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Low-back pain (LBP) is a serious health problem in many industrial settings. The article "Isodynamic Evaluation of Trunk Muscles and Low-Back Pain Among Workers in a Steel Factory" (Ergonomics, 1995: 2107-2117) reported the accompanying summary data on lateral range of motion (degrees) for a sample of workers without a history of LBP and another sample with a history of this malady. \begin{tabular}{lccc} Condition & Sample Size & Sample Mean & Sample SD \\ \hline No LBP & 28 & \(91.5\) & \(5.5\) \\ LBP & 31 & \(88.3\) & \(7.8\) \\ \hline \end{tabular} Calculate a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the difference between population mean extent of lateral motion for the two conditions. Does the interval suggest that population mean lateral motion differs for the two conditions? Is the message different if a confidence level of \(95 \%\) is used?

Short Answer

Expert verified
At 90% confidence, population means differ; at 95%, they may not differ.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Problem

We need to find a confidence interval for the difference between the population means of lateral range of motion for workers with and without a history of LBP. We have the sample sizes, means, and standard deviations for both groups.
02

Determine the Formula

To calculate the confidence interval for the difference between two means, we use the formula: \[ \left(\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2 \right) \pm t_{\alpha/2} \sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}} \]where \( \bar{x}_1 \) and \( \bar{x}_2 \) are the sample means, \( s_1 \) and \( s_2 \) are the standard deviations, \( n_1 \) and \( n_2 \) are sample sizes, and \( t_{\alpha/2} \) is the critical value from the t-distribution.
03

Calculate for 90% Confidence Interval

Using the data: \( \bar{x}_1 = 91.5, \bar{x}_2 = 88.3, s_1 = 5.5, s_2 = 7.8, n_1 = 28, n_2 = 31 \). The degrees of freedom \( df \) can be approximated using the formula for unequal variances if needed. The 90% confidence interval critical value \( t_{\alpha/2} \) for around 50 degrees of freedom is approximately 1.684. The calculation becomes:\[(91.5 - 88.3) \pm 1.684 \times \sqrt{\frac{5.5^2}{28} + \frac{7.8^2}{31}} \]This computes to \[ 3.2 \pm 3.02 \] giving an interval \([0.18, 6.22]\).
04

Interpret the 90% Confidence Interval

The 90% confidence interval \([0.18, 6.22]\) suggests that the mean lateral range of motion for those without LBP is higher than those with LBP, as the interval does not include zero.
05

Calculate for 95% Confidence Interval

For a 95% confidence level, the \( t_{\alpha/2} \) is approximately 2.009. The calculation then becomes:\[(91.5 - 88.3) \pm 2.009 \times \sqrt{\frac{5.5^2}{28} + \frac{7.8^2}{31}} \]This computes to \[ 3.2 \pm 3.60 \] giving an interval \([-0.40, 6.80]\).
06

Interpret the 95% Confidence Interval

The 95% confidence interval \([-0.40, 6.80]\) includes zero, which suggests there is not enough evidence to conclude a difference in the population means of lateral motion between the two conditions at this confidence level. Thus, the message changes depending on the confidence level chosen.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Lateral Range of Motion
Lateral Range of Motion (LRM) refers to the degree to which a person can move their trunk sideways. This is a significant measure in assessing the flexibility and health of one's spine, particularly in occupational settings. For workers, particularly those in physically demanding environments, a sufficient lateral range of motion is crucial for preventing injuries and maintaining overall back health.

In this context, LRM has been studied to understand its relation to low-back pain (LBP). By measuring the LRM in workers with and without a history of LBP, researchers can determine if reduced lateral motion is associated with a history of back pain.

Understanding and optimizing LRM can be a preventative strategy to reduce the risk of LBP, which is a common issue among manual laborers in industries such as steel manufacturing. This measure is thus an important indicator in studying musculoskeletal health and the potential impacts of occupational activities on the spine.
Population Mean Difference
The Population Mean Difference is a fundamental statistic in comparing two groups to evaluate the effect one variable might have on another. In this study, we are interested in the mean difference in lateral range of motion between workers with and without a history of low-back pain.

Mathematically, this is denoted as:
  • \(ar{x}_1 - ar{x}_2\)
where \( ar{x}_1 \) and \( ar{x}_2 \) are the sample means of the two groups.

Calculating the confidence interval for this difference allows us to infer whether the observed differences in sample means are likely to exist in the actual population. Through this, we can determine if one group statistically has a different average range of motion compared to the other, beyond just the sample observations.
t-distribution
The t-distribution is a probability distribution that is critical when estimating population parameters when the sample size is small and/or the population variance is unknown. In this exercise, we use the t-distribution to find the critical value needed to calculate the confidence interval for the difference in means.

Unlike the normal distribution, the t-distribution is wider and has heavier tails, which becomes more relevant with smaller sample sizes. It accounts for the additional variability that small samples might present. The shape of the t-distribution is also influenced by the degrees of freedom (df), which in this scenario can be approximated based on the variance and sample sizes of two independent groups.

This distribution allows us to determine how much deviation from the sample mean difference is reasonable to expect under normal conditions, thus facilitating the calculation of the confidence interval.
Critical Value
A Critical Value in the context of confidence intervals is a factor that reflects the level of certainty with which we wish to estimate the population parameter. It is determined based on the chosen level of confidence and the degrees of freedom, and is obtained from the t-distribution table.

In this scenario, for a 90% confidence interval, the critical value (\( t_{\alpha/2} \)) is approximately 1.684, whereas for the 95% interval, it is approximately 2.009. These values represent the cutoff point or the maximum z-score at which a random sample mean difference would still be considered to confirm or reject the hypothesis about population parameters.

By applying this critical value to our calculated standard error, we derive the range within which we are certain, at the specified confidence level, that the true mean difference in lateral range of motion lies. These intervals guide us in making informed decisions about the statistical significance of our findings.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

An experimenter wishes to obtain a CI for the difference between true average breaking strength for cables manufactured by company I and by company II. Suppose breaking strength is normally distributed for both types of cable with \(\sigma_{1}=30 \mathrm{psi}\) and \(\sigma_{2}=20 \mathrm{psi}\) a. If costs dictate that the sample size for the type I cable should be three times the sample size for the type II cable, how many observations are required if the \(99 \% \mathrm{CI}\) is to be no wider than 20 psi? b. Suppose a total of 400 observations is to be made. How many of the observations should be made on type I cable samples if the width of the resulting interval is to be a minimum?

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