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Let \(X\) and \(Y\) be independent standard normal random variables, and define a new rv by \(U=.6 X+.8 Y\). a. Determine \(\operatorname{Corr}(X, U)\). b. How would you alter \(U\) to obtain \(\operatorname{Corr}(X, U)=\rho\) for a specified value of \(\rho\) ?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. \(\operatorname{Corr}(X, U) = 0.6\); b. Use \(U' = \rho X + \sqrt{1-\rho^2} Y\).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We have two independent standard normal random variables, \(X\) and \(Y\), each having mean 0 and variance 1. We define a new random variable \(U = 0.6X + 0.8Y\). We need to find the correlation \(\operatorname{Corr}(X, U)\).
02

Recall the Formula for Correlation

The correlation between two random variables \(A\) and \(B\) is given by \(\operatorname{Corr}(A, B) = \frac{\operatorname{Cov}(A, B)}{\sqrt{\operatorname{Var}(A) \operatorname{Var}(B)}}\). Here, \(\operatorname{Cov}\) denotes covariance and \(\operatorname{Var}\) denotes variance.
03

Compute the Covariance \(\operatorname{Cov}(X, U)\)

Since \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent, \(\operatorname{Cov}(X, Y) = 0\). Therefore, \(\operatorname{Cov}(X, U) = \operatorname{Cov}(X, 0.6X + 0.8Y) = 0.6 \operatorname{Var}(X) + 0.8 \operatorname{Cov}(X, Y) = 0.6 (1) + 0 = 0.6\).
04

Calculate the Variance \(\operatorname{Var}(U)\)

Since \(U = 0.6X + 0.8Y\), and using the formula for the variance of a linear combination of independent variables, \(\operatorname{Var}(U) = (0.6)^2 \operatorname{Var}(X) + (0.8)^2 \operatorname{Var}(Y) = 0.36 + 0.64 = 1\).
05

Determine \(\operatorname{Corr}(X, U)\)

Using the formula for correlation, we have \(\operatorname{Corr}(X, U) = \frac{0.6}{\sqrt{1 \times 1}} = 0.6\).
06

Altering \(U\) for a Specified Correlation \(\rho\)

To have \(\operatorname{Corr}(X, U) = \rho\), we need \(\frac{\operatorname{Cov}(X, U')}{\sqrt{\operatorname{Var}(X) \operatorname{Var}(U')}} = \rho\), where \(U'\) is the altered \(U\). Set \(U' = aX + bY\). We require \(\operatorname{Cov}(X, U') = a\) and \(\operatorname{Var}(U') = a^2 + b^2 = 1\). Hence, \(\rho = \frac{a}{1} = a\), and by solving \(a = \rho\) and \(a^2 + b^2 = 1\), we find \(U' = \rho X + \sqrt{1-\rho^2} Y\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution is a special type of normal distribution that has a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. This distribution is commonly used in statistics because of its simplicity and versatile application.

A random variable following this distribution is said to be "standard normal." This means any other normal distribution can be transformed into a standard normal distribution using z-scores, calculated by the formula:
  • \( z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \)
Where \( \mu \) is the mean and \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation. For standard normal distributions, \( \mu = 0 \) and \( \sigma = 1 \).

Standard normal distributions are often represented on bell-shaped curves known for their symmetry about the mean. This quality allows for straightforward probability measurements and statistical inference.
Covariance
Covariance is a statistical measure that indicates the degree to which two random variables change together. If the variables tend to show similar behavior (i.e., both increase together or decrease together), their covariance will be positive. When one increases while the other decreases, the covariance is negative.

The formula for covariance between two variables, say \(X\) and \(Y\), is:
  • \( \text{Cov}(X, Y) = E[(X - \mu_X)(Y - \mu_Y)] \)
Where \(E\) denotes the expected value, \(\mu_X\) and \(\mu_Y\) are the means of \(X\) and \(Y\), respectively.

In situations where the variables are independent, the covariance is zero. However, no covariance does not necessarily imply independence. This measurement is crucial when assessing relationships between variables, as it serves as a core component in correlating variables.
Variance
Variance is a measurement that indicates how much a set of numbers is spread out from their mean. It gives insight into the variability or dispersion within a dataset.

The variance \(\operatorname{Var}(X)\) of a random variable \(X\) is calculated as:
  • \( \operatorname{Var}(X) = E[(X - \mu)^2] \)
Where \(\mu\) is the mean of \(X\) and \(E\) represents the expected value operator. A higher variance indicates that the data points are more spread out from the mean, while a lower variance indicates they are closer.

An important property of variance is that it is always non-negative. In practice, understanding variance helps in predicting stability and reliability within financial portfolios, quality testing, and scientific research.
Linear Combination of Random Variables
A linear combination of random variables involves creating a new random variable by adding together multiple random variables, each scaled by a constant factor. This is a powerful tool in statistics because it allows for the integration of different sources of variability.

Given random variables \(X\) and \(Y\) with constants \(a\) and \(b\), a new variable \(U\) can be defined as:
  • \( U = aX + bY \)
To compute the variance of such a linear combination, utilize the formula:
  • \( \operatorname{Var}(U) = a^2\operatorname{Var}(X) + b^2\operatorname{Var}(Y) + 2ab\operatorname{Cov}(X, Y) \)
The covariance term vanishes if \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent, simplifying the calculation.

This method is often used in finance for modeling portfolio returns, combining investment risks, or blending forecasts in other areas of applied statistics.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose the distribution of the time \(X\) (in hours) spent by students at a certain university on a particular project is gamma with parameters \(\alpha=50\) and \(\beta=2\). Because \(\alpha\) is large, it can be shown that \(X\) has approximately a normal distribution. Use this fact to compute the approximate probability that a randomly selected student spends at most 125 hours on the project.

A service station has both self-service and full-service islands. On each island, there is a single regular unleaded pump with two hoses. Let \(X\) denote the number of hoses being used on the self-service island at a particular time, and let \(Y\) denote the number of hoses on the full-service island in use at that time. The joint pmf of \(X\) and \(Y\) appears in the accompanying tabulation. \begin{tabular}{ll|ccc} \(p(x, y)\) & & 0 & 1 & 2 \\ \hline \multirow{x}{*}{\(x\)} & 0 & \(.10\) & \(.04\) & \(.02\) \\ & 1 & \(.08\) & \(.20\) & \(.06\) \\ & 2 & \(.06\) & \(.14\) & \(.30\) \end{tabular} a. What is \(P(X=1\) and \(Y=1)\) ? b. Compute \(P(X \leq 1\) and \(Y \leq 1)\). c. Give a word description of the event \(\\{X \neq 0\) and \(Y \neq 0\\}\), and compute the probability of this event. d. Compute the marginal pmf of \(X\) and of \(Y\). Using \(p_{X}(x)\), what is \(P(X \leq 1)\) ? e. Are \(X\) and \(Y\) independent rv's? Explain.

Show that if \(Y=a X+b(a \neq 0)\), then \(\operatorname{Corr}(X, Y)=+1\) or \(-1\). Under what conditions will \(\rho=+1\) ?

Let \(X\) denote the courtship time for a randomly selected female-male pair of mating scorpion flies (time from the beginning of interaction until mating). Suppose the mean value of \(X\) is \(120 \mathrm{~min}\) and the standard deviation of \(X\) is \(110 \mathrm{~min}\) (suggested by data in the article "Should I Stay or Should I Go? Condition- and Status-Dependent Courtship Decisions in the Scorpion Fly Panorpa Cognate" (Animal Behavior, 2009: 491-497)). a. Is it plausible that \(X\) is normally distributed? b. For a random sample of 50 such pairs, what is the (approximate) probability that the sample mean courtship time is between 100 min and 125 min? c. For a random sample of 50 such pairs, what is the (approximate) probability that the total courtship time exceeds 150 hr? d. Could the probability requested in (b) be calculated from the given information if the sample size were 15 rather than 50 ? Explain.

The mean weight of luggage checked by a randomly selected tourist-class passenger flying between two cities on a certain airline is \(40 \mathrm{lb}\), and the standard deviation is \(10 \mathrm{lb}\). The mean and standard deviation for a businessclass passenger are \(30 \mathrm{lb}\) and \(6 \mathrm{lb}\), respectively. a. If there are 12 business-class passengers and 50 tourist-class passengers on a particular flight, what are the expected value of total luggage weight and the standard deviation of total luggage weight? b. If individual luggage weights are independent, normally distributed rv's, what is the probability that total luggage weight is at most \(2500 \mathrm{lb}\) ?

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