sets from a shipment.

For instance, to determine the probability of selecting no defective TVs (\(P(x=0)\)), we look at the combinations of choosing 3 non-defective sets from 5 available (\(C(5,3)\)), and then multiply by the combinations of choosing 0 defective sets from the 2 defective, \(C(2,0)\). The total number of purchasing combinations is the combinations of choosing any 3 TVs from the entire shipment of 7, given by \(C(7,3)\). This approach is similarly used to calculate the probability for selecting exactly 1 or 2 defective TVs by varying the values of \(k\) in the combination formula.
Probability Histogram
A probability histogram is a graphical representation that displays the probability distribution of a discrete random variable. When plotting a probability histogram, the x-axis represents the different possible outcomes, and the y-axis shows the probability of each outcome.

In our textbook problem concerning the TV sets, the x-axis would list the possible outcomes: 0, 1, and 2 defective sets. (Remember, 3 is not possible because there are only 2 defective sets in the shipment). The y-axis would show the respective probabilities for each of these outcomes, calculated using combinations as previously discussed. A bar is drawn for each possible outcome with its height reflecting the probability of that number of defective sets being purchased. This type of histogram provides a quick visual understanding of the likelihoods and is an effective tool for summarizing a probability distribution in a clear and concise manner.
Discrete Random Variables
In probability, a discrete random variable is a variable that can take on a finite or countably infinite number of values. Each of these values has an associated probability that is determined based on the scenario being examined.

In our exercise, the discrete random variable in question is \(x\), which represents the number of defective TV sets that the hotel might purchase. Since the number of defective sets the hotel can purchase is countable and does not continue indefinitely, \(x\) fits the definition of a discrete random variable. Knowing how to work with such variables allows us to build the entire probability distribution, which in turn provides a comprehensive picture of all potential outcomes and their likelihoods.

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