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An engineering firm is hired to determine if certain waterways in Virginia are safe for fishing. Samples are taken from three rivers. (a) List the elements of a sample space \(\mathrm{S}\), using the letters \(F\) for "safe to fish" and \(N\) for "not safe to fish." (b) List the elements of \(S\) corresponding to event \(E\) that at least two of the rivers are safe for fishing. (c) Define an event that has as its elements the points \\{FFF, NFF, FFN, NFN\\}.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The sample space S is {FFF, FFN, FNF, FNN, NFF, NFN, NNF, NNN}. The elements of S that make up event E are {FFF, FFN, FNF, NFF}. The event encompassing {FFF, NFF, FFN, NFN} is E1, which represents at least one river being safe for fishing.

Step by step solution

01

Create Sample Spaces

The first step is to create the sample space for the three rivers. Since each river is either safe (F) or not safe (N), the sample space S is comprised of all combinations of F and N across three rivers. That would give us eight possibilities: FFF, FFN, FNF, FNN, NFF, NFN, NNF, NNN.
02

Identify Event E

Next, we identify the events in S where at least two rivers are safe for fishing. This means we exclude any combinations with more than one N. The elements of event E satisfying 'at least two are safe' are: FFF, FFN, FNF, NFF.
03

Define Event With Given Elements

The last task is to define an event that includes the points {FFF, NFF, FFN, NFN}. This could be defined as 'the event that at least one river is safe for fishing.' We note that this event is actually a subset of event E. Thus, this event can be represented as 'E1'.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability for Engineers
The branch of mathematics known as probability is of paramount importance for engineers, as it provides the tools necessary to assess risk, make informed decisions, and predict outcomes in a world rife with uncertainty. Probability for engineers involves understanding how to quantify the likelihood of certain events and apply these calculations to real-world engineering problems, like determining the safety of waterways for activities such as fishing.

In such contexts, engineers apply concepts of probability to interpret sample data and predict the probable outcomes of tests or the functionality of systems. When an engineering firm is tasked to assess whether waterways are safe for fishing, it will use the concepts of probability to create a sample space and events related to the possible conditions of the rivers. This application of probability to evaluate risk and safety embodies the critical role it plays in engineering decisions.
Event Definition in Probability
In the lexicon of probability, an event is defined as a specific outcome or a set of outcomes of a random process that we're interested in. Events can be as simple as a single outcome, like flipping a coin and getting heads, or more complex, like determining which rivers are safe for fishing in our exercise.

Let's consider the engineering firm's study. The sample space, denoted as \(S\), includes all the potential outcomes for the safety of the three rivers (FFF, FFN, FNF, FNN, NFF, NFN, NNF, NNN). Here, the letters F and N represent 'safe to fish' and 'not safe to fish,' respectively. Within this sample space, an event is a subset of outcomes that satisfies certain conditions. For instance, event \(E\) represents the situation where at least two of the rivers are deemed safe for fishing (FFF, FFN, FNF, NFF). In probability, clearly defining events like \(E\) is critical for assessing the likelihood and implications of these outcomes.
Safe for Fishing Probability Event
Expanding on the event definition, a 'safe for fishing probability event' in this exercise's context refers to a set of outcomes where certain conditions related to the rivers' safety are met. Building on the firm's sample space \(S\), the 'safe for fishing' event corresponds to different combinations of rivers that can be safely fished in.

When the problem asks to define an event with the elements {FFF, NFF, FFN, NFN}, it's essentially seeking to describe a scenario which, in this case, can be interpreted as 'the event that at least one river is safe for fishing.' This subset of the sample space is significant as it allows the engineers to convey a quantifiable probability of this specific scenario occurring. By understanding and defining these kinds of events, professionals can make evidence-based recommendations—for example, advising which waterways could potentially be safe for the public to fish in—a practical illustration of probability's utility in engineering.

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