/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 27 Suppose an investigator has data... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Suppose an investigator has data on the amount of shelf space \(x\) devoted to display of a particular product and sales revenue \(y\) for that product. The investigator may wish to fit a model for which the true regression line passes through \((0,0)\). The appropriate model is \(Y=\beta_{1} x+\epsilon\). Assume that \(\left(x_{1}, y_{1}\right), \ldots\), \(\left(x_{n}, y_{n}\right)\) are observed pairs generated from this model, and derive the least squares estimator of \(\beta_{1}\). [Hint: Write the sum of squared deviations as a function of \(b_{1}\), a trial value, and use calculus to find the minimizing value of \(b_{1}\).]

Short Answer

Expert verified
The least squares estimator of \( \beta_{1} \) is \( \hat{\beta}_{1} = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i y_i}{\sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i^2} \).

Step by step solution

01

Define the Problem

We have a model: \( Y = \beta_{1}x + \epsilon \), where we want to estimate \( \beta_{1} \) for the observed data \( \{(x_i, y_i) \} \). The regression line passes through \( (0,0) \). The goal is to find the least squares estimator of \( \beta_{1} \).
02

Formulate the Least Squares Criterion

The sum of squared deviations for this model is \( SS(b_{1}) = \sum_{i=1}^{n} (y_i - b_{1}x_i)^2 \). We aim to minimize this sum to find the value of \( b_{1} \) that best estimates \( \beta_{1} \).
03

Differentiate the Sum of Squares

Differentiate \( SS(b_{1}) = \sum_{i=1}^{n} (y_i - b_{1}x_i)^2 \) with respect to \( b_{1} \):\[ \frac{d}{d b_{1}} SS(b_{1}) = \sum_{i=1}^{n} -2x_i(y_i - b_{1}x_i) \]
04

Find the Critical Point

Set the derivative to zero to find the critical point:\[ \sum_{i=1}^{n} -2x_i(y_i - b_{1}x_i) = 0 \] simplifies to \[ \sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i y_i = b_{1} \sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i^2 \].
05

Solve for \( b_{1} \)

To isolate \( b_{1} \), solve the equation:\[ b_{1} = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i y_i}{\sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i^2} \]This is the expression for the least squares estimator of \( \beta_{1} \).

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Regression Analysis
Regression analysis is a statistical method used to examine the relationship between independent and dependent variables. In our exercise, the investigator wants to study how the amount of shelf space \(x\) affects the sales revenue \(y\) of a product. This involves finding a regression line that best fits the observed data points.

When performing a regression analysis, a model like \( Y = \beta_{1}x + \epsilon \) is used. Here, \( \beta_{1} \) represents the slope of the regression line, indicating the change in \(y\) for a unit change in \(x\). The term \( \epsilon \) represents a random error component, capturing the variability of \(y\) not explained by \(x\).

The essence of regression analysis is to find the best estimates for the parameters, in this case, \( \beta_{1} \), which provides the most accurate predictions for \(y\) based on \(x\). This is achieved through the method of least squares, which we'll explore next.
Statistical Inference
Statistical inference is the process of using data to make estimations and predictions about a population's characteristics. In regression analysis, this often involves estimating the parameters of the model, like \( \beta_{1} \), from the provided sample data.

This exercise involves using observed data pairs \((x_i, y_i)\) to infer the value of \( \beta_{1} \), assuming that the model \( Y = \beta_{1}x + \epsilon \) accurately reflects the underlying relationship between \(x\) and \(y\). Through statistical inference, the investigator aims to minimize the departure of predicted values from observed values.

A crucial part of statistical inference in regression is identifying how well the model fits the data. This is achieved by calculating estimates like \( b_{1} \) using specific methods such as the least squares estimation. These estimates help in understanding and drawing conclusions about the effect of \(x\) on \(y\).
Sum of Squares
The Sum of Squares is a critical concept in regression analysis, especially in the method of least squares. It measures the total deviation of the observed data points from the predicted values by the regression model.

In our exercise, the sum of squares function is given by \( SS(b_{1}) = \sum_{i=1}^{n} (y_i - b_{1}x_i)^2 \). This sums up the squared differences between each observed sales \(y_i\) and its estimated value based on the shelf space \(x_i\) when using a trial slope \(b_{1}\).

The goal is to choose \(b_{1}\), our estimate for \(\beta_{1}\), such that this sum, \(SS(b_{1})\), is as small as possible. To find this minimizing \(b_{1}\), the exercise involves calculus techniques—differentiating the sum of squares with respect to \(b_{1}\) to find where this derivative equals zero. This provides the least squares estimate, a balance that minimizes the overall error in predicting \(y\) from \(x\).

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

The Turbine Oil Oxidation Test (TOST) and the Rotating Bomb Oxidation Test (RBOT) are two different procedures for evaluating the oxidation stability of steam turbine oils. The article "Dependence of Oxidation Stability of Steam Turbine Oil on Base Oil Composition" (J. of the Society of Tribologists and Lubrication Engrs., Oct. 1997: 19-24) reported the accompanying observations on \(x=\) TOST time (hr) and \(y=\) RBOT time (min) for 12 oil specimens. $$ \begin{array}{lrrrrrr} \text { TOST } & 4200 & 3600 & 3750 & 3675 & 4050 & 2770 \\ \text { RBOT } & 370 & 340 & 375 & 310 & 350 & 200 \\ \text { TOST } & 4870 & 4500 & 3450 & 2700 & 3750 & 3300 \\ \text { RBOT } & 400 & 375 & 285 & 225 & 345 & 285 \end{array} $$ a. Calculate and interpret the value of the sample correlation coefficient (as did the article's authors). b. How would the value of \(r\) be affected if we had let \(x=\) RBOT time and \(y=\) TOST time? c. How would the value of \(r\) be affected if RBOT time were expressed in hours? d. Construct normal probability plots and comment. e. Carry out a test of hypotheses to decide whether RBOT time and TOST time are linearly related.

The efficiency ratio for a steel specimen immersed in a phosphating tank is the weight of the phosphate coating divided by the metal loss (both in \(\mathrm{mg} / \mathrm{ft}^{2}\) ). The article "Statistical Process Control of a Phosphate Coating Line" (Wire J. Intl., May, 1997: 78-81) gave the accompanying data on tank temperature \((x)\) and efficiency ratio \((y)\). $$ \begin{array}{cccccccc} \text { Temp. } & 170 & 172 & 173 & 174 & 174 & 175 & 176 \\ \text { Ratio } & .84 & 1.31 & 1.42 & 1.03 & 1.07 & 1.08 & 1.04 \\ \text { Temp. } & 177 & 180 & 180 & 180 & 180 & 180 & 181 \\ \text { Ratio } & 1.80 & 1.45 & 1.60 & 1.61 & 2.13 & 2.15 & .84 \\ \text { Temp. } & 181 & 182 & 182 & 182 & 182 & 184 & 184 \\ \text { Ratio } & 1.43 & .90 & 1.81 & 1.94 & 2.68 & 1.49 & 2.52 \\ \text { Temp. } & 185 & 186 & 188 & & & & \\ \text { Ratio } & 3.00 & 1.87 & 3.08 & & & & \end{array} $$ a. Construct stem-and-leaf displays of both temperature and efficiency ratio, and comment on interesting features. b. Is the value of efficiency ratio completely and uniquely determined by tank temperature? Explain your reasoning. c. Construct a scatter plot of the data. Does it appear that efficiency ratio could be very well predicted by the value of temperature? Explain your reasoning.

The following summary statistics were obtained from study that used regression analysis to investigate the relationship between pavement deflection and surface temperature of the pavement at various locations on a state highway. Here \(x=\) temperature \(\left({ }^{\circ} \mathrm{F}\right)\) and \(y=\) deflection adjustment factor \((y \geq 0)\) : $$ \begin{aligned} &n=15 \quad \sum x_{i}=1425 \quad \sum y_{i}=10.68 \\ &\sum x_{i}^{2}=139,037.25 \quad \sum x_{i} y_{i}=987.645 \\ &\sum y_{i}^{2}=7.8518 \end{aligned} $$ (Many more than 15 observations were made in the study; the reference is "Flexible Pavement Evaluation and Rehabilitation," Transportation Eng. J., 1977: 75-85.) a. Compute \(\hat{\beta}_{1}, \hat{\beta}_{0}\), and the equation of the estimated regression line. Graph the estimated line. b. What is the estimate of expected change in the deflection adjustment factor when temperature is increased by \(1^{\circ} \mathrm{F}\) ? c. Suppose temperature were measured in \({ }^{\circ} \mathrm{C}\) rather than in \({ }^{\circ} \mathrm{F}\). What would be the estimated regression line? Answer part (b) for an increase of \(1^{\circ} \mathrm{C}\). [Hint: \({ }^{\circ} \mathrm{F}=(9 / 5)^{\circ} \mathrm{C}+32\); now substitute for the "old \(x\) " in terms of the "new \(x\)."] d. If a \(200^{\circ} \mathrm{F}\) surface temperature were within the realm of possibility, would you use the estimated line of part (a) to predict deflection factor for this temperature? Why or why not?

An investigation was carried out to study the relationship between speed (ft/sec) and stride rate (number of steps taken/sec) among female marathon runners. Resulting summary quantities included \(n=11, \quad \sum\) (speed) \(=205.4\), \(\sum(\text { speed })^{2}=3880.08, \sum(\) rate \()=35.16, \sum(\text { rate })^{2}=112.681\), and \(\sum(\) speed \()(\) rate \()=660.130\). a. Calculate the equation of the least squares line that you would use to predict stride rate from speed. b. Calculate the equation of the least squares line that you would use to predict speed from stride rate. c. Calculate the coefficient of determination for the regression of stride rate on speed of part (a) and for the regression of speed on stride rate of part (b). How are these related?

A sample of \(n=500(x, y)\) pairs was collected and a test of \(H_{0}: \rho=0\) versus \(H_{\mathrm{a}}: \rho \neq 0\) was carried out. The resulting \(P\)-value was computed to be \(.00032\). a. What conclusion would be appropriate at level of significance .001? b. Does this small \(P\)-value indicate that there is a very strong linear relationship between \(x\) and \(y\) (a value of \(\rho\) that differs considerably from 0)? Explain. c. Now suppose a sample of \(n=10,000(x, y)\) pairs resulted in \(r=.022\). Test \(H_{0}: \rho=0\) versus \(H_{\mathrm{a}}: \rho \neq 0\) at level \(.05\). Is the result statistically significant? Comment on the practical significance of your analysis.

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.