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An important factor in solid missile fuel is the particle size distribution. Significant problems occur if the particle sizes are too large. From production data in the past, it has been determined that the particle size (in micrometers) distribution is characterized by $$ /(x)=\left\\{\begin{array}{ll} 3 x^{-4}, & x>1, \\ 0, & \text { elsewhere. } \end{array}\right. $$ (a) Verify that this is a valid density function. (b) Evaluate \(F(x)\). (c) What is the probability that a random particle from the manufactured fuel exceeds 4 micrometers?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The given function is a valid density function. The cumulative distribution function is \(F(x) = 3(1 - x^{-3})\) for \(x>1\) and \(0\) for \(x \leq 1\). The probability that a particle size exceeds 4 micrometers is \(1 - F(4) = 1 - 3(1 - 4^{-3})\).

Step by step solution

01

Validation of the density function

To confirm that \(f(x) = 3x^{-4}\) for \(x>1\) and \(0\) elsewhere is a valid density function, we need to check that the integral from -\(\infty\) to \(\infty\) equals 1.When we evaluate the integral of the density function from 1 to \(\infty\), we have \(\int_{1}^{\infty} 3x^{-4} \, dx\). The result of this integral gives us 1, which is the property of a valid probability density function.
02

Evaluate the cumulative distribution function

\[F(x)\] is obtained by integrating the probability density function from -\(\infty\) to \(x\). Thus, \[F(x) = \int_{-\infty}^{x} f(t) \, dt\].When \(x \leq 1\), \[F(x)=0\], and when \(x > 1\), \[F(x) = \int_{1}^{x} 3t^{-4} \, dt\], which simplifies to \[F(x) = 3(1 - x^{-3})\].
03

Probability of particle exceeding a certain size

We are asked to find the probability that a randomly chosen particle size exceeds 4 micrometers. This can be found through \[1-F(x)\]. Here, \(x=4\). Hence, the probability of a particle exceeding 4 micrometers would be \[1-F(4) = 1 - 3(1 - 4^{-3})\].

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Cumulative Distribution Function
In probability and statistics, the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) is a critical concept used to describe the probability that a random variable takes on a value less than or equal to a particular number. The CDF is obtained by integrating the Probability Density Function (PDF) from the lower bound of the distribution up to a given value. This integration accumulates the density over the interval, giving the cumulative probability.
For the given exercise, the particle size distribution is described by the PDF \(f(x) = 3x^{-4}\) for \(x > 1\). To find the CDF, \(F(x)\), we integrate this function from 1 to \(x\):
  • If \(x \leq 1\), the CDF \(F(x) = 0\) because the density function is zero for values less than 1.
  • If \(x > 1\), the CDF can be calculated using \(F(x) = \int_{1}^{x} 3t^{-4} \, dt\), which evaluates to \(F(x) = 3(1 - x^{-3})\).
This calculation tells us how the probabilities accumulate as the particle size increases, and it is essential for determining probabilities over intervals.
Particle Size Distribution
Particle size distribution is a fundamental characteristic in processes involving solid particles, such as manufacturing solid missile fuel. The distribution describes how particle sizes are spread among different ranges and is often represented by a Probability Density Function (PDF). A common issue with particle size distribution is ensuring the particles do not exceed a certain size, as larger particles can introduce significant problems in production or product performance.
In the exercise, the PDF for the particle size \(x > 1\) is given as \(3x^{-4}\). This indicates:
  • The probability density decreases rapidly as the particle size increases, suggesting smaller particles are more common.
  • Beyond a size of 1 micrometer, the distribution is defined, and no particles are assumed to exist below this size, as indicated by the zero density elsewhere.
Understanding the distribution allows engineers and scientists to predict the occurrence of various particle sizes and adjust processes to prevent issues such as blockages or malfunctions due to oversized particles.
Probability Calculations
Probability calculations are a cornerstone of statistical analysis. They provide a quantitative measure of the likelihood of an event occurring. By using Cumulative Distribution Functions (CDFs), probabilities over certain intervals or thresholds can be calculated.
In the missile fuel particle size distribution, one might need to calculate the probability that a randomly selected particle exceeds a particular size, such as 4 micrometers. This involves:
  • Calculating the complementary probability from the CDF, as \(1 - F(x)\), where \(F(x)\) is the cumulative probability up to size \(x\).
  • For \(x = 4\) micrometers, the calculation is \(1 - F(4)\). With the CDF formula \(F(x) = 3(1 - x^{-3})\), the probability of a particle exceeding 4 micrometers is \(1 - 3(1 - 4^{-3})\).
These calculations are crucial for ensuring that the production process is within acceptable limits, thus reducing potential issues caused by larger particle sizes.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

An industrial process manufactures items that can be classified as either defective or not defective. The probability that an item is defective is \(0.1 .\) An experiment is conducted in which 5 items are drawn randomly from the process. Let the random variable \(X\) be the number of defectives in this sample of \(5 .\) What is the probability mass function of \(X ?\)

A tobacco company produces blends of tobacco with each blend containing various proportions of Turkish, domestic, and other tobaccos. The proportions of Turkish and domestic in a blend are random variables with joint density function \((X=\) Turkish and \(Y=\) domestic \()\) $$ f(x, y)=\left\\{\begin{array}{ll} 24 x y, & 0 \leq x, y<_{-} 1: x+y \leq 1, \\ 0, & \text { elsewhere; } \end{array}\right. $$ (a) Find the probability that in a given box the Turkish tobacco accounts for over half the blend. (b) Find the marginal density function for the proportion of the domestic tobacco. (c) Find the probability that the proportion of Turkish tobacco is less than \(1 / 8\) if it is known that the blend contains \(3 / 4\) domestic tobacco.

A coin is flipped until 3 heads in succession occur. List only those elements of the sample space that require 6 or less tosses. Is this a discrete sample space? Explain.

Suppose it is known from large amounts of historical data that \(X\), the number of cars that arrive at a specific intersection during a 20 second time period, is characterized by the following discrete probability function $$ /(x)=e^{-6} \frac{b^{x}}{x !}, \quad x=0,1.2, \ldots $$ (a) Find the probability that in a specific 20 -second time period, more than 8 cars arrive at the intersection. (b) Find the probabilitythat only 2 cars arrive.

Let \(W\) be a random variable giving the number of heads minus the number of tails in three tosses of a coin. List the elements of the sample space \(S\) for the three tosses of the coin and to each sample point assign a value \(w\) of \(W\).

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