/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 1 A service station has both self-... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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A service station has both self-service and full-service islands. On each island, there is a single regular unleaded pump with two hoses. Let \(X\) denote the number of hoses being used on the self-service island at a particular time, and let \(Y\) denote the number of hoses on the full-service island in use at that time. The joint pmf of \(X\) and \(Y\) appears in the accompanying tabulation. \begin{tabular}{ll|ccc} \(p(x, y)\) & & 0 & 1 & 2 \\ \hline \multirow{x}{*}{\(x\)} & 0 & \(.10\) & \(.04\) & \(.02\) \\ & 1 & \(.08\) & \(.20\) & \(.06\) \\ & 2 & \(.06\) & \(.14\) & \(.30\) \end{tabular} a. What is \(P(X=1\) and \(Y=1)\) ? b. Compute \(P(X \leq 1\) and \(Y \leq 1)\). c. Give a word description of the event \(\\{X \neq 0\) and \(Y \neq 0\\}\), and compute the probability of this event. d. Compute the marginal pmf of \(X\) and of \(Y\). Using \(p_{X}(x)\), what is \(P(X \leq 1)\) ? e. Are \(X\) and \(Y\) independent rv's? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) 0.20 b) 0.42 c) 0.70 d) 0.50 e) No, they are not independent.

Step by step solution

01

Identify P(X=1, Y=1)

Look at the joint pmf table for the value when both variables, \(X\) and \(Y\), equal 1. The entry is \(p(1, 1) = 0.20\).
02

Compute P(X ≤ 1, Y ≤ 1)

Add up the probabilities for all combinations where \(X\) and \(Y\) are less than or equal to 1. These combinations are \((0,0), (0,1), (1,0),\) and \((1,1)\). Thus, \(P(X \leq 1, Y \leq 1) = p(0,0) + p(0,1) + p(1,0) + p(1,1) = 0.10 + 0.04 + 0.08 + 0.20 = 0.42\).
03

Describe event \(\{X \neq 0, Y \neq 0\}\) and calculate probability

The event \(\{X eq 0, Y eq 0\}\) means at least one hose is used on both islands. Therefore, consider probabilities where neither \(X\) nor \(Y\) equal 0: \((1,1), (1,2), (2,1), (2,2)\). Calculate the total probability: \(0.20 + 0.06 + 0.14 + 0.30 = 0.70\).
04

Compute marginal pmf of X and Y

For the marginal pmf of \(X\), sum \(p(x, y)\) over all \(y\) for each \(x\): - \(p_X(0) = 0.10 + 0.04 + 0.02 = 0.16\) - \(p_X(1) = 0.08 + 0.20 + 0.06 = 0.34\) - \(p_X(2) = 0.06 + 0.14 + 0.30 = 0.50\)For the marginal pmf of \(Y\), sum \(p(x, y)\) over all \(x\): - \(p_Y(0) = 0.10 + 0.08 + 0.06 = 0.24\) - \(p_Y(1) = 0.04 + 0.20 + 0.14 = 0.38\) - \(p_Y(2) = 0.02 + 0.06 + 0.30 = 0.38\).
05

Calculate P(X ≤ 1) using p_X(x)

From the marginal pmf of \(X\), obtain \(P(X \leq 1)\) as: \(p_X(0) + p_X(1) = 0.16 + 0.34 = 0.50\).
06

Determine independence of X and Y

For independence, \(p(x, y) = p_X(x) \, p_Y(y)\) for all \(x\) and \(y\). Check for \((1,1): p(1,1) = 0.20 eq p_X(1)p_Y(1) = 0.34 \times 0.38 = 0.1292\). Since this condition does not hold, \(X\) and \(Y\) are not independent.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Marginal Distribution
In probability theory, the marginal distribution is a significant concept that allows us to determine the distribution of a subset of variables within a larger set. Specifically, it tells us how a random variable behaves regardless of the other variables it may be connected with, hence "marginal". In the context of a joint probability mass function (pmf), the marginal distribution of a discrete random variable, like either of the variables \(X\) or \(Y\) in the given exercise, is obtained by summing over the probabilities of the other variables. This way, we can see the probability distribution of one random variable in isolation.For instance, to find the marginal pmf of \(X\), we sum the joint probabilities \(p(x, y)\) over all possible values of \(y\). Using the table in the exercise:
  • \(p_X(0) = 0.10 + 0.04 + 0.02 = 0.16\)
  • \(p_X(1) = 0.08 + 0.20 + 0.06 = 0.34\)
  • \(p_X(2) = 0.06 + 0.14 + 0.30 = 0.50\)
Similarly, to find the marginal pmf of \(Y\), sum over all values of \(x\):
  • \(p_Y(0) = 0.10 + 0.08 + 0.06 = 0.24\)
  • \(p_Y(1) = 0.04 + 0.20 + 0.14 = 0.38\)
  • \(p_Y(2) = 0.02 + 0.06 + 0.30 = 0.38\)
Marginal distributions provide critical insights into each variable's individual behavior, separating it from its interactions with other random variables.
Independence of Random Variables
When examining random variables for independence, we look for the condition where the occurrence of one does not affect the occurrence of the other. In mathematical terms, two random variables \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent if for all possible values of \(x\) and \(y\), the joint probability function can be expressed as the product of the two marginal probabilities: \[p(x, y) = p_X(x) \cdot p_Y(y)\]To test if \(X\) and \(Y\) are independent, we apply this condition to different combinations of \(x\) and \(y\). For example, in the exercise, check if:- For \((1,1)\): \(p(1,1) = 0.20\) and \(p_X(1)p_Y(1) = 0.34 \times 0.38 = 0.1292\) which are not equal.Since this condition does not hold true for at least one case, \(X\) and \(Y\) are not independent. This means the usage at one service island could affect the usage at the other.
Probability Computation
Probability computation involves calculating the likelihood of various events occurring in a defined sample space. Whether it's finding a specific point probability or the cumulative probability of several events, a clear understanding of the rules and operations is essential.Take the question \(P(X\leq 1, Y\leq 1)\) as an example. This asks about the probability that each variable is less than or equal to one. To find this, you sum the probabilities of all combinations fitting this criterion. These combinations are \((0,0), (0,1), (1,0),\) and \((1,1)\), as computed in the step-by-step solution, producing:\[P(X \leq 1, Y \leq 1) = p(0,0) + p(0,1) + p(1,0) + p(1,1) = 0.10 + 0.04 + 0.08 + 0.20 = 0.42\]Correct computation often involves multiple steps:
  • Identifying the relevant events.
  • Summing or multiplying probabilities, depending on whether they are cumulative or independent.
  • Checking if probabilities sum to 1 in the case of distribution functions for consistency.
These computations form the basis for making informed predictions and decisions based on probabilistic models.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

We have seen that if \(E\left(X_{1}\right)=E\left(X_{2}\right)=\ldots=E\left(X_{n}\right)=\mu\), then \(E\left(X_{1}+\cdots+X_{n}\right)=n \mu\). In some applications, the number of \(X_{i}\) 's under consideration is not a fixed number \(n\) but instead is an rv \(N\). For example, let \(N=\) the number of components that are brought into a repair shop on a particular day, and let \(X_{i}\) denote the repair shop time for the \(i\) th component. Then the total repair time is \(X_{1}+X_{2}+\cdots+X_{N}\), the sum of a random number of random variables. When \(N\) is independent of the \(X_{i}\) 's, it can be shown that $$ E\left(X_{1}+\cdots+X_{N}\right)=E(N) \cdot \mu $$ a. If the expected number of components brought in on a particularly day is 10 and expected repair time for a randomly submitted component is \(40 \mathrm{~min}\), what is the expected total repair time for components submitted on any particular day? b. Suppose components of a certain type come in for repair according to a Poisson process with a rate of 5 per hour. The expected number of defects per component is 3.5. What is the expected value of the total number of defects on components submitted for repair during a 4-hour period? Be sure to indicate how your answer follows from the general result just given.

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